AbdulAziz Na'ibi Abubakar

19/08/2025

A Journey Towards 2027 Presidency Update: Gwaram LGA of Jigawa State Is Atikulated 👌

19/08/2025

After years of mismanagement, corruption, poverty, unemployment, insecurity, and division, Atiku Abubakar is ready to lead Nigeria toward prosperity and unity 🇳🇬.

18/08/2025

Best pictorial description of Bola TInubu's administration!

18/08/2025

A Political Calculus of Southeast/Igbo Presidency Under APC vs. Atiku/Obi

By AbdulAziz Na’ibi Abubakar

Sen. Dave Umahi’s assertion that the Southeast must back President Bola Tinubu to secure a future Igbo presidency prompts a political and probabilistic analysis. Let’s dissect the likelihood of an Igbo presidency under the APC versus an Atiku Abubakar/Peter Obi ticket, framed as a mathematical exercise in power dynamics.

Problem 1: Probability of Southeast/Igbo Presidency Under APC. If the Southeast supports Tinubu in 2027, he completes his term by 2031. Nigeria’s unwritten power-sharing norm would then favor the North for 2031–2039, with the vice presidency likely returning to the Southwest to cement APC’s regional strongholds. The Southwest could reclaim the presidency post-2039, sidelining the Southeast. The APC’s dismal 2023 Southeast performance (127,607 votes vs. Obi’s 1,960,590) and accusations of Igbo marginalization, evident in skewed appointments and exclusion from key bodies like the 2025 Census committee, render an Igbo candidacy improbable. Thus, the probability,( P(APC_{Igbo}) ), = 0.000000%

Problem 2: Probability of Southeast/Igbo Presidency Under Atiku/Obi. An Atiku/Obi ticket, potentially under a unified platform like the ADC, capitalizes on Atiku’s Northern influence and Obi’s Southeastern dominance. Their combined 13 million votes in 2023 dwarfed Tinubu’s 8.4 million, signaling electoral potency.

If Atiku wins in 2027, Obi’s path to the presidency by 2031/2034 is clear, bolstered by the “Obidient” movement and Atiku’s history of Igbo inclusion.

The probability, ( P(Atiku/Obi_{Igbo}) ), = 99.9%

Conclusion: The APC’s entrenched Southwestern-Northern axis and neglect of Southeastern interests make an Igbo presidency a political mirage. Conversely, the Atiku/Obi ticket offers a robust, coalition-driven pathway, aligning electoral strength with Nigeria’s clamour for equity. The Southeast’s political calculus demands strategic alignment with the latter. {P(APC_{Igbo}) = 0.000000%, P(Atiku/Obi_{Igbo}) = 99.9%.

17/08/2025

I'm confident that the coalition will work 💯

17/08/2025

From Herdsman to Scholar: The Rise of Professor Ahmadu Shehu Pullo

In a world where origins often limit ambition, Professor Ahmadu Shehu Pullo’s journey from a Fulani herdsman to a distinguished Professor of English and Literature at the American University of Nigeria shines as an intellectual triumph. Highlighted in the 2021 Glitterati pull-out, his story began in Adamawa, Nigeria, tending cattle, yet his sharp mind led him to a doctorate from the University of Warsaw in 2019.

Pullo defies societal norms, proving education and perseverance can elevate anyone. His ascent motivates youth, especially from underserved communities, blending cultural roots with academic success. As Olufunke Olaode notes, he exemplifies those who dream big, a beacon of hope from plains to lecture halls.

15/08/2025

A bamu a huta kawai 💁

15/08/2025

Fagge LGA, Kano State 📍

Daga wace jiha kake goyon bayan Atiku Abubakar? Fada mana sunan ka, da Local Government dinka a comment section 👇

15/08/2025

If presidential election holds today who're you voting for?