25/08/2026
Market Commentary: August 25, 2026
Let’s be real: we can't just blame the August "Ghost Month" vibes for the current market sluggishness. The real monsters? Inflation, oil casually breaching Php 90/L, and sluggish GDP growth. The bear hasn't just visited; it moved in, changed the locks, and is currently reading your mail.
Regulatory Jitters (MER & Telcos):
Manila Electric Co. (MER) went from a sturdy fortress to a wobbly Jenga tower, shedding 17% in July over anxieties about proposed system loss regulations. Meanwhile, legacy Telcos (GLO, TEL, CNRG) are sweating the "Konektadong Pinoy Act," which removes archaic franchise barriers and opens the doors to fierce new competition.
The GSMI Anomaly:
Ginebra (GSMI) sold off ~21% after a drop in Q2 net income. But look closer—the drag was entirely from non-core items! Selling this fundamentally strong company over headline noise is like dumping someone because they spilled a milkshake. Their business moat and pricing power remain incredibly deep.
Technical Outlook:
The PSEi is trapped in an uninspiring 6,100-6,200 range, repeatedly getting "ghosted" at the 6,300 resistance level. Market wizards largely agree that 2026 is shaping up to be a year of consolidation and survival.
✨ The Silver Lining:
While a sideways market tests our patience, it’s also the absolute best time to go bargain hunting! Use this quiet period to pack a lunch, adjust your strategy, and slowly scoop up undervalued, fundamentally sound gems (like GSMI). The seeds planted during grumpy bear markets are exactly what bloom into massive gains when the bulls finally return. Stay patient, stay smart, and keep building for next year!