Upper Cumberland Weather

Upper Cumberland Weather Serving the Upper Cumberland region of Middle and East Tennessee with daily forecast information and live-streaming coverage during severe weather.

Upper Cumberland Weather brings you real-time severe and winter weather updates specific to our corner of Middle Tennessee. We serve the counties of Clay, Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Pickett, Putnam, Smith, Trousdale and White with nearly 35,000 followers across the region and growing!

11/08/2025

I don’t cover sports, but play has finally resumed after a Tornado Watch, Severe Thunderstorm Warning and a few hours of lightning delays in Pikeville for Smith County vs Bledsoe County.

Smith County: 7
Bledsoe County: 0

6:28 remaining in the… *checks notes* …second quarter.

It’s 11:05 p.m. CST.

Update: Bledsoe County wins 20-7

ALL CLEAR! While thunder continues to roar across our far southern areas, the severe threat has ended. Storms will end c...
11/08/2025

ALL CLEAR! While thunder continues to roar across our far southern areas, the severe threat has ended. Storms will end completely over the next hour. THANK YOU to those of you who contributed during our coverage tonight! If you want to support us, all of the official ways are listed below (plus Facebook subscriptions). Your support allows me to be here no matter the time of day for however long as need to be live!

11/08/2025

SMITH COUNTY / BLEDSOE COUNTY

THOSE AT THE GAME IN PIKEVILLE NEED TO GET INDOORS NOW! SEVERE T-STORM WARNING EFFECT!

11/08/2025

Tornado Watch for Clay, Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Pickett, Putnam, Smith, Van Buren, Warren and White County in TN until 10:00pm CST.

Quickly wolfing down some chicken tenders and then jumping into continuous live coverage
11/07/2025

Quickly wolfing down some chicken tenders and then jumping into continuous live coverage

3:58 p.m. CST - Storms currently extend from Carthage through Gainesboro, up toward Dale Hollow Lake. These are rowdy wi...
11/07/2025

3:58 p.m. CST - Storms currently extend from Carthage through Gainesboro, up toward Dale Hollow Lake. These are rowdy with torrential rain, some lightning and pockets of gusty winds. Outside of that, they aren’t of much concern. We’ll keep an eye on them. More organized storms are approaching the Nashville area. This is the activity we’ll be watching closely as it moves our way.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 P.M. CST
11/07/2025

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 P.M. CST

11/07/2025

Per NWS Nashville, a Tornado Watch will be issued soon.

Entire UC Weather coverage area will be included. Stay tuned for more details.

***LUNCHTIME UPDATE***A few showers have broken out over the past hour or so ahead of the main cluster of thunderstorms ...
11/07/2025

***LUNCHTIME UPDATE***

A few showers have broken out over the past hour or so ahead of the main cluster of thunderstorms we're expecting later this evening. These early day showers are nothing to worry about.

That said...

SPC has shifted the Level 2 out of 5 'Slight Risk' area farther east to now cover the majority of the Upper Cumberland. Additionally, they have increased the probability of a tornado occurring -- now a 5-9 probability of a tornado forming within 25 miles of any location. It's still a lower-end risk, but it is increased. The damming wind potential remains at a 15-29% probability within 25 miles of any location -- shifted farther east to now include portions of the Plateau.

We're continuing to look at a 'late afternoon and evening' window for these storms to move through. The latest HRRR has sped up the storms just a tad from the model run I posted earlier, but we're still within the window of about 4-10 p.m. (earlier in the window for those northwest, later in the window for those southeast).

Definitely stay weather aware, especially if you will be out and about. It's my understanding some high school football playoff games did NOT get pushed back to last night and are instead set to be played tonight. Just from glancing at the TSSAA playoff bracket, a few games that could be impacted by storms tonight are Riverdale at Lebanon, Camden at Westmoreland and Smith County at Bledsoe County. All three are within either the Level 1 or Level 2 severe weather risk areas and will experience storms this evening.

A few high schools in our region are playing in the Chattanooga area...y'all should probably be OK to get your games in, but do be careful heading back home.

We'll provide live coverage for any warnings that may be issued.

Stay safe and God bless.

Strong to severe storms remain possible later today, primarily during the evening hours. We remain split between a Level...
11/07/2025

Strong to severe storms remain possible later today, primarily during the evening hours.

We remain split between a Level 1 and a Level 2 out of 5 Risk of severe weather. Severe weather probabilities are slightly higher across our western areas (those in yellow) compared to those farther east (those in green).

Not a whole lot has changed since yesterday other than a shift to damaging winds now being our primary (but lower-end) concern, as opposed to large hail.

Still, an isolated pocket or two of large hail is possible. An isolated tornado also can’t be ruled out.

A cluster or line of storms will develop to our west this afternoon and begin encroaching upon our northwestern areas around or after sunset, including those in Hartsville, Lafayette, Celina…perhaps down toward Carthage. Storms will continue to move south and east from there, reaching southeastern portions of the UC (Crossville/Spencer) later this evening.

Specific timings are tough to nail down, but we’ll go with a window of about 4 to 10 p.m. as for when severe weather probabilities will peak across the region. Those northwest will see storms earlier in the window. Those in the middle (Cookeville) will see storms….somewhere in the middle of the window. Those southeast will see storms later in the window.

Now is the time to prepare for these storms. Make sure any loose outdoor objects that could be blown around be strong winds are secured. Have multiple ways of receiving alerts should a warning be issued for your location, and know where you will go in the off chance you find yourself in a Tornado Warning, whether you’re at home or out and about.

I’ll be in our studio tracking these storms with live updates planned. If/when any warnings are issued, we will jump into continuous live coverage. You can find us on the Upper Cumberland Weather Channel over on YouTube and HUB+ on Roku, with live storm coverage simulcast to Facebook and X.

That’s all I have for now. Severe weather concerns will end before midnight with no overnight worries.

Stay safe and God bless.

We maintain a risk of strong to severe storms tomorrow — primarily late afternoon through the evening hours.Our region i...
11/06/2025

We maintain a risk of strong to severe storms tomorrow — primarily late afternoon through the evening hours.

Our region is split between a Level 1 out of 5 and a Level 2 out of 5 risk of severe weather tomorrow. The only meaningful difference tomorrow will be an increased risk of large hail (one inch diameter or greater) for those in the Level 2 out of 5 (Slight) Risk.

A cluster of storms cells is expected to move across the region ahead of a cold front late tomorrow. Short-range model guidance has these storms moving through during a window of about 4-10 p.m. CST (it won’t take this long for the storms to move through, this is just a general window).

I’ve included a few ‘future radar’ images from the HRRR model below for 5 p.m., 7 p.m. and 9 p.m., respectively. Actual radar at these times will look different — this is just a generalized overview of what we *might* can anticipate.

SPC has mentioned the potential for a few individual supercells capable of producing large hail stones. While instability will be limited, damaging wind gusts are also possible. An isolated tornado can’t be ruled out, either.

The overall threat of severe weather is on the lower end, but it isn’t zero. If you have plans to be out and about tomorrow evening, definitely stay weather aware. Many high school football games have been moved to tonight (great call!), but some are still on for tomorrow night. If you will be at one of these games tomorrow, make extra sure to know where you will go in the event a warning is issued for your location. This goes for our entire coverage area and just beyond, from Lebanon to Wartburg, Lafayette to Pikeville, McMinnville to Byrdstown, and everywhere in between. Hopefully all your location will deal with is just a heavy downpour at worst, but know that the potential for severe weather does exist for all areas.

Severe weather worries should end by late evening with no overnight concert. Sunny and warm conditions are expected Saturday with ANOTHER cold front moving through Saturday night. Severe weather is not expected with this front…just rain…but we will turn much colder on the backside for a few days.

This is all I have for right now. We’ll provide live coverage, at least intermittently, tomorrow evening as these storms roll through. If any warnings are issued, we’ll go into continuous coverage.

Stay safe and God bless.

Here we go... I made vague mention a couple days ago of the potential for strong to severe storms this Friday, and we (m...
11/05/2025

Here we go... I made vague mention a couple days ago of the potential for strong to severe storms this Friday, and we (most of us) are now included in a Level 2 out of 5 'Slight Risk' of severe weather in SPC's Day 3 Outlook.

Forecast models are still trying to iron out some of the finer details with this system, but the overall trend is toward our region being in an environment that *could* support strong to severe storms ahead of an approaching cold front.

The greatest question will be around instability. We'll have plenty wind shear to work with, but dew points and CAPE (convective available potential energy) could be on the low end. That said, it doesn't take too much of either this time of year (especially in a high shear environment) to pose a severe weather threat.

Damaging, straight-line winds will be our greatest concern with an isolated tornado risk potentially in play, as well.

Timing: late Friday. Afternoon? Evening? Nighttime? These are questions that will be further resolved as short-range models come into play over the next 24 hours or so. I'm currently leaning toward Friday evening/night.

The uncertainty is why you're seeing first-round TSSAA high school football playoff games being moved to tomorrow night. It's a good call, for sure!

We'll have more details as we get closer to Friday. For now, it's best to evaluate your safety plan, especially if you will be out and about late Friday.

Beyond this event, we'll have one more 'warm day' Saturday before the bottom drops out. A hard freeze will occur both Sunday and Monday nights will lows falling well down into the 20s. Highs Sunday will only be in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Monday will be even colder with highs only around 40. And yes, there could be a few flurries Sunday night. No impacts are anticipated right now. The cold spell will likely be short-lived with mild temperatures quickly returning later in the week.

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