Weather Watch UK

Weather Watch UK Providing weather updates for the UK. Views are my own. Providing amateur weather forecasts for the UK and Ireland.
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13/09/2025

The unsettled conditions continue this weekend into next week.

Today brings another mix of sunny spells and showers, with a risk of hail and thunder. Driest for parts of eastern England, away from the southwest.

Sunday starts drier for most but we see an area of low pressure and its associated fronts bringing in wet and windy conditions to all areas. The strongest winds will be to the south of this system, with a Met Office yellow warning for strong winds across England and Wales. 45-55mph gusts likely in land, with 60-70mph gusts around exposed coasts and over hills. The main area of rain clears later on Sunday but the generally unsettled and windy conditions continue into Monday.

25/08/2025

Following the warmest late August bank holiday on record for Northern Ireland (24.5’C) and Wales (29.6’C), conditions turn more unsettled and cooler for all in the days ahead. Although, still warm in the south and east on Tuesday.

21/08/2025

Largely settled bank holiday weekend and then all change.

The bank holiday weekend is looking largely fine for most, bar a few showers, and it should be a bit warmer than recent days. However, as we move into next week, conditions look to turn more unsettled with more of a mobile, Atlantic pattern setting up. The first for quite some time. This is at least partly thanks to ex-hurricane Erin strengthening the jet stream, although whether the remnants of Erin itself have a direct impact on the UK is somewhat uncertain at this stage.

I remember this event made for an interesting case study. It demonstrated that higher resolution numerical weather predi...
16/08/2025

I remember this event made for an interesting case study.

It demonstrated that higher resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models were needed to resolve and subsequently warn of such small scale (microscale to mesoscale) systems and their potential impacts, and higher resolution models have been developed since. Computer models at the time weren’t high resolution enough for such small systems and the event was poorly forecast.

It also contributed to the development of “nowcasting” tools; Short range observations-based forecasts valid for periods of up to six hours.

And establishment of the Flood Forecasting Centre; A collaboration between the Environment Agency and the Met Office, based in the Operations Centre at Met Office HQ.

And the setting up of a network of Met Office Advisors (Civil Contingencies) who ensure that local resilience teams are aware of the development of potentially severe weather and what the impacts might be so that they can plan and prepare.

AI NWP and forecasting tools should also help to better warn of such events in the future.

Live, learn, develop and evolve.

Satellite imagery showing quite clearly smoke from wildfires over Portugal drifting northwards towards the UK. Likely to...
15/08/2025

Satellite imagery showing quite clearly smoke from wildfires over Portugal drifting northwards towards the UK. Likely to turn skies hazy and may lead to some vivid sunsets and sunrises.

Thunderstorms have been affecting and continue to affect northeastern parts of Scotland this afternoon, as per the Met O...
14/08/2025

Thunderstorms have been affecting and continue to affect northeastern parts of Scotland this afternoon, as per the Met Office warnings.

12/08/2025

33.4’C appears to be today’s highest temperature, recorded at a few different locations towards southern areas.

Following a warm and dry night, potentially a touch hotter tomorrow, but the hottest conditions concentration further east with western areas less hot but still warm to very warm.

We may start Wednesday largely cloudy across southern and southwestern areas along with some Irish Sea coastal locations, but that should lift to leave all areas dry and fine. Some medium to high level cloud during the afternoon, particularly towards the southeast. The small risk of an isolated afternoon shower across Scotland, Northern Ireland, northern England and southeast England.

11/08/2025

31.9’C was the highest UK temperature today, in the southeast.

Widely mid to high twenties in the north and west tomorrow, low 30s in the south and east, 34-35’C possible in the hottest spots. Cooler around coasts.

11/08/2025

Temperatures will peak early this week before falling slightly, but conditions remaining very warm to hot for many. Strong support then for the heat to build again next weekend.

The rest of August only needs to be slightly warmer than average for summer 2025 to come out as the warmest on record for the UK as a whole in terms of daily mean temperature. This looks almost certain with the current outlook, and would follow on from the warmest spring on record.

10/08/2025

It has been very warm today across much of England and Wales. A few locations have reached local heatwave threshold temperatures but most places have seen maximum temperatures just below that, whilst Northern Ireland and Scotland have been cooler and cloudier with some rain moving in from the west.

From tomorrow, the heat becomes more widespread and more places will reach their heatwave threshold temperature. By mid week, many southern and eastern areas are likely to have reached an official heatwave (with 3 consecutive days of threshold temperatures required for an official heatwave), the 4th of the summer for some. Northern and western areas will also see warmth, with the cloud and rain across Northern Ireland and Scotland pushing away northwards.

We also see the risk of some elevated convection bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms from the southwest, from tomorrow afternoon.

07/08/2025

The 4th heatwave of the summer so far is on the way for southern areas of the UK (Mainly England and Wales) Mid to high twenties by Sunday, then low to mid thirties early to next week. Largely fine but scattered thunderstorms may develop at times next week.

Warming up too for Northern Ireland and Scotland, particularly across eastern areas. The low to mid twenties by early next week, and the high twenties in some eastern spots. Still some rain at times, mostly in the west.

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