Gulf Coast One Radio, Bay City, TX (2026)

06/17/2026

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1229 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Houston-Trinity-Madison-Walker-San Jacinto-Polk-Burleson-Brazos-Washington-Grimes-Montgomery-Northern Liberty-Colorado-Austin-Waller-Inland Harris-Chambers-Wharton-Fort Bend-Inland Jackson-Inland Matagorda-Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Southern Liberty-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-Coastal Matagorda-Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-Matagorda Islands-
Brazoria Islands-Galveston Island-Bolivar Peninsula-

Including the cities of Crockett, Trinity, Groveton,
Madisonville, Huntsville, Shepherd, Coldspring, Livingston,
Corrigan, Caldwell, Somerville, College Station, Bryan, Brenham,
Navasota, Conroe, The Woodlands, Liberty, Cleveland, Dayton,
Columbus, Eagle Lake, Weimar, Sealy, Bellville, Hempstead,
Prairie View, Brookshire, Waller, Houston, Winnie, Mont Belvieu,
Anahuac, Stowell, Old River-Winfree, El Campo, Wharton,
Missouri City, Mission Bend, Sugar Land, Rosenberg, First Colony,
Pecan Grove, Edna, Ganado, Bay City, Pearland, Alvin, Angleton,
League City, Friendswood, Devers, Pasadena, Baytown, Palacios,
Lake Jackson, Freeport, Clute, Texas City, Dickinson, La Marque,
Surfside Beach, and Galveston
1229 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 10 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values of 107 to 114 degrees Fahrenheit (41 to
45 degrees Celsius) expected during the late morning to early
evening hours on Thursday and Friday.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southeast Texas.

* WHEN...From 11 AM Thursday to 10 PM CDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat
illnesses to occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out
of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young
children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles
under any circumstances.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when
possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational
Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent
rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone
overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.
Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

06/17/2026

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Arthur Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012026
1000 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
..TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR DEVELOPS NEAR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.....LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 95.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM ENE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 190 MI...300 KM WSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended westward to High
Island, Texas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* High Island, Texas to Morgan City, Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Sargent, Texas to High Island, Texas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 95.8 West. Arthur is
moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and an increase in forward speed is expected today. On the forecast track, the low pressure area should move northeastward along the Texas coast today and then move inland over southwestern Louisiana by tonight.

Surface observations and data from the Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunters indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before the center moves over land. Weakening is anticipated once the low moves inland, and it could dissipate by tonight or early Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 42035 east of Galveston recently reported a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a gust of 43 mph (69 km/h). The Scholes International Airport (KGLS) in Galveston recently reported a wind gust of 48 mph (78 km/h).

The minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Arthur can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Arthur is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher totals near 20
inches, through early Friday from the Mid and Upper Texas coast
east-northeast into southern and central portions of Louisiana,
Mississippi, and Alabama, along with western portions of Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. This could generate dangerous to
life-threatening flash flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Arthur, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero.

For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
with Tropical Storm Arthur, see the companion storm summary at
WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area today. Tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, are possible within the watch area today.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Port Bolivar, TX to Morgan City, LA...2-4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?peakSurge.

SURF: Swells generated by Arthur are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the
northwestern Gulf Coast for the next couple of days. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ripCurrents

TORNADO: A couple of tornadoes are possible through Thursday from the Upper Texas Coast into southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART

06/14/2026

The combination of a weak front stalling across southeast Texas and moisture associated with a tropical wave moving into the western Gulf will result in periods of showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon through Tuesday. Locally heavy rainfall is expected with minor flooding problems possible.
• Most of SE Texas is in a Marginal risk on Sunday, with portions of the Piney Woods remaining in a slight risk.
• Slight risk expanded in area on Monday to include most of SE Texas.
Overview
• Sunday
o Showers and thunderstorms will increase, with locally heavy rainfall possible
 Excessive Rainfall Outlook: Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for most of SE Texas and a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for the northern most counties.
o Rainfall amounts will average around 1 inch with localized higher amounts possible
o Timing of storms: Only isolated showers and t-storms are expected during the morning hours. The main timeline for storms Sunday will be early to mid afternoon, lasting into the evening hours.
o In addition to the heavy rainfall, the strongest storms could produce cloud-to-ground lightning and brief wind gusts to 40 mph.
• Monday/Tuesday
o The greatest threat for widespread showers and thunderstorms and heavy rainfall will be the Monday through Tuesday period. Some training of storms (storms repeatedly affecting the same areas) will be possible.
o Expect
 Excessive Rainfall Outlook: Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for most of SE Texas
o Rainfall amounts will average 2 to 3 inches with isolated totals of 3 to 5 inches possible.
o Additional rainfall will generate runoff especially where heavy rain occurs over the same areas
o In addition to the heavy rainfall, the strongest storms could produce cloud-to-ground lightning and brief wind gusts to 40 mph.
• TROPICAL UPDATE
The probability of tropical development in the Gulf remains low at 20% within the next 7 days. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected to be an impact across southeast Texas.
Urban Flash Flood Messaging
Heavy rainfall is forecast for portions of Southeast Texas, including highly urbanized areas like the Houston metropolitan area. Based on forecast conditions, NWS Houston will be utilizing the following urban flash flood messaging for this event:
- Drive with caution. Cars may flood in low-lying areas. Ponding on roadways may increase risk of hydroplaning.
- Pay attention to the weather. Monitor the NWS, your local media, and other official weather information sources.
- Rain may move repeatedly across the same area, causing a rapid rise on creeks and bayous. However, creeks and bayous are not likely to exceed their banks.
- Turn Around, Don't Drown. Isolated underpasses or low-water crossings may be life-threatening.
- Monitor the NWS, your local media, and other official weather information sources.

06/10/2026

FROM TROPICAL TIDBITS:

NHC has tagged the western Gulf, and some chance exists for a brief tropical depression to form there later this week as the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristina combine with a tropical wave/trough crossing the Yucatan Peninsula. Elevated wind shear will leave the system with little time to consolidate prior to moving westward into Mexico, so chances for a significant storm look low.

06/07/2026

7 day NWS forecast for Matagorda County:

This Afternoon: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 80. Southeast wind around 10 mph.

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 78.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 77.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 76.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 89.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 75.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 90.

06/07/2026

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts
NNNN

06/02/2026

An upper level disturbance paired with increasing moisture will lead to scattered to widespread showers and storms Friday into Saturday. Locally heavy rainfall is possible. Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) of Excessive Rainfall on Friday for most of Southeast Texas. There remains some uncertainty in the exact timing of the heaviest rain. Guidance currently suggesting most of the rain to occur late Friday night into Saturday, but this could change.

06/02/2026

Here's the 7 day forecast for Matagorda County from the NWS:

Today: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. East wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the evening.

Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers before 10am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. East wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74.

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87.

Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76.

Saturday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.

Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 78.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

Bay City TX
28.97°N 95.96°W (Elev. 46 ft)

06/02/2026

A forming El Nino usually means FEWER tropical systems in the Atlantic Basin during hurricane season but it goes NOT mean Texas is immune to getting hit. Here's a picture of where tropical systems typically form (if they do) during early June courtesy of Dan Reilly's weather blog:

05/27/2026

A TORNADO WARNING has been issued for the following counties (Wharton, Fort Bend, Austin) until May 27 1:45AM. Seek shelter immediately if you are included in this warning.

Gulf Coast One Radio

06/17/2026

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