The Weather Cowboy

11/26/2025

11/24/2025

Not a single hurricane has hit the U.S this year….

For the first time in a decade, the U.S. has made it through the peak of hurricane season without a single hurricane making landfall.

As of the end of September, 2025, the Gulf of Mexico—historically one of the most storm-battered regions in the world—remains completely untouched. While several powerful hurricanes formed, including Erin and Imelda, all stayed offshore. Imelda’s track was redirected by the rare Fujiwhara Effect, a meteorological interaction that occurs when two storms orbit around one another, altering their trajectories.

The only storm to strike the U.S. was Tropical Storm Chantal, which caused devastating flash floods in North Carolina over the July 4th weekend, resulting in up to $6 billion in damage.

This quiet streak is unusual but not unprecedented. It’s the ninth time since 2000 that no hurricanes have made U.S. landfall by September’s end—and in most of those years, the calm continued through the rest of the season. Still, forecasters caution against declaring the season over prematurely. Roughly 25% of the hurricane season remains, and above-normal sea surface temperatures, combined with weakening wind shear, could allow storms to develop in the Caribbean or Southwest Atlantic. These regions are historically active in October and November, often sending late-season hurricanes curving toward Florida or the Gulf Coast. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially ends on November 30.

Source: “First Hurricane Season in 10 Years That No Hurricanes Have Made Landfall in the US through the End of September.” AccuWeather, 1 Oct. 2025.

11/19/2025

Radar as of 3:57am Wed.

11/18/2025

Current ENSO Outlook

• Current Status: La Niña conditions are currently present and are expected to persist through the winter season.

• Neutral Chance (January-March 2026): The chance of transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions is highest during the January-March 2026 period, with a 61% probability.

• Neutral Chance (December 2025-February 2026): For the peak winter season, the probability of ENSO-neutral conditions is lower, at around 54%

This is something I will keep a close eye on as the winter progresses. Neutral conditions offer the highest chance of heavier snowfall totals for our area and larger, more powerful Nor’Easters. Currently it’s basically a “coin flip”… so we will see how the weak La Niña pans out as the winter season progresses.

~Scott

11/17/2025

Snow showers and mixed precip falling across eastern PA.

11/11/2025

First snow flurries/showers of the 2025 season for many, are scattered around the eastern 1/2 of PA.

11/11/2025

Some light flurries possibly flying in southern NJ, east/southeast of Philly.

11/11/2025

Slight chance of seeing our first snowfall for the Winter of 2025/26! ❄️☃️🌨️

11/09/2025

Space debris is becoming a major concern for weather satellites & many others that power our world’s global movements of commerce, banking, etc.

The European Space Agency’s short documentary film ‘Space Debris: Is it a Crisis?’' explores the on-orbit congestion. CREDIT ESA - European Space Agency

11/05/2025

Wind Advisory tonight.

Northwest winds 15-20 with gusts as high as 50 mph.

11/04/2025

High Wind Watch in effect Wed. evening through Thurs. am.

11/04/2025

A High Wind Watch is issued when the following conditions are possible: 1) sustained winds of 40 mph or higher for one hour or more. OR. 2) wind gusts of 58 mph or higher for any duration