New Geopolitics Research Network

24/10/2024

Чудовий аналіз можливих сценаріїв післявиборчої ситуації в Грузії від Gela Vasadze для NGRN. Дякую, друже!

Gela Vasadze, Georgian Strategic Analysis Center Especially for the New Geopolitics Research Network Only a few days are left before the elections in Georgia. The elections are not easy, because the pro-European foreign policy vector is under threat for the first time in the country’s modern histo...

06/05/2024

З колегами з New Strategy Center - NSC та Hudson Institute провели комплексний аналіз ситуації в Чорному морі з цілком логічним висновком: The Battle for the Black Sea is not over.

The New Strategy Center (Romania), the New Geopolitics Research Network (Ukraine), and the Hudson Institute (USA) presented the study on the deep analysis of the situation in the Black Sea region. The authors of the study are George Scutaru, CEO of the New Strategy Center, Antonia Colibasanu, senior...

14/02/2024

02/02/2024

09/01/2024

Дякую Анатолій Максимов за аналіз типу ракет, які КНДР могла передати рф. Разом оцінили наслідки появи північнокорейських ракетних озброєнь в арсеналі країни-агресора

Стаття за посиланням:
https://uacrisis.org/uk/what-missiles-could-north-korea-provide-to-russia

08/12/2023

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zupZ_pVpL_g&t=34s

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine has led to the largestmigration crisis in Europe since World War II. According to theUnited Nations, there were 5.8 million Ukrainian refugees in Europe as of October 2023.

Within the hybrid war against the West, the Kremlin uses thefactor of Ukrainian displaced persons to destabilize the politicaland social situation in EU countries. With this aim, Russia isparasitizing anti-immigrant sentiments among right-wing andconservative circles of European societies.

Russian propaganda discredits the image of Ukrainians in Europe. Russian propaganda operations are aimed at constructing mythsabout refugees from Ukraine in the minds of Europeans.

With the European Parliament elections in 2024 approaching, Russia is likely to step up its efforts to discredit nationalgovernments in EU countries by exploiting the issue of Ukrainianrefugees.

Moreover, manipulation of Ukrainian refugees is common in theinformation environment of populist and right-wing radicalmovements, as well as EU political parties. Thus, this topic is partof the Kremlin's indirect influence on Europe's political and socialstability, which is carried out through radicalization of publicsentiment.

In this regard, Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group/UCMC team identified 6 key myths aboutUkrainian refugees. We also debunked each of thesemanipulations. Watch the video to find more…

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine has led to the largestmigration crisis in Europe since World War II. According to theUnited Nations, there were 5.8 m...

25/07/2023

Andrii Rudyk on the political benefit that the Kremlin received from the cancellation of Putin's visit to the BRICS summit in South Africa:

The saga of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to this year’s BRICS Summit eventually came to an end. The Kremlin announced that the Russian leader would not visit the host state – South Africa. At first glance, it seems that Putin was frightened by the warrant issued by the Internationa...

21/07/2023

“Rosafrica” and rebellious Latin America: Russian propaganda about the Global South

In the context of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the Global South has become a special platform for the spread of anti-Ukrainian propaganda. Many of the countries in the region remain neutral or broadcast Russia’s position, which is reflected both through their positions in the UN and through political statements and initiatives of individual leaders. Read more about the sleeper narratives of Russian influence in the region regarding the “grain deal”, the role of Kyiv, and “racist” Europe in Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group/UCMC analysis.

Marianna Prysiazhniuk

wgeopolitics.org/2023/07/21/rosafrica-and-rebellious-latin-america/

19/07/2023

The NATO Vilnius Summit and Ukraine's membership: uncertainty as a compromise. By Volodymyr Solovian

- The agenda of the NATO Summit in Vilnius once again emphasized that a number of western capitals are convinced: Ukraine’s delayed invitation to NATO will significantly raise the stakes, to which Moscow will respond by increasing efforts to prolong the war. The Western countries prioritize the practical dimension of assistance to Kyiv, namely, arming, intelligence support, training the AFU personnel etc.
- The West faced the “dilemma of an ally” on the track of NATO-Ukraine relations – the fear of being drawn into a conflict that would not meet the common interests, as a result of which the allies would not come to the rescue properly at a critical moment. It is quite rational that the White House holds the position that in practice the state’s contribution to the defense capability of the alliance is not in a direct dependence on its desire to become a member of this alliance.
- As for Ukraine, the most important task at the current stage is gaining access to the technologies of NATO member countries, admission to participation in NATO's technological weapons programs and joint production of modern weapons. It is also advisable to use the result of the Vilnius Summit regarding the cancellation of the MAP. In doing so, it is necessary to turn the ANP into a limited and specific list of reforms. Once the war ends, the implementation of these efforts will enable Ukraine to receive an invitation to join NATO.
https://www.newgeopolitics.org/2023/07/19/the-nato-vilnius-summit-and-ukraines-membership-uncertainty-as-a-compromise/

12/07/2023

is consistently preparing favourable operational conditions to ensure the success of the offensive. Under current conditions, mitigating risks for Ukraine is closely linked to enhancing the capabilities of the AFU’s anti-missile defence system and military aviation. However, the operational art of the command will the decisive factor for the outcome of the offensive......See more:
https://studies.aljazeera.net/en/analyses/beginning-ukrainian-offensive-obstacles-and-perspectives

29/06/2023

NGRN's Position on Ukraine's NATO Membership on the Eve of the Vilnius Summit

https://analytics.intsecurity.org/en/prospects-of-ukraine-nembership-in-nato/

It is important to include security guarantees for Ukraine in the final Declaration of the Summit, based on the Kyiv Security Compact. These guarantees should remain valid until Ukraine's official membership in NATO. Furthermore, it is crucial to establish the clear procedure and algorithm for the accession process through negotiations between Ukraine and NATO member states during 2023.

As a separate track at the Summit, it is worth to work out the issue of ensuring Ukraine's urgent defense needs to counter Russian aggression, including development and strengthening of the Rammstein format (Ukraine Defense Contact Group).

🔥🔍Read about the revision of the algorithm for Ukraine's membership in NATO, security guarantees and the issue of agreeing the position of the allies regarding the prospects of Ukraine joining the Alliance in the study by New Geopolitics Research Network experts Mykhailo Samus and Volodymyr Solovian via the link:
https://analytics.intsecurity.org/en/prospects-of-ukraine-nembership-in-nato/

26/06/2023

The New Geopolitics Research Network supported the appeal of the leading non-governmental organizations of Ukraine to the leadership of NATO.

https://www.newgeopolitics.org/2023/06/26/appeal-of-ukrainian-civil-society-organizations-to-nato-leaders-ahead-of-vilnius-summit/