11/17/2025
⚠️ Severe Weather and Moisture Outlook
A significant surge of Gulf moisture is expected to create a highly humid and potentially unstable airmass across the region.
This increase in moisture, combined with strong mid-level winds, suggests a system highly capable of producing widespread rainfall and the possibility of organized severe weather.
🌧️ Rainfall Potential
Total Accumulation: Some areas have the potential to receive up to 1.5\text{ inches} of rain.
Affected Areas: The highest totals are expected across Central, East Central, East, and North Central Texas (TX), all of Oklahoma (OK), and Southern Kansas (KS).
⛈️ Severe Weather Threat (Thursday)
Timing: The possibility of severe weather is forecast to begin around Thursday at 18\text{Z} (12 PM CST).
Location: The initial development area is expected over North and North Central TX.
Movement: The system will move generally East to Northeast, affecting Central and Eastern TX and pushing into Far Southeastern OK.
Uncertainty: There is currently uncertainty regarding the primary type of severe weather (e.g., damaging wind, large hail, or tornadoes).
Forecasters will continue to monitor the situation closely as the event approaches.
