03/11/2025
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 7
Typhoon (KALMAEGI)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 03 November 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
“TINO” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.
• Location of Center (1:00 PM)
The center of Typhoon TINO was estimated based on all available data including those from Guiuan Doppler Weather Radar at 235 km East Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.4°N, 127.8°E).
• Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 150 km/h, and central pressure of 975 hPa
• Present Movement
Westward at 25 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 300 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 4
➣ Wind threat: Typhoon-force winds
➣ Warning lead time: 12 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property
MINDANAO:
Dinagat Islands, and Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands
TCWS No. 3
➣ Wind threat: Storm-force winds
➣ Warning lead time: 18 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
VISAYAS:
The southern portion of Eastern Samar (Guiuan, Mercedes, Lawaan, Balangiga, Giporlos, Quinapondan, Salcedo), the southern portion of Samar (Marabut), the central and southern portions of Leyte (Tanauan, Palo, Tabontabon, Isabel, Merida, Palompon, Ormoc City, Dagami, Pastrana, Burauen, Albuera, Macarthur, La Paz, Mayorga, Dulag, Julita, Tolosa, Abuyog, Javier, City of Baybay, Mahaplag, Inopacan, Hilongos, Hindang, Bato, Matalom), Southern Leyte, the central portions of Cebu (Borbon, Sogod, Catmon, Carmen, Danao City, Compostela, Liloan, Lapu-Lapu City, Cordova, Consolacion, Mandaue City, Cebu City, Asturias, Balamban, Tuburan, Tabuelan, Tabogon, City of Talisay) including Camotes Islands, and the eastern portion of Bohol (Pres. Carlos P. Garcia, Bien Unido, Ubay, Trinidad, Talibon, San Miguel, Mabini, Getafe, Buenavista, Inabanga, Danao, Dagohoy, Guindulman, Pilar, Alicia, Candijay, Anda, Jagna, Duero, Sierra Bullones, Carmen, Sagbayan, Clarin)
MINDANAO:
The rest of Surigao del Norte
TCWS No. 2
➣ Wind threat: Gale-force winds
➣ Warning lead time: 24 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
LUZON:
The southern portion of Masbate (Esperanza, Pio V. Corpuz, Placer)
VISAYAS:
The central portion of Eastern Samar (Can-Avid, City of Borongan, Taft, Llorente, Maydolong, Balangkayan, Sulat, San Julian, General Macarthur, Hernani), the central portion of Samar (San Sebastian, Santa Rita, Villareal, Zumarraga, Pinabacdao, Talalora, Jiabong, City of Catbalogan, Motiong, Calbiga, Daram, Paranas, Basey, Hinabangan, Santo Niño, Almagro, Tarangnan), the rest of Leyte, Biliran, the rest of Bohol, the rest of Cebu including Bantayan Islands, and the northern and central portions of Negros Oriental (Tayasan, Manjuyod, City of Tanjay, Bais City, Mabinay, Bindoy, Ayungon, Jimalalud, City of Guihulngan, La Libertad, Canlaon City, Vallehermoso, Sibulan, San Jose, Amlan, Pamplona, City of Bayawan, Basay, Valencia, Dumaguete City, Bacong), Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Guimaras, Capiz, Iloilo, the southern portion of Aklan (Madalag, Libacao, Balete, Altavas, Batan, Banga, New Washington), and the southern portion of Antique (Patnongon, Sibalom, Barbaza, Valderrama, Hamtic, San Jose, Bugasong, Culasi, Tibiao, Anini-Y, San Remigio, Belison, Tobias Fornier, Laua-An)
MINDANAO:
The northern portion of Surigao del Sur (Carrascal, Cantilan, Madrid, Carmen, Lanuza, Cortes, Tago, San Miguel, Marihatag, Cagwait, Bayabas, City of Tandag), the northern portion of Agusan del Sur (Sibagat), the northern portion of Agusan del Norte (Kitcharao, Jabonga, Santiago, Tubay, City of Cabadbaran, Remedios T. Romualdez, Magallanes), and Camiguin
TCWS No. 1
➣ Wind threat: Strong winds
➣ Warning lead time: 36 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
LUZON:
Albay, Sorsogon, the rest of Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, the southern portion of Quezon (San Francisco, San Andres), the southern portion of Marinduque (Torrijos, Buenavista, Gasan, Boac), Romblon, the central and southern portions of Oriental Mindoro (Bansud, Bongabong, Roxas, Mansalay, Bulalacao, Gloria, Pinamalayan, Socorro, Pola, Victoria), the central and southern portions of Occidental Mindoro (San Jose, Rizal, Calintaan, Magsaysay, Sablayan, Santa Cruz), and the northern portion of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Dumaran, Araceli, San Vicente, Roxas) including Calamian Islands, Cuyo Islands, and Cagayancillo Islands
VISAYAS:
Northern Samar, the rest of Eastern Samar, the rest of Samar, the rest of Negros Oriental, the rest of Aklan, and the rest of Antique including Caluya Islands
MINDANAO:
The rest of Surigao del Sur, the central portion of Agusan del Sur (City of Bayugan, Prosperidad, Esperanza, San Luis, Talacogon, San Francisco, Rosario), the rest of Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, and the northern portion of Bukidnon (Baungon, Malitbog, Impasug-Ong, Libona, Manolo Fortich, Sumilao), the northern portion of Misamis Occidental (Baliangao, Plaridel, Sapang Dalaga, Calamba, Lopez Jaena, Concepcion, Oroquieta City, Aloran), and the northern portion of Zamboanga del Norte (Sibutad, Rizal, Dipolog City, Manukan, Pres. Manuel A. Roxas, Katipunan, Polanco, Dapitan City, Piñan, La Libertad, Mutia, Jose Dalman)
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
➣ Heavy Rainfall Outlook
• Refer to Weather Advisory No. 8 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the Shear Line and TINO.
Link: tinyurl.com/wxadvisory
➣ Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
Furthermore the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the shear line coinciding with the passage of TINO will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas not under Wind Signal (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Aurora, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region.
• Tomorrow (04 November): Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region.
• Wednesday (05 November): Ilocos Region, most of Cagayan Valley, most of Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
➣ Coastal Flooding
There is a high risk of life-threatening and damaging storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m within the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal communities of Masbate, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 5 issued at 2:00 PM today for more details.
Link: tinyurl.com/storm-surge-warning
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao, and the eastern and southern seaboards of Southern Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 2 issued at 5:00 AM today.
Link: tinyurl.com/gale-warning
➣ 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough to high over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 9.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands.
• Up to 8.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar.
• Up to 7.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar; the southern seaboard of Samar; the eastern seaboard of Leyte.
• Up to 6.0 m: The western seaboard of Leyte, the eastern seaboards of northern and central Cebu, the northern seaboard of Bohol.
• Up to 5.0 m: The northern seaboards of Negros Occidental; the eastern seaboards of Northern Samar, northern Iloilo, and Southern Leyte; the southern seaboard of Masbate; the western seaboard of Dinagat Islands.
• Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Romblon, Cuyo Islands, and Surigao del Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the southern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro; the remaining seaboards of Masbate, Visayas and Caraga Region.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Isabela, Aurora, northern mainland Quezon, and Camarines Norte; the northern and eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan.
• Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan.
• Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of La Union, Marinduque, Northern Mindanao, and Davao Oriental; the eastern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the remaining seaboard of Bicol Region and Quezon.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboard of northern Palawan including Calamian Islands and Davao Occidental; the western and southern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro.
• Up to 2.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales and Zamboanga del Norte; the western seaboard of Bataan; the seaboard of Batangas; the remaining seaboards of Pangasinan, Occidental Mindoro, and Oriental Mindoro.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• Heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to hoisted Wind Signals and the “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” section for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• On the track forecast, TINO will move generally westward for the next 24 hours and may make its initial landfall over the vicinity of the southern portion of Eastern Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte, or Dinagat Islands tonight or tomorrow (04 November) early morning. Afterwards, TINO will traverse Visayas and northern Palawan before emerging over the West Philippine Sea on Wednesday (05 November) afternoon. This weather disturbance may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Thursday (06 November) morning.
• TINO is forecast make its initial landfall at or near peak intensity (currently forecasted around 150-165 km/h maximum winds with higher gustiness). Rapid intensification within the next 24 hours is likely. While its interaction with the terrain will trigger a slight weakening, TINO is expected to remain as a typhoon throughout its passage over the country.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: tinyurl.com/TCB-TinoPH
Courtesy of: DOST-PAGASA
