Skywatch Weather Desk

Skywatch Weather Desk Skywatch Weather Desk page and group will cover severe weather and Hurricane season. Along with weather-related articles.

Turn to this page for the lastest in weather from around the US and the tropics...

"Climate is what we Expect, Weather is what we get" -Mark Twain/1887 Storm Watch Center will cover all aspects of weather from watches to warnings across the USA.

A strong coastal low will impact the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England shorelines today and Monday with damaging win...
10/12/2025

A strong coastal low will impact the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England shorelines today and Monday with damaging wind gusts, heavy rain, and major coastal flooding.

Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 17NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL1020251100 AM AST Sat Oct 11 2025...
10/11/2025

Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102025
1100 AM AST Sat Oct 11 2025
..DISHEVELED JERRY MAY NOT LAST MUCH LONGER AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 63.2W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 63.2 West. Jerry is moving toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northeast is forecast on Sunday, followed by an eastward motion on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Jerry could degenerate into a trough of low pressure at any time.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

Satellite view of the developing nor’easter off the Southeast coast this morning! It’s going to be wet and windy with si...
10/11/2025

Satellite view of the developing nor’easter off the Southeast coast this morning! It’s going to be wet and windy with significant beach erosion and coastal flooding - there’s even a tornado risk along the immediate coast

Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 13NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM AST Fri Oct 10 2025 ..JERRY'S CEN...
10/10/2025

Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 10 2025
..JERRY'S CENTER PULLING AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS BUT FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 63.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued...


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 63.4 West. Jerry is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward
the north is expected by this evening, with that motion continuing through Sunday. A turn toward the northeast and east-northeast is
forecast Sunday night and Monday.

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter and satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) to the east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

A strong coastal low is developing and is expected to bring significant impacts to much of the U.S. East Coast through e...
10/10/2025

A strong coastal low is developing and is expected to bring significant impacts to much of the U.S. East Coast through early next week.

There is potential for significant coastal flooding, strong rip currents and beach erosion, damaging wind gusts, and heavy rain.

We have a strong coastal low expected to impact the U.S. East Coast this weekend through early next week. Here is the l...
10/09/2025

We have a strong coastal low expected to impact the U.S. East Coast this weekend through early next week. Here is the latest information.

We have a impending coastal storm that will look to generate strong wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and significant coastal ...
10/08/2025

We have a impending coastal storm that will look to generate strong wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and significant coastal impacts that include coastal flooding, rip currents, and beach erosion along portions of the East Coast over the upcoming weekend.

11AM ADVISORY: Tropical Storm Jerry a bit stronger over the central Atlantic Ocean.It's forecast to pass near the Leewar...
10/08/2025

11AM ADVISORY: Tropical Storm Jerry a bit stronger over the central Atlantic Ocean.

It's forecast to pass near the Leeward Islands Thursday night into Friday as a strong tropical storm/Category 1 hurricane.

Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102025
1100 AM AST Wed Oct 08 2025
..JERRY A LITTLE STRONGER...
..EXPECTED TO PASS VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 52.7W
ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin
* Sint Maarten
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands

Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of
Jerry.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 52.7 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through early Thursday. A turn toward the northwest and then north at a slower forward speed is expected late Thursday into Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near or to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and Thursday night.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Jerry could become a hurricane by the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

5:00pm advisory for Tropical Storm Jerry...Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 2NWS National Hurricane Center Miami F...
10/07/2025

5:00pm advisory for Tropical Storm Jerry...

Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM AST Tue Oct 07 2025
..TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 46.4W
ABOUT 1190 MI...1920 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Barbuda and Anguilla. The government of France has
issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St. Barthelemy and St. Martin.The government of Sint Maarten has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Sint Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Barbuda and Anguilla
* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin
* Sint Maarten

Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of Jerry.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 12.0 North, longitude 46.4 West. Jerry is moving toward the west near 23 mph (37 km/h). A decrease in forward speed and a turn to the west-northwest is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the core of the system is
expected to be near or to the north of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast, and Jerry is expected to become a
hurricane in a day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

BREAKING: The first EF-5 rated tornado since 2013, has been named the Enderlin, ND tornado #1 from 6/20/2025.
10/06/2025

BREAKING: The first EF-5 rated tornado since 2013, has been named the Enderlin, ND tornado #1 from 6/20/2025.

8 pm Monday Tropical Outlook: NHC watching 2 areas. Invest95L is getting better organized & NHC raised its development c...
10/06/2025

8 pm Monday Tropical Outlook: NHC watching 2 areas. Invest95L is getting better organized & NHC raised its development chances from 80% to 90% somewhere in red area.
They are also looking at an area of clouds & rain over Yucatan. Once in SW Gulf it'll get a 10% chance for growth.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to become better organized. Environmental conditions appear favorable for further development of this system, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form in the next day or so while it moves quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is expected to be near or north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday, and interests there should continue to monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Yucatan Peninsula and Southwestern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure currently moving across the Yucatan Peninsula is expected to emerge into the Bay of Campeche during the day on Tuesday. The system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and some slow development of this system is possible over the Bay of Campeche before it moves inland by the middle portion of this week. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and southern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

8 PM Tropics: Broad Low Pressure in the E. Atlantic remains disorganized but will soon move into an area more favorable...
10/05/2025

8 PM Tropics: Broad Low Pressure in the E. Atlantic remains disorganized but will soon move into an area more favorable for development. NHC is giving it a high chance (70%) of becoming a Depression in the central Atlantic Ocean this week.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a low-latitude tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek as it moves quickly across the central tropical Atlantic, approaching the Leeward Islands by the latter part of this week. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Address

Burnsville
Asheville, NC
28801

Website

Alerts

Be the first to know and let us send you an email when Skywatch Weather Desk posts news and promotions. Your email address will not be used for any other purpose, and you can unsubscribe at any time.

Contact The Business

Send a message to Skywatch Weather Desk:

Shortcuts

Share

Category

Our Story

Storm Watch 2020 will cover all aspects of weather/meteorology from watches to warnings to meteorological events and articles across the United States.