19/07/2022
🇷🇺🇮🇷 Regarding Putin's visit to Iran.
1. One of the main objectives of the visit is to prepare for the conclusion of a strategic cooperation agreement between Russia and Iran, in many ways identical to the one that Iran has already concluded with China for 25 years.
2. Due to objective reasons and the absence of the need for Russia to balance its position on Iran with the West, relations between Moscow and Tehran at the diplomatic and economic levels will be significantly improved in the coming years.
3. Of course, Russia will not significantly interfere with Iran in any way to play its nuclear card, especially since Iran has already openly stated that, if necessary, it will reach the level of uranium enrichment to 90% within a couple of weeks, but it is not doing this yet due to the continuation of negotiations on a nuclear deal. In the current conditions, the failure of the nuclear deal prevents the West from providing wider access to Iranian oil to the world markets, which is beneficial for the Russian energy strategy in the confrontation with the West.
4. Regarding the procurement of weapons from each other, there are no obstacles in fact for this. Iran's official position not to supply weapons to the conflict zone may well be the subject of negotiations and a cover for informal contacts regarding the supply of Iranian reconnaissance and strike UAVs and barrage ammunition for the needs of the Russian Armed Forces. Iran, in turn, is interested in the supply of modern air defense systems and fighter jets, which it will need in the event of a decision to finalize the nuclear program and protect against attempts by Israel and the United States to strike Iran. After the lifting of the UN Security Council weapons sanctions, Russia has the right to supply Iran with any conventional weapons, and this factor is certainly used in negotiations with Israel in the context of restrictions on the supply of Israeli weapons to Ukraine (relatively speaking, if you start