20/05/2026
Whether through pig ignorance or wilful blindness, politicians of all stripes have presided over the slow decay of Britain’s economy for at least the past two decades.
Under the Conservatives, taxation and public spending increased while growth and productivity slumped. It was largely this legacy that saw them ejected from office in 2024 when, after 14 years, many Britons felt less well off than they did in 2010. And with good reason: the bottom 20% of households have seen practically no growth in real disposable income since 2008.
On the eve of the election, just after he lost his seat, former Tory minister Steve Baker appeared on Good Morning Britain and delivered a legendary takedown of both Ed Balls and George Osborne for their roles in creating this economic settlement. During the tirade, he predicted that Labour’s attempt at fixing our limping economy would be ‘an absolute circus’. Prophetic.
Rather than deliver on their promise to make the tough decisions necessary to get Britain growing, Labour have done the opposite, retreating to their worst, most destructive instincts on tax and spend. Business, the powerhouse of economic growth, has been hamstrung by higher taxes and new regulation. The much-vaunted housebuilding revolution has been a total disappointment, with the Government set to fall 400,000 homes short of its national housebuilding target by the end of this parliament. Our welfare bill has continued to skyrocket as the Government has been bullied by its backbenchers into shelving much of its flagship Welfare Reform Bill.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) this week issued a stark warning to Britain’s policymakers. While the body upgraded its growth forecast for the UK – from 0.8% to 1% – it stressed that there is little room for broad cost-of-living support and that fiscal restraint is needed to keep us on a sound footing in the face of the war in the Middle East. If the Government ignores the IMF and refuses to rein in spending and borrowing, then a punitive market reaction will follow.
✍️Joseph Dinnage
The IMF has issued a stark warning to Britain's policymakers