05/11/2025
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NR. 3
Tropical Depression
Issued at 11:00 AM, 05 November 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR) MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE LOOPING OVER THE PACIFIC WATERS SOUTH OF GUAM.
• Location of Center (10:00 AM):
The center of Tropical Depression was estimated based on all available data at 1,835 km East of Northeastern Mindanao
(OUTSIDE PAR) (8.1°N, 143.3°E).
• Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 70 km/h, and central pressure of 1002 hPa.
• Present Movement:
Eastward at 10 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong winds extend outwards up to 450 km from the center
GENERAL OUTLOOK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD
• This tropical cyclone (TC) is forecast to move erratically in the next 12 or 24 hours. Afterwards, it will begin moving northwestward tomorrow (06 November) then turn west northwestward for the remainder of the forecast period. On the track forecast, this TC is forecast to enter the PAR on Friday (07 November) late evening or Saturday (08 November) morning. Once inside the PAR, the domestic name “UWAN” will be assigned to this TC.
• Although the uncertainty in track and intensity forecast is typically high for day-4 and day-5 forecasts, there is an increasing chance of landfall on Monday (10 November) over Northern or Central Luzon.
• In terms of intensity, this TC is forecast to rapidly intensify and may reach typhoon category on Friday and super typhoon category on Saturday. It may also make landfall at or near its peak lifetime intensity.
• For land hazards: Wind Signals may be hoisted over the eastern portion of Luzon and portions of Samar Provinces as early as Friday evening or Saturday morning in anticipation of strong winds or higher associated with the upcoming TC. The highest possible Wind Signal for the current forecast scenario is Wind Signal No. 5. Deterioration of weather condition may begin on Sunday (09 November). Potentially life-threatening stormy conditions may occur over Northern Luzon and portions of Central Luzon on Monday (10 November) and Tuesday (11 November). There is also a potential for high storm surge risk and related coastal flooding, especially in Northern Luzon and the east coast of Central Luzon. Storm surge warnings may be issued as early as Saturday.
• For marine hazards: Moderate to rough seas may begin over the northern and eastern seaboard of Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao on late Friday or on Saturday, western and southern seaboards of Luzon may reach moderate to rough sea condition by mid Saturday or on Sunday. Hazardous sea conditions (reaching very rough, high, very high, or phenomenal seas) may affect most of Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon and Visayas from Sunday onwards. Gale Warning for very rough seas in coastal waters will likely be issued on Saturday.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to continue monitoring for updates related to this tropical cyclone.
Unless there is an intermediate issuance, the next tropical cyclone advisory will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: tinyurl.com/tropical-cyclone-advisory
