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Bbau Owino:  Hii mambo ya opposition inasema itaunite in December or next year; they will lose elections. By December, t...
08/09/2026

Bbau Owino: Hii mambo ya opposition inasema itaunite in December or next year; they will lose elections. By December, there will be so much interest, mpaka tena kila mtu atakuwa anataka kuenda kivyake. The best time for these people to unite is now. If they unveil one candidate and begin to campaign, it will be an early win for them. The more they wait, the more they split. Without opposition unity, we will suffer.

The emerging political friction between Rigathi Gachagua’s Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) and Ndindi Nyoro’s People’...
08/09/2026

The emerging political friction between Rigathi Gachagua’s Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) and Ndindi Nyoro’s People’s Party of Kenya (PPK) is increasingly looking less like a disagreement over the 2027 presidential race and more like a battle over who will control Mt Kenya’s local political machinery.

Within the Wantam movement, the political position being advanced is that Mt Kenya has already made up its mind on the presidential question, that William Ruto must be voted out in 2027.

The bigger question, therefore, is what happens to the hundreds of local elective positions that will determine who holds political power in the region after the election.

This is where Ndindi Nyoro’s political strategy appears to have unsettled Gachagua’s camp.

Nyoro has publicly indicated that he is part of the Wantam movement and that he would support whichever single presidential candidate the United Opposition eventually settles on. On the surface, that position should not threaten Gachagua if the primary objective is simply to defeat Ruto.

But the politics becomes more complicated when local seats enter the equation.

The concern attributed to Gachagua’s camp is that Nyoro could attract a stronger pool of experienced, moderate and issue-driven candidates for Governor, Senator, MP and MCA positions. Such candidates could compete directly against politicians seeking the same positions under the DCP ticket.

Nyoro’s emphasis on development, economic issues and relatively sober political messaging could, in this calculation, appeal to politicians and voters who may not identify with Gachagua’s more confrontational style of politics.

That creates a potential problem for Gachagua.

The DCP leader is building a political machine whose strength would ultimately be measured not only by the presidential candidate it supports, but by the number of Governors, Senators, MPs and MCAs elected on its ticket.

Those numbers could become an important bargaining tool after the 2027 election.

If DCP controls a large bloc of elected leaders from Mt Kenya, Gachagua would have greater political leverage when negotiating with whoever emerges as President. But if Nyoro’s political vehicle wins a significant number of those seats, the arithmetic changes dramatically.

That, therefore, could explain why Nyoro’s declaration that he will support the opposition’s eventual presidential choice has not completely settled the dispute.

The issue may not be who gets Mt Kenya’s presidential vote. The real contest could be who gets to control Mt Kenya’s political numbers after the vote.

For Gachagua, Nyoro’s entry potentially threatens the political mathematics of building a dominant regional party. For Nyoro, however, the argument is that supporting the broader Wantam objective does not require surrendering the region’s local political space to one party.

The emerging battle is consequently less about dividing Mt Kenya’s presidential vote and more about determining who will command the Governors, Senators, MPs and MCAs that emerge from the region in 2027.

In other words, the fight may not be over who becomes President. It may be over who controls the numbers after the President is elected.

President William Ruto’s 2027 re-election pact with ODM is straining under a widening fight over the spoils of the allia...
08/09/2026

President William Ruto’s 2027 re-election pact with ODM is straining under a widening fight over the spoils of the alliance, with the opposition party demanding the Deputy President slot, a heavy share of Nairobi elective seats and a legally enforceable 50/50 formula for state power.

ODM’s refusal to field a presidential candidate has therefore done little to settle the coalition’s terms.

Instead, it has moved the contest from who will run for State House to who will control the government if Ruto wins.

At the centre of ODM’s demands is the Deputy President position, which the party now regards as an “irreducible minimum” for backing Ruto.

That demand has unsettled the wider Kenya Kwanza arrangement, particularly politicians in Mt Kenya who had expected the Deputy President succession question to remain within Ruto’s existing coalition architecture. The stakes are not confined to State House.

ODM is seeking a substantial allocation of elective positions, particularly in Nairobi, where it wants zoning for the governor, senator and woman representative positions, alongside a sizeable number of constituencies.

ODM is also pushing for a legally binding Memorandum of Understanding governing the next administration.

The proposed arrangement would establish a 50/50 framework for sharing state power, giving the pact a structure beyond 2027.

There is a dangerous assumption taking root in Kenyan politics that because many voters are unhappy with William Ruto, t...
08/09/2026

There is a dangerous assumption taking root in Kenyan politics that because many voters are unhappy with William Ruto, they have already decided who should replace him. They really have not. And that difference may be the entire 2027 election.

The uncomfortable prediction, as things stand today, is that William Ruto is on course to win re-election in 2027, because his opponents appear determined to compete for the same prize before agreeing on how to defeat him.

This is the great game nobody wants to admit they are playing.

Kalonzo Musyoka finally wants his moment; Fred Matiang’i wants his shot; Edwin Sifuna increasingly looks ready to test his national appeal; while Rigathi Gachagua wants to prove that Mt Kenya is fully under his grip and that he remains the man capable of delivering it.

Each has a rational argument for why he should be at the centre of the united opposition ticket. Collectively, however, they risk producing an irrational outcome, ending up defeating themselves.

From the history of Kenyan polls, the opposition can fill stadiums, trend on X, produce devastating speeches and generate enormous public anger. None of that matters if, when the ballots arrive, the votes are scattered among four candidates who each believe they are the inevitable one.

An Infotrak survey released in July placed Ruto at 32 per cent, with Kalonzo at 13 per cent and Matiang’i and Sifuna at 12 per cent each.

Everyone says they want a united opposition yet what they really want is a united opposition behind them. Kalonzo cannot simply abandon what seems to be his last presidential ambition.

Matiang’i cannot spend years building a national profile only to hand the nomination to someone else without a fight.

Sifuna cannot suddenly become the face of Linda Mwananchi, without convincing the older political establishment that he can carry the country beyond Nairobi; and Gachagua cannot mobilise Mt Kenya indefinitely merely to become somebody else's foot soldier unless the bargain makes political sense. Especially because he is impeached.

So everybody has an incentive to cooperate, and everybody has an incentive to defect. It is classic game theory.

There is a temptation to read the current political mood and conclude that Ruto is finished, that would be premature.

Former Nyeri Town MP Ngunjiri Wambugu says former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has been privately trying to reach P...
07/09/2026

Former Nyeri Town MP Ngunjiri Wambugu says former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has been privately trying to reach President William Ruto despite publicly criticising the government.

In a Facebook post on Monday, Wambugu made the claim while commenting on remarks Gachagua made in the United States.

Wambugu revealed that the DCP leader has repeatedly left open the possibility of working with Ruto again if political circumstances change, while allegedly making private efforts to contact the President.

“Jofri keeps publicly hinting he can go back to Ruto; eg if Ichung’wah is removed near Ruto; if ODM leaves; if they meet in yues; etc. And we hear he’s always privately trying to reach out to Ruto,” Wambugu wrote.

While in the US, Gachagua suggested that he could reconsider his position if some politicians currently associated with Ruto moved away from the President.

“Nikisikia kabisa Junet na Atwoli na Professor Makau wametoka kwa Kasongo wakuje kwetu, mimi nitarudi kwa Kasongo. Because Kasongo atapita,” he said.

Ndindi Nyoro to Rigathi Gachagua:  Ndindi Nyoro has been supporting you in everything you have done. Wakati wa uchaguzi ...
07/09/2026

Ndindi Nyoro to Rigathi Gachagua: Ndindi Nyoro has been supporting you in everything you have done. Wakati wa uchaguzi wa runningmate tulikua watu wanne, Ndindi Nyoro akiwa hapo akaweka sahihi hapo na kazi ikapatikana. During the impeachment, Ndindi Nyoro never participated, na hata hio wakati hatukua tunaskizana, na unajua kwa nini. After impeachment, Ndindi Nyoro hakushiriki kwasababu aliona haikua haki...Sasa tunaona Ndindi Nyoro ako na heshima alafu watu wanafikiria, wakiamka kila asubuhi, ni kuleta maneno bure kwa Ndindi Nyoro. Mwenye anataka kurudi kwa Ruto, rudi kwake muulizane na yeye. K**a unataka pesa yake, wewe enda wachana na mimi.

When Rigathi Gachagua left for the US the idea was that he was there to mobilize Kenyans in America to support him with ...
07/09/2026

When Rigathi Gachagua left for the US the idea was that he was there to mobilize Kenyans in America to support him with money and hopefully votes and that is great for him.

Now Gachagua tells Kenyans that he is also doing shooting and combat practice in the USA and as he puts it that is for him to get ready for warfare in Kenya.

In the news, Rigathi Gachagua has explained why he recently resumed shooting practice while in the United States, saying he wanted to refresh skills he acquired during military training and teach his wife basic firearm handling.

He said his stay in the US had given him an opportunity to practise shooting and refresh some of the skills he had learnt more than three decades ago.

“The last time was when I went for training in 1990 on weaponry and basic combat skills. So I’m taking time here to do some bit of weaponry, some bit of basic combat skills,” Gachagua said.

Gachagua said he had also taken his wife to the shooting range to teach her basic firearm handling and shooting skills, arguing that the worsening security situation meant people could find themselves at risk.

He told Kenyans living in Spokane that they should also learn basic skills in handling fi****ms and remain alert, saying increasing cases of goonisms meant anyone could become a victim.

The scariest part of Gachagua’s story is that he is telling Kenyans that the last time he practiced targeted shooting and combat operations was in 1990 when he was President Moi’s D.O in Molo District.

After that 1990 shooting practice by then D.O Rigathi Gachagua he went on to actually shoot thousands of Kenyans with all his police officers helping him and it was one of the greatest achievements he made for his boss President Moi who was a political thug at that time killing Kenyans everywhere.

Moi decided to let D.O Gachagua deal with the Kikuyus in Molo District and just wipe them out and Gachagua did exactly that perfectly for Moi and was promoted by his boss.

The question is who is Gachagua planning to kill in Kenya this time around?

Now Gchagagua must be wishing Moi was around to give him a job as a DO again so he can kill people for him like he did in Molo in 1992 where he slaughtered more than 5,000 people mainly Kikuyus who did not vote for Moi in the first multiparty elections and was duly promoted after that achievement for the big boss.

Gachagua also forced more than 75,000 Kikuyus to flee from their homes in Molo for their lives at that time of mass murder.

James Orengo: What we have not done in the opposition which I accept, is talking about what is our agenda for change. Wh...
06/09/2026

James Orengo: What we have not done in the opposition which I accept, is talking about what is our agenda for change. What is the opposition going to do once we take over government? That part of the dialogue and discussion is still not very fulfilling...There is a lot that we have said about what is wrong, and very little about fixing what is wrong with the current regime

Junet Mohamed: Vyama vya serikali sasa ni UDA na ODM. Mtu asiseme UDA ndio serikali pekee yake, ODM pia ni serikali. Na ...
06/09/2026

Junet Mohamed: Vyama vya serikali sasa ni UDA na ODM. Mtu asiseme UDA ndio serikali pekee yake, ODM pia ni serikali. Na Rais ni mmoja, vyama ni viwili. Rais ni William Ruto, chama ni UDA na ODM. Hiyo ndio serikali. Tuko pamoja katika serikali ya broad based na tutapigia 2027 President William Samoei Ruto akuwe Rais term ya pili

Speaking on September 6 in Spokane, Washington, DCP leader Rigathi  Gachagua urged opposition leaders to rally behind on...
06/09/2026

Speaking on September 6 in Spokane, Washington, DCP leader Rigathi Gachagua urged opposition leaders to rally behind one candidate for 2027, naming Sifuna as a strong option with no historical baggage and even offering to deputize him.

He also suggested pairings like Sifuna with Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka, all to oust Ruto in a single round.

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