15/06/2025
Updates on the Israel attack on Iran:
1. Israel just attacked Ministry of Justice and Riot Police headquarters in Tehran.
2. Netanyahu: “The Iranians intended to transfer nuclear weapons to the Houthis as well. Our intelligence shows that they have begun developing intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of reaching the US.”
3. The IAF struck an Iranian aerial refueling aircraft at Mashhad Airport in eastern Iran, approximately 2,300 km from Israel: this marks the longest-range strike conducted since the operation has beginning. The IAF is operating to establish aerial superiority over Iranian airspace.
4. Islamabad has rejected Iranian media claims that it plans to send around 750 non-nuclear ballistic missiles to Iran to support its conflict with Israel.
5. IRGC general eliminated in Tehran an hour ago by gunfire at close range Israel's agents are operating on the ground within Tehran.
6. IRGC are literally abandoning ballistic missiles by the roadside and running away
7. The Mashhad attack 2325 kms from Israel was carried out by F-16s carrying 3 external fuel tanks. These are non stealth and the fuel tanks make them even more visible. This impunity shows the extent to which Israel completely eliminated Iranian air defences
8. The Israeli Air Force bombed an underground weapons facility in western Iran today
9. Drainage and pumping facilities in Tehran hit. Several parts of Tehran reporting flooding
10. 14 Iranian nuclear scientists eliminated since the start of the operation - including 5 today - all in car bombs detonated across Tehran since the morning.
11. IRAN’S MISSILES AREN’T THE MAIN THREAT. THE LAUNCHERS ARE. I’ve been making this point repeatedly, but it remains one of the most defining dynamics of the conflict. Iran holds a massive missile stockpile, estimated at 2,000 to 3,000+ ballistic and cruise missiles, including newer systems like the Fattah-1 hypersonic. But having missiles isn’t the same as being able to launch them. Iran’s Launch Limitations. Estimated mobile launchers (TELs): fewer than 150
12. Prime Minister confirms the elimination of the Iranian intelligence chief and his deputy
13. The Israeli Air Force controls the skies over Iran. The IRGC leadership has been decimated. Mossad agents remain active inside the country. Car bombings, targeted assassinations, even police units have been hit. This is the greatest opportunity since 1979 for the 90 million Iranians, most of whom do not support the regime and are not Islamic, to finally be free from the brutal oppression of the mullahs.
14. The Iranian Intelligence Ministry building in Tehran no longer exists.
15. Ahmadreza Radan, Chief of Police in Tehran, was eliminated
16. A video showing large fires in Tehran is going viral, likely from Israeli strikes on Iranian oil and gas facilities, as reported by The New York Times on June 14, 2025, indicating a significant escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict.
17. Mohammed al-Amri, Chief of Staff of the Yemeni Houthis, was eliminated.
18. The success or failure of this war hinges on destruction of Fordow uranium enrichment site, deep within the mountains near Qom. Fordow uranium enrichment site, a heavily fortified facility 20 miles northeast of Qom, Iran, built into a mountain to resist airstrikes, with its strategic importance highlighted by a 2015 IAEA report confirming its role in producing 20% enriched uranium before the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action limited its operations. A 2024 U.S. Naval Institute analysis shows Israel’s use of 80 bunker-busting JDAMs in Beirut, indicating capability to target deep underground sites, though Fordow’s depth (estimated 300 feet) poses a unique challenge.
19. The IRGC headquarters in Tehran has been struck.
20. Earlier on Friday, the (Israeli military) struck the military bases belonging to the Iranian Airforce 'Hamadan' and 'Tabriz' throughout western Iran, the 'Tabriz' base was dismantled as a result of the strike," the Israeli military said in a statement.
21. Iran was forced to partially halt gas production at the world's largest gas field, South Pars, after an Israeli airstrike caused a fire at one of its key processing units on Saturday. The attack, which hit Phase 14 of the offshore site, led to the suspension of 12 million cubic metres of gas output per day. The South Pars gas field, located offshore in Iran's Bushehr Province and shared with Qatar (which calls its portion the North Field), is the world's largest natural gas reserve. It provides nearly two-thirds (around 66 per cent) of Iran's domestic gas, which is essential for electricity, heating, and petrochemical production. Iran is the world's third-largest gas producer after the United States and Russia, generating around 275 billion cubic metres (bcm) annually, about 6.5 per cent of global output. Due to international sanctions, most of this gas is consumed domestically, though some is exported to countries like Iraq. Qatar, with help from global energy firms like Shell and ExxonMobil, exports 77 million tonnes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) every year from the same field to Europe and Asia. Until now, Israeli strikes focused on Iran's military and nuclear assets. But targeting energy infrastructure like South Pars crosses a red line, signalling that economic warfare is now in play. "This is a warning shot that Israel is willing to hit Iranian energy infrastructure if Israeli civilians are targeted," said Richard Bronze, head of geopolitics at Energy Aspects
22. Oil prices surged as much as 14 per cent on Friday following the initial Israeli strikes, settling around $73 (Rs 7000) per barrel.
23. Khamenei’s death would pose a greater challenge to the Islamic Republic’s stability than Ruhollah Khomeini’s passing in 1989. This would be especially true if he were killed alongside his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, whom many observers view as a potential successor. Such a scenario could destabilize the Islamic Republic, especially now that former President Ebrahim Raisi was killed after a helicopter crash this year. This has thinned out the existing succession options for the Iranian system. It would also increase factionalism among the political elite. History reveals that the weakest moment in a personalized regime often occurs at the leader’s demise.
24. There have been concerns over the pe*******on of those in Khamenei’s close circle, and his security protocols have tightened in recent years after a series of assassinations. Bodyguards can be seen seated between Khamenei and his closest military commanders in even small audiences. Last year, reports circulated that a young advisor to the Office of the Supreme Leader, Mohsen Saravani, had been executed for allegedly spying for Israel’s Mossad.
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