13/04/2025
The Duterte Effect in the 2025 Philippine Midterm Elections
Despite facing arrest and being sent to the Hague for alleged crimes during his presidency, former President Rodrigo Duterte remains a dominant force in Philippine politics. In a stunning twist, the so-called "Duterte Effect" has once again proven its power, as recent surveys show a significant surge in support for PDP Laban's Senate slate and Duterte endorsed guest candidates.
Following the international arrest, Duterte’s supporters rallied worldwide, sparking widespread sympathy and renewed political energy. This has translated into numbers: PDP Laban’s senatorial slate saw a notable 15% increase in voter preference, with several candidates jumping into the top 12 rankings for the first time. Analysts point to a “protest vote” sentiment, with many Filipinos expressing nationalistic defiance and loyalty to the former president.
Despite his absence from the campaign trail, Duterte’s influence remains visibly strong. His brand of politics, tough, direct, and populist, continues to resonate with a large portion of the electorate. The 2025 midterm elections may become a referendum not just on current leadership, but also on how deeply Duterte’s legacy is embedded in the Philippine political landscape.
The Hague may hold Duterte, but his grip on Philippine politics is far from over.