20/07/2021
The Fate of Afghanistan
On September 11, 2001. 4 commercial planes were hijacked by 19 Al-Qaeda terrorists.2 planes were crashed into the World Trade Centre, 1 in Pentagon, and the last was intended for the White House but crashed in a nearby field. The crashes took place within an hour and a half and almost 3000 lives were lost. America suffered a loss of about $1.4 trillion in just the first week after the attacks. These attacks were condemned by the world and America was determined on vengeance. Osama bin Laden and Khalid Sheikh Mohammad were held responsible for the attacks. Both were members of Al-Qaeda and both resided in Afghanistan.
9/11 culminated in a series of events that were devastating to economies and human lives. Weeks after Al Qaeda attacked the United States on Sept. 11, President George W. Bush announced that American forces had launched attacks against the terrorist group and Taliban targets in Afghanistan. By December 2001, the Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden and other top commanders had fled to safety in Pakistan, a nominal U.S. ally. American forces did not pursue them, and Pakistan ultimately evolved into a safe haven for Taliban commanders and fighters, who in subsequent years crossed the border to attack American and Afghan forces.
The Taliban’s emerged in the early 1990s in northern Pakistan. America funded Pakistan to train the Taliban to use them against the Soviet troops in the Soviet-Afghanistan war. After the US victory, American troops left Afghanistan. Seeing the condition of Afghanistan after being in war for a decade, they made a promise to restore peace and security and enforce Sharia once in power. From 1996-2001 the Taliban rose to power and controlled roughly three-quarters of Afghanistan.
But when the American troops came into Afghanistan, they found that the Taliban and the Al-Qaeda were allies. On seeing this the American troops quickly toppled down the Taliban government and crushed its fighting force by the end of December 2001. After routing the Taliban, the United States and NATO pivoted to rebuilding a failed state and establishing a Western-style democracy, spending billions trying to reconstruct a desperately poor country already ravaged by two decades of war, first during the Soviet occupation of the 1980s and then during the preceding civil war. There were early successes. A pro-Western government was installed. New schools, hospitals, and public facilities were built. Thousands of girls, barred from education under Taliban rule, attended school. Women, largely confined to their homes by the Taliban, went to college, joined the workforce, and served in Parliament and government. But corruption was rampant, millions of dollars were stolen and the government was unable to provide the citizens with basic needs, and their power barely extended beyond the capital, Kabul, and other major cities.
Then in 2003, US turned its attention towards the war in Iraq and this gave the Taliban the opening they needed. The Taliban rebuilt their fighting capabilities despite the American troops controlling the once Taliban-controlled regions. When the Taliban became a threat, then-President Obama deployed thousands of more troops to control the Taliban. The number of American troops in Afghanistan reached 100,000 by 2010. But the Taliban only grew stronger, inflicting heavy casualties on Afghan security forces despite American combat power and airstrikes.
In May 2011, a U.S. Navy SEAL team killed Osama bin Laden in a compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, where he had been living for years near a Pakistan military training academy. In June, President Obama announced that he would start bringing American forces home and hand over responsibility for security to the Afghans by 2014. By then, the Pentagon had concluded that the war could not be won militarily and that only a negotiated settlement could end the conflict.
Nearly three years later, President Donald J. Trump said that although his first instinct had been to withdraw all troops, he would nonetheless continue to prosecute the war. He stressed that any troop withdrawal would be based on combat conditions, not predetermined timelines. But the Trump administration also had been talking to the Taliban since 2018, leading to formal negotiations that excluded the Afghan government, led by President Ashraf Ghani. In February 2020, the Trump administration signed an agreement with the Taliban that called for all American forces to leave Afghanistan by May 1, 2021. In return, the Taliban pledged to cut ties with terrorist groups such as Al Qaeda and the Islamic State affiliate in Afghanistan, reduce violence and negotiate with the American-backed Afghan government. But with the Afghan government excluded from the U.S.-Taliban deal, relations with the United States were strained. The Trump administration pressured Ashraf Ghani to release 5,500 Taliban prisoners while receiving little in return, further alienating the Afghan government. After the deal was signed, the Taliban stopped attacking American troops and refrained from major terrorist bombings in Afghan cities. The United States reduced air support for government forces, generally restricting them to instances in which Afghan troops were in danger of being overrun. After President Biden announced in April the U.S. withdrawal of American forces, NATO said its 7,000 troops in Afghanistan would coordinate their withdrawal with the United States. The Biden administration says it continues to support peace talks, but the Taliban appear in no hurry to negotiate.
With the US leaving Afghanistan, the Taliban have held an upper hand. The group is thought to now be stronger in numbers than at any point since they were in 2001 - with up to 85,000 full-time fighters, according to recent NATO estimates. Their control of territory is harder to estimate, as districts swing back and forth between them and government forces, but recent estimates put it somewhere about 85% of Afghanistan. This includes all the mountainous areas where population density is near zero. The Afghan Government controls the major cities with 70% population living there. But the Taliban now are changing their strategy. They now control almost all the Afghanistan borders with Iran, Pakistan, China, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan. President Biden said ‘The Taliban attack is certainly not inevitable but the chances of an Afghan Government is slim.’
The Americans are leaving without deciding the fate of Afghanistan. They have been involved in the countries affairs for 2 decades and leaving so abruptly is not the right thing to do. Firstly there was no need for the Americans to stay IN Afghanistan for so long. They came to kill bin Laden and avenge those lost in the 9/11 attacks. They even had diplomatic relations with the Taliban. They should have left years ago. They tried to reconstruct Afghanistan and spent nearly $50 billion but failed because of their negligence? The Taliban will take control of Afghanistan and the people will become oppressed again all because of a misplanned war.The Fate of Afghanistan
On September 11, 2001. 4 commercial planes were hijacked by 19 Al-Qaeda terrorists.2 planes were crashed into the World Trade Centre, 1 in Pentagon, and the last was intended for the White House but crashed in a nearby field. The crashes took place within an hour and a half and almost 3000 lives were lost. America suffered a loss of about $1.4 trillion in just the first week after the attacks. These attacks were condemned by the world and America was determined on vengeance. Osama bin Laden and Khalid Sheikh Mohammad were held responsible for the attacks. Both were members of Al-Qaeda and both resided in Afghanistan.
9/11 culminated in a series of events that were devastating to economies and human lives. Weeks after Al Qaeda attacked the United States on Sept. 11, President George W. Bush announced that American forces had launched attacks against the terrorist group and Taliban targets in Afghanistan. By December 2001, the Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden and other top commanders had fled to safety in Pakistan, a nominal U.S. ally. American forces did not pursue them, and Pakistan ultimately evolved into a safe haven for Taliban commanders and fighters, who in subsequent years crossed the border to attack American and Afghan forces.
The Taliban’s emerged in the early 1990s in northern Pakistan. America funded Pakistan to train the Taliban to use them against the Soviet troops in the Soviet-Afghanistan war. After the US victory, American troops left Afghanistan. Seeing the condition of Afghanistan after being in war for a decade, they made a promise to restore peace and security and enforce Sharia once in power. From 1996-2001 the Taliban rose to power and controlled roughly three-quarters of Afghanistan.
But when the American troops came into Afghanistan, they found that the Taliban and the Al-Qaeda were allies. On seeing this the American troops quickly toppled down the Taliban government and crushed its fighting force by the end of December 2001. After routing the Taliban, the United States and NATO pivoted to rebuilding a failed state and establishing a Western-style democracy, spending billions trying to reconstruct a desperately poor country already ravaged by two decades of war, first during the Soviet occupation of the 1980s and then during the preceding civil war. There were early successes. A pro-Western government was installed. New schools, hospitals, and public facilities were built. Thousands of girls, barred from education under Taliban rule, attended school. Women, largely confined to their homes by the Taliban, went to college, joined the workforce, and served in Parliament and government. But corruption was rampant, millions of dollars were stolen and the government was unable to provide the citizens with basic needs, and their power barely extended beyond the capital, Kabul, and other major cities.
Then in 2003, US turned its attention towards the war in Iraq and this gave the Taliban the opening they needed. The Taliban rebuilt their fighting capabilities despite the American troops controlling the once Taliban-controlled regions. When the Taliban became a threat, then-President Obama deployed thousands of more troops to control the Taliban. The number of American troops in Afghanistan reached 100,000 by 2010. But the Taliban only grew stronger, inflicting heavy casualties on Afghan security forces despite American combat power and airstrikes.
In May 2011, a U.S. Navy SEAL team killed Osama bin Laden in a compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, where he had been living for years near a Pakistan military training academy. In June, President Obama announced that he would start bringing American forces home and hand over responsibility for security to the Afghans by 2014. By then, the Pentagon had concluded that the war could not be won militarily and that only a negotiated settlement could end the conflict.
Nearly three years later, President Donald J. Trump said that although his first instinct had been to withdraw all troops, he would nonetheless continue to prosecute the war. He stressed that any troop withdrawal would be based on combat conditions, not predetermined timelines. But the Trump administration also had been talking to the Taliban since 2018, leading to formal negotiations that excluded the Afghan government, led by President Ashraf Ghani. In February 2020, the Trump administration signed an agreement with the Taliban that called for all American forces to leave Afghanistan by May 1, 2021. In return, the Taliban pledged to cut ties with terrorist groups such as Al Qaeda and the Islamic State affiliate in Afghanistan, reduce violence and negotiate with the American-backed Afghan government. But with the Afghan government excluded from the U.S.-Taliban deal, relations with the United States were strained. The Trump administration pressured Ashraf Ghani to release 5,500 Taliban prisoners while receiving little in return, further alienating the Afghan government. After the deal was signed, the Taliban stopped attacking American troops and refrained from major terrorist bombings in Afghan cities. The United States reduced air support for government forces, generally restricting them to instances in which Afghan troops were in danger of being overrun. After President Biden announced in April the U.S. withdrawal of American forces, NATO said its 7,000 troops in Afghanistan would coordinate their withdrawal with the United States. The Biden administration says it continues to support peace talks, but the Taliban appear in no hurry to negotiate.
With the US leaving Afghanistan, the Taliban have held an upper hand. The group is thought to now be stronger in numbers than at any point since they were in 2001 - with up to 85,000 full-time fighters, according to recent NATO estimates. Their control of territory is harder to estimate, as districts swing back and forth between them and government forces, but recent estimates put it somewhere about 85% of Afghanistan. This includes all the mountainous areas where population density is near zero. The Afghan Government controls the major cities with 70% population living there. But the Taliban now are changing their strategy. They now control almost all the Afghanistan borders with Iran, Pakistan, China, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan. President Biden said ‘The Taliban attack is certainly not inevitable but the chances of an Afghan Government is slim.’
The Americans are leaving without deciding the fate of Afghanistan. They have been involved in the countries affairs for 2 decades and leaving so abruptly is not the right thing to do. Firstly there was no need for the Americans to stay IN Afghanistan for so long. They came to kill bin Laden and avenge those lost in the 9/11 attacks. They even had diplomatic relations with the Taliban. They should have left years ago. They tried to reconstruct Afghanistan and spent nearly $50 billion but failed because of their negligence? The Taliban will take control of Afghanistan and the people will become oppressed again all because of a misplanned war.