Pak Weather Info

24/07/2026

مون سون بارشوں کا الرٹ۔
محکمۂ موسمیات کی پیش گوئی اور دستیاب موسمی ماڈلز کے مطابق آئندہ 2 سے 3 دنوں کے دوران سندھ کے مختلف اضلاع میں مون سون کی سرگرمیوں میں اضافہ متوقع ہے۔ بحیرۂ عرب سے آنے والی مرطوب ہوائیں گرج چمک کے ساتھ بارش کا سبب بن سکتی ہیں، جبکہ جنوب مشرقی سندھ میں بعض مقامات پر شدید بارش کا امکان موجود ہے۔
زیادہ بارش کا امکان
تھرپارکر (مٹھی، ڈپلو، نگرپارکر)
عمرکوٹ
میرپورخاص
بدین
مشرقی سانگھڑ
ان علاقوں میں 40 سے 100 ملی میٹر تک بارش متوقع ہے، جبکہ تھرپارکر کے چند مقامات پر اس سے بھی زیادہ بارش ہو سکتی ہے۔
درمیانی بارش کا امکان
حیدرآباد
ٹنڈو اللہ یار
ٹنڈو محمد خان
مٹیاری
شہید بینظیر آباد (نواب شاہ)
خیرپور
سکھر
لاڑکانہ
ہلکی سے درمیانی بارش کا امکان
کراچی
ٹھٹھہ
سجاول
جامشورو
دادو
جیکب آباد
کشمور
ممکنہ اثرات
نشیبی علاقوں میں پانی جمع ہونے اور شہری سیلاب کا خدشہ۔
گرج چمک کے ساتھ تیز ہوائیں اور آسمانی بجلی گرنے کا امکان۔
بعض مقامات پر ٹریفک کی روانی متاثر ہو سکتی ہے۔
زرعی علاقوں میں مقامی سطح پر پانی کھڑا ہونے کا امکان۔
اہم نوٹ
اس وقت عالمی موسمی ماڈلز کی پیش گوئیوں میں واضح فرق دیکھا جا رہا ہے۔ اس کی ایک وجہ طاقتور ایل نینو (Strong El Niño) سے وابستہ موسمی بے یقینی اور مون سون کے پیچیدہ نظام ہیں، جس کے باعث ہر نئے ماڈل رن میں بارش کی شدت اور محلِ وقوع میں نمایاں تبدیلی آ سکتی ہے۔ لہٰذا اس پیش گوئی میں آنے والے دنوں میں ردوبدل ممکن ہے،

24/07/2026

Monsoon Weather Alert
A fresh spell of monsoon activity is expected to affect parts of Sindh during the next 2–3 days. Moisture from the Arabian Sea, combined with favorable atmospheric conditions, is likely to produce widespread rain, thunderstorms, and isolated heavy downpours, particularly across southeastern Sindh.
Areas Most Likely to Receive Heavy Rain:
Tharparkar (Mithi, Diplo, Nagarparkar)
Umerkot
Mirpurkhas
Badin
Eastern Sanghar
Rainfall in these districts may range from 40–100 mm, with isolated locations in southeastern Tharparkar potentially exceeding 100 mm if thunderstorms repeatedly develop over the same area.
Moderate Rain Expected:
Hyderabad
Tando Allahyar
Tando Muhammad Khan
Matiari
Shaheed Benazirabad (Nawabshah)
Khairpur (isolated)
Sukkur (isolated)
Larkana (isolated)
Light to Moderate Rain Possible
Karachi
Thatta
Sujawal
Jamshoro
Dadu
Jacobabad
Kashmore
Potential Impacts
Urban flooding is possible in low-lying areas of Mirpurkhas, Umerkot, Badin, and Tharparkar.
Temporary road inundation and travel disruptions.
Strong wind gusts and frequent lightning with thunderstorms.
Localized flooding of agricultural land in southeastern Sindh.
Reduced visibility during heavy rainfall.
Forecast Confidence & Uncertainty
Confidence: Moderate
Forecast guidance continues to indicate the highest rainfall potential over southeastern Sindh, while rainfall over Karachi and central Sindh is expected to remain lighter and more scattered.
However, forecast confidence is lower than usual because current monsoon conditions are highly dynamic. Variations in large-scale climate drivers—including the evolving ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) state and other atmospheric oscillations—can cause significant run-to-run changes in numerical weather models. As a result, rainfall amounts and the exact placement of heavy thunderstorms may shift with future model updates.

22/07/2026

Monsoon Weather Advisory

Issued:23 July 2026
Valid:Next 24 Hours

Synoptic Situation

Well marked cyclonic circulation persists over northwest India while the monsoon trough extends westwards towards southeastern Pakistan

A cyclonic circulation is evident over the northeast Arabian Sea adjoining Kutch/Saurashtra region, resulting in strong south to southwesterly moist inflow from the Arabian Sea into Sindh and adjoining southern Pakistan.

Moderate to strong monsoon currents are penetrating Sindh, Southern Punjab, Northeastern Balochistan, Parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and likely to strengthen within next 12-24 hours.

Enhanced nexus formation of cyclonic circulation over Madhya Pradesh with cyclonic circulation over southeast Sindh,bringing monsoon trough southwestward in to Sindh combined with daytime heating and atmospheric instability, is likely to trigger widespread thunderstorm development.

Next 24 hours Forecast:

SINDH:

Widespread rain-wind/thundershowers are expected over Karachi, Hyderabad, Jamshoro, Tando Allahyar, Tando Muhammad Khan,Matiari, Mirpurkhas, Umerkot,Sanghar,Shaheed Benazirabad, Larkana, Qambar Shahdadkot, Jacobabad, Shikarpur, Sukkur, Khairpur, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal and Dadu.

Moderate to heavy rainfall at isolated places is likely over:

* Hyderabad Division
* Mirpurkhas Division
* Larkana Division
* Qambar Shahdadkot
* Sanghar
* Dadu

Karachi may experience intermittent rain/showers accompanied by gusty winds; however, prolonged heavy rainfall appears less likely than over inland Sindh.

PUNJAB

Scattered rain-wind/thundershowers are expected over Rawalpindi ,Attock, Chakwal
,Jhelum, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Sialkot, Narowal, Lahore, Faisalabad and Sargodha.

Southern Punjab including Multan, Bahawalpur, Dera Ghazi Khan, Rahim Yar Khan may receive isolated light to moderate showers.

KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA

Rain-wind/thundershowers are expected over Peshawar, Kohat, Bannu, Lakki Marwat, North Waziristan,Kurram and Hangu.

Moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls is possible over Bannu and adjoining districts.

BALOCHISTAN

Scattered rain-wind/thundershowers are likely over Zhob, Musakhel, Barkhan, Loralai, Dera Bugti, and Sibi.

Isolated showers are also possible over Kalat Division.

Southern and western Balochistan will remain mainly hot and humid with isolated rainfall.

Gilgit-Baltistan & Azad Jammu and Kashmir

Partly cloudy weather with isolated rain-wind/thundershowers is expected over mountainous regions.

Fresh to strong southwesterly monsoon winds will continue over the northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining coastal belt.
Gusts of 40–60 km/h are expected with thunderstorms.
Isolated gusts exceeding 70 km/h may occur near stronger convective cells.

Possible Impacts

Urban flooding may develop in low-lying areas of:

* Hyderabad
* Mirpurkhas
* Larkana
* Sanghar
* Dadu

Heavy rainfall may inundate roads and underpasses.

Strong winds may uproot weak trees, solar panels,damage signboards, temporary structures and electricity lines.

Frequent lightning poses a risk to outdoor activities.

Reduced visibility is expected during heavy showers.

ADVISORY

* Local administrations should ensure drainage systems remain operational.
* Residents in flood-prone urban areas should remain alert for temporary water accumulation.
* Farmers are advised to schedule agricultural operations considering expected rainfall.
* Fishermen are advised to exercise caution due to strengthening southwesterly winds over the Arabian Sea.
* Tourists travelling to northern hilly areas should remain updated with the latest weather information.
*Stay tuned with pak weather info’s specialized alerts and thunderstorm tracks during peak thunderstorm outbreaks to ensure safety.

05/07/2026

Monsoon 2026 Update

Based on the latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Organization, Pakistan Meteorological Department, and international ENSO prediction centers, El Niño is expected to develop and strengthen during the second half of 2026, potentially becoming moderate to strong by late summer or autumn.
Expected effects on Pakistan's 2026 monsoon (July–September)
The impacts below are forecasts, not certainties. El Niño changes the odds of certain weather patterns but does not determine the weather on every day.
1. Overall monsoon rainfall
Most of Pakistan has an increased chance of below-normal seasonal rainfall, especially in southern and central regions.
Rainfall may become more irregular, with long dry spells interrupted by intense rain events.
2. Temperature
Higher-than-normal daytime and nighttime temperatures are expected across much of Pakistan.
More frequent and prolonged heatwaves are possible before and during the monsoon.
3. Northern Pakistan
Although El Niño often suppresses the overall South Asian monsoon, northern mountainous regions can still experience:
Short periods of very heavy rainfall
Flash floods
Landslides
Rapid rises in rivers due to intense localized storms.
4. Sindh and Balochistan
Greater likelihood of hotter and drier conditions overall.
However, occasional monsoon systems from the Bay of Bengal can still produce heavy rain and urban flooding, particularly in cities such as Karachi and Hyderabad. El Niño does not eliminate the possibility of extreme rainfall. Occasional locally developed convective storms due to intense heat and moisture cannot be ruled out. Also weak chances (20-25%) of western disturbances to sweep southward and cause isolated to scattered storms in Sindh during very late monsoon phase (September-October).
5. Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
Rainfall may be below average overall, but individual monsoon spells could still be intense.
Localized flooding remains possible during strong weather systems.
Agriculture
Possible impacts include:
Moisture stress for Kharif crops where rainfall is deficient.
Increased irrigation demand.
Heat stress on crops and livestock.
Flood damage in areas affected by localized heavy rainfall.
Forecast confidence
Confidence is moderate:
There is good agreement that El Niño will influence the climate in 2026.
However, Pakistan's monsoon is also affected by the Indian Ocean Dipole, the Madden–Julian Oscillation, western disturbances, and local weather systems. These factors can either strengthen or weaken El Niño's effects.

Current seasonal climate models indicate that the Indian Ocean Dipole is likely to remain neutral during the early monsoon (June–July 2026), with an increasing chance of transitioning to a weak-to-moderate positive IOD during August–October 2026. However, confidence is lower than for the El Niño forecast.
If a positive IOD develops:
It can partially offset the drying effect of El Niño.
Rainfall over parts of South Asia, including Pakistan, may improve during the late monsoon (August–September).
The improvement is unlikely to completely cancel the effects of a moderate or strong El Niño.

22/06/2026