Tomorrow’s Affairs

Tomorrow’s Affairs Analysis of today - Assessment of tomorrow
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The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. This paved the way for Japan, for the first...
04/10/2025

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. This paved the way for Japan, for the first time in its history, to have a female prime minister.

Behind this decision lies more than symbolism. This election reveals a profound change in the internal dynamics of Japanese politics, as well as how Tokyo plans to respond to pressures arising simultaneously from within and outside the country.

Takaichi assumes leadership of the party at a time when the LDP is on the defensive. After years of dominance, the party is facing declining support, voter fatigue and a loss of political momentum.

In the most recent Upper House elections, it lost part of its majority, and Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigned under pressure from party factions and the public. His resignation was not only the result of poor performance but also a sign that the previous management model had reached its limits.

Full story at the link in our bio.

As the European Union pushes to fully sever its reliance on Russian energy and the administration of U.S. President Dona...
04/10/2025

As the European Union pushes to fully sever its reliance on Russian energy and the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump urges NATO members to abandon Russian oil, one country's populist government stands firm.

Hungary and its leader, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, have long argued Russian energy imports are indispensable for the country's economy and switching to fossil fuels sourced from elsewhere would cause an immediate economic collapse.

Orbán, who has long had the friendliest ties to the Kremlin of any EU leader, has vigorously opposed the bloc's efforts to sanction Moscow after its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and blasted attempts to hit Russia's energy revenues that help finance the war.

As the rest of Europe has weaned off Russian energy, Hungary has maintained, and even increased, its Russian imports, insisting no viable alternative exists.

Full story at the link in our bio.

In an age of shifting geopolitics, many countries’ strategic planning includes imaginative exercises in weaponizing thei...
04/10/2025

In an age of shifting geopolitics, many countries’ strategic planning includes imaginative exercises in weaponizing their positions in the world.

While Russia and China have been moderately successful at this game, America’s efforts have already boomeranged back on it.

Russia thought energy dependence would force Europe to accept its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and that calculation was partly right: Europe has found it hard to wean itself off of Russian oil.

Moreover, energy deals are at the heart of Russia’s improved relations with both India and China, providing the economic underpinning for a new anti-American coalition.

Full story at the link in our bio.

Germany's Munich Airport reopened Saturday morning after authorities shut it down the night before for the second time i...
04/10/2025

Germany's Munich Airport reopened Saturday morning after authorities shut it down the night before for the second time in less than 24 hours after more suspected drone sightings, the airport said in a statement.

The closures are the latest after mysterious drone overflights in the airspace of European Union member countries.

The airport, one of Germany's largest, reopened gradually beginning at 7 a.m. local time (0500 GMT) Saturday. Planes typically begin taking off at 5 a.m.

At least 6,500 passengers were impacted by the overnight closure Friday into Saturday, the airport said.

Full story at the link in our bio.

Today’s global economy and political structure are undergoing a rapid and profound transformation. This shift is especia...
04/10/2025

Today’s global economy and political structure are undergoing a rapid and profound transformation. This shift is especially evident as the business world becomes increasingly independent of politics, signalling a new era with the strengthening of authoritarian regimes and the decline of liberal democratic systems.

In a 2011 article I wrote, I stated that “the global liberal economy and democracy are in decline, and the centralisation of authoritarian governments is rapidly increasing.”

This view has become one of the key insights in understanding current economic and political developments.

Full story at the link in our bio.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s bid to win the Nobel Peace Prize has drawn added attention to the annual guessing game ove...
03/10/2025

U.S. President Donald Trump’s bid to win the Nobel Peace Prize has drawn added attention to the annual guessing game over who its next laureate will be.

Longtime Nobel watchers say Trump’s prospects remain remote despite a flurry of high-profile nominations and some notable foreign policy interventions for which he has taken personal credit.

Experts say the Norwegian Nobel Committee typically focuses on the durability of peace, the promotion of international fraternity and the quiet work of institutions that strengthen those goals.

Trump's own record might even work against him, they said, citing his apparent disdain for multilateral institutions and his disregard for global climate change concerns.

Full story at the link in our bio.

On 30 September, the Chinese Communist Party appointed Liu Haixing as head of the International Department of the Centra...
03/10/2025

On 30 September, the Chinese Communist Party appointed Liu Haixing as head of the International Department of the Central Committee.

Liu Jianchao, his predecessor, last appeared in public in July and then vanished from the media. Foreign sources indicate that he is under party investigation.

Beijing has not provided an explanation, consistent with a pattern seen in other cases where high-ranking officials suddenly disappear and their replacement is announced later.

This department does not conduct traditional foreign policy. Its task is to build and maintain relationships with parties around the world – both those in power and those in opposition.

Full story at the link in our bio.

The annual United Nations General Assembly is always an occasion for taking stock of the state of the world.But this yea...
03/10/2025

The annual United Nations General Assembly is always an occasion for taking stock of the state of the world.

But this year, on the 80th anniversary of the UN’s founding, it was also an occasion to take stock of the organization itself.

By any measure, the UN’s situation is dire. While Russian aggression against Ukraine and mounting tensions between the United States and China cannot be blamed on the UN, they do highlight a fundamental problem.

The UN Security Council – where China, Russia, and the US each wield a veto – is locked in a permanent confrontation over one issue or another, blocking the rest of the organization from moving forward on almost anything.

Full story at the link in our bio.

India and China plan to resume direct flights between some of their cities after a five-year suspension as the relations...
03/10/2025

India and China plan to resume direct flights between some of their cities after a five-year suspension as the relations between the two countries begin to thaw, Indian authorities announced.

Direct flights between the two countries were suspended during the Covid pandemic in 2020 and did not resume as Beijing and New Delhi engaged in prolonged border tensions.

Flights between designated cities will resume by late October subject to commercial carriers’ decisions, India’s embassy to China said in a post on social media platform WeChat.

The resumption is part of the Indian government’s “approach towards gradual normalization of relations between India and China,” the embassy added.

Full story at the link in our bio.

The world is likely to sideline the US and push ahead later this month with a UN declaration to tackle non-communicable ...
03/10/2025

The world is likely to sideline the US and push ahead later this month with a UN declaration to tackle non-communicable diseases such as cancer and diabetes, which the WHO says kill 43 million people a year.

Robert F. Kennedy, US health secretary, rejected the declaration, but this is unlikely to deter other governments, which want to take on the growing burden of NCDs that account for three out of four deaths worldwide.

The Trump administration may be trying to put America First but is facing another example of how it is pushing away the rest of the world, which is increasingly sidelining Washington to achieve progress on global issues such as health, defence and the climate.

Full story at the link in our bio.

Shutdowns of the federal government usually don't leave much economic damage.But the one that started Wednesday looks ri...
02/10/2025

Shutdowns of the federal government usually don't leave much economic damage.

But the one that started Wednesday looks riskier, not least because President Donald Trump is threatening to use the standoff to permanently eliminate thousands of government jobs and the state of the economy is already precarious.

For now, financial markets are shrugging off the impasse as just the latest failure of Republicans and Democrats to agree on a budget and keep the government running.

“Everyone seems quite complacent about the shutdown, assuming the Democrats and Republicans will come to terms and life will go on, as has been the case in past shutdowns,” the independent economist Ed Yardeni wrote in a commentary Thursday. "History could certainly repeat, especially with a man known for dealmaking sitting in the Oval Office.''

Full srory at the link in our bio.

When discussing the consequences of Brexit, the focus is usually on trade flows, tariffs, and relations with the EU. How...
02/10/2025

When discussing the consequences of Brexit, the focus is usually on trade flows, tariffs, and relations with the EU. However, behind the major headlines, there is an ongoing process that will determine, in the long term, how technology is developed and transferred in the UK.

The end of September marked a key milestone: the UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) recommended replacing the existing technology licensing regime, inherited from the European Union, with a national framework.

This is not merely a technical matter of antitrust rules but a move that will define the rules for innovation, university spin-offs, and large industrial consortia for the next decade.

Full story at the link in our bio.

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