18/11/2019
Severe Weather Bulletin #29
Severe Tropical Storm"Ramon"
Severe Tropical Storm"Ramon"
Tropical Cyclone: WARNING
Issued at 05:00 pm, 18 November 2019
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 8:00 pm today.)
"RAMON" HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM AND NOW POSES A THREAT TO NORTHERN CAGAYAN.
The rainfall outlook for tonight: Moderate with occasional to frequent heavy rains over Cagayan including the Babuyan Islands, Batanes, the northern portion of Isabela, Ilocos Norte and Apayao. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over the rest of Ilocos Norte, rest of Isabela, Kalinga, Abra, and Ilocos Norte.
The rainfall outlook for tomorrow: Light to moderate with occasional heavy rains over Northern Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Batanes, Apayao, and the northern portion of Ilocos Norte. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over the rest of Ilocos Norte, Isabela, Kalinga, Abra, Ilocos Sur, and the rest of Cagayan.
Residents in the aforementioned areas, especially those living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to flooding and rain-induced landslides, are advised to take appropriate actions, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm or Rainfall Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings to be issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.
Sea travel is risky, especially for small sea crafts, over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, the western seaboard of Northern Luzon, and the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon due to prevailing or forecast rough sea conditions.
"RAMON" is forecast to make landfall over Northern Cagayan between tonight and tomorrow morning.
At 2:00 PM today, the Low-Pressure Area (LPA) outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) was estimated at 1,320 km East of Eastern Visayas (11.3°N, 137.8°E). This weather disturbance is forecast to enter the PAR within 24 hours and is being monitored for potential tropical cyclone development.
Location of Eye/center
At 4:00 PM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm "RAMON" was estimated based on all available data at 125 km East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.3 °N, 122.8 °E )
Movement
Moving North Northwest at 10 kph
Strength
Maximum sustained winds of 100 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 125 kph
Forecast Position
24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): In the vicinity of Dona Loreta, Pudtol, Apayao(18.2°N, 121.3°E)
48 Hour(Wednesday afternoon):275 km West of Iba, Zambales(15.2°N, 117.4°E)
72 Hour(Thursday afternoon): 10 km West of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(11.0°N, 114.0°E)
Wind Signal (Areas with TCWS)
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 2
AFFECTED AREAS
Luzon
Cagayan (including Babuyan Islands)
northern portion of Isabela (Sta. Maria
San Pablo
Maconacon
Cabagan
Sto. Tomas
Quezon
Delfin Albano
Tumauini
and Divilacan)
Apayao
Kalinga
and Ilocos Norte.
Visayas
-
Mindanao
-
Meteorological Condition
A tropical cyclone will affect the the locality.
Winds of greater than 61 kph and up to 120 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours.
Impact of the Wind
Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken.
Few big trees may be uprooted.
Many banana plants may be downed.
Rice and corn may be adversely affected.
Large number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
Some old galvanized iron roofings may be peeled off.
In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities.
Precautionary Measures
The sea and coastal waters are dangerous to small seacrafts
Special attention should be given to the latest position, the direction and speed of movement and the intensity of the storm as it may intensify and move towards the locality.
The general public especially people travelling by sea and air are cautioned to avoid unnecessary risks.
Outdoor activities of children should be postponed.
Secure properties before the signal is upgraded.
Disaster preparedness agencies / organizations are in action to alert their communities.
What To Do
Prepare flashlights, batteries , matches, kerosene lamps, or candles and charcoal in anticipation of power failure, first aid kit and store ready to eat foods.
Keep your cell phones fully charged.
Elevate household things in case of flooding.
For fishing folks, secure fishing boats in safe area.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 1
AFFECTED AREAS
Luzon
Batanes
Ilocos Sur
Abra
Mountain Province
Benguet
Ifugao
La Union
Northern Aurora (Dilasag
Casiguran
and Dinalungan)
and the rest of Isabela
Visayas
-
Mindanao
-
Meteorological Condition
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality.
Winds of 30-60 kph may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. (When the tropical cyclone develops very close to the locality a shorter lead time of the occurrence of the winds will be specified in the warning bulletin.)
Impact of the Wind
Twigs and branches of small trees may be broken.
Some banana plants may be tilted or downed.
Some houses of very light materials (nipa and cogon) may be partially unroofed.
Unless this warning signal is upgraded during the entire existence of the tropical cyclone, only very light or no damage at all may be sustained by the exposed communities.
Rice crop, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Precautionary Measures
When the tropical cyclone is strong or is intensifying and is moving closer, this signal may be upgraded to the next higher level.
The waves on coastal waters may gradually develop and become bigger and higher.
The people are advised to listen to the latest severe weather bulletin issued by PAGASA every six hours. In the meantime, business may be carried out as usual except when flood occur.
Disaster preparedness is activated to alert status.
What To Do
Inspect your house if necessary repair/fixing is needed.
Clean up drainage system.
Harvest crops tha can be yielded.
Monitor the latest Severe Weather Bulletin issued By PAGASA every six hours and hourly updates.
