Torcon WX Team

05/12/2026

A little insight into the development of Dust Devils!

We've gotten lots of dust devil reports over the past week. How do they form? We have lots of loose dust from dry conditions. Warmth provides instability that makes air rise, which can result in rotation. Here's a graphic from US National Weather Service Reno Nevada
showing a dust devil's life cycle!

05/12/2026

🚨 TORCON WEATHER ALERT – MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS 🚨

A Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms is in place today across portions of the Florida Peninsula and from southeast Kansas into parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes region.

⚡ SUMMARY:
A few storms could become severe this afternoon and evening with the primary threats including:
🌩️ Large hail
💨 Gusty to damaging winds

While storm coverage is expected to remain scattered, any stronger storm could quickly intensify.

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📍 CENTRAL PLAINS → GREAT LAKES
(SE Kansas into Missouri, Illinois, Wisconsin and nearby areas)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

A fast-moving disturbance is tracking across the Upper Midwest today, dragging a cold front southward through the region.

The atmosphere ahead of the front is currently fairly dry, but strengthening southwest winds will gradually pull in enough moisture and instability for isolated thunderstorms to develop later this afternoon into early evening.

Forecast instability is not overly impressive, which should limit storm coverage, but the environment could still support a few stronger storms capable of:

🌩️ Hail
💨 Strong to locally damaging wind gusts

Storms in this region are expected to be more “high-based,” meaning some of the strongest wind gusts could occur as storms collapse and push winds down to the surface.

⚠️ Not everyone will see storms, but any storm that forms could become briefly severe.

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌴 FLORIDA PENINSULA
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Florida remains locked in a warm, humid, unstable air mass today.

An upper-level disturbance moving east across the Deep South will help spark scattered thunderstorms this afternoon, especially near the east coast sea-breeze boundary.

A few storms may organize into stronger multicell clusters or isolated supercells capable of producing:

💨 Damaging wind gusts
🌩️ Hail
⛈️ Frequent lightning and torrential rainfall

The east coast of Florida may see the strongest storm potential during the late afternoon and early evening hours.

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⏰ TIMING
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

• Afternoon: Storms begin developing
• Late Afternoon/Early Evening: Peak severe threat
• Evening: Storms gradually weaken after sunset

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ TORCON WEATHER TAKE
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

This is not expected to be a widespread severe weather outbreak, but isolated severe storms are definitely possible in both regions today.

Summer-style severe setups like this can produce sudden strong winds and hail with little warning, especially in Florida where storms can rapidly intensify along sea-breeze boundaries.

📲 Stay weather aware this afternoon and evening and keep an eye on radar if outdoor plans are ahead.

📡 Follow Torcon Weather Team for updates, radar coverage, and severe weather alerts throughout the day.

Forecaster: J. Zorns

05/11/2026

05/11/2026

🚨 TORCON WEATHER ALERT – MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS (MONDAY) 🚨

A Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms is in place today from the coastal Carolinas through the Florida Peninsula, and along portions of the central Gulf Coast.

⚡ SUMMARY

Expect isolated strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening, with the main threats being:

💨 Locally damaging wind gusts
🌩️ Hail

This is a low-end, spotty severe setup, but a few storms could briefly become intense.

📍 CAROLINAS (SC → SE NC)

A weak cold front is sagging southward across the region
Warm, humid air (dewpoints in the 60s) combined with daytime heating will allow storms to develop
Wind shear is limited, so storms should remain disorganized and isolated

👉 Main threats:

Brief gusty winds
Small hail

⚠️ Overall severe risk remains low, but a few stronger cells are possible.

🌴 FLORIDA PENINSULA (Especially East Coast)

Hot and humid conditions with temps pushing into the 90s inland
Westerly winds will push storms toward the east coast sea-breeze boundary
Scattered storms will develop during the afternoon

👉 Potential exists for a few stronger storms due to favorable wind profiles:

💨 Gusty to locally damaging winds
🌩️ Hail

🌊 CENTRAL GULF COAST (SE LA → SOUTH MS/AL)

A disturbance moving in from Texas will enhance storm development
Warm, unstable air will support numerous afternoon storms

👉 While wind shear is weak, the environment can still support:

💨 Occasional damaging wind gusts
🌩️ Hail in stronger cells

⏰ TIMING
Early Afternoon: Storms begin developing
Mid–Late Afternoon: Peak coverage and intensity
Evening: Gradual weakening after sunset

⚠️ TORCON WEATHER TAKE

This is a typical summertime, pulse-type severe setup — storms will be hit-or-miss, but any one of them could briefly become strong.

👉 Don’t let the “Marginal Risk” fool you:
If a storm moves over your location, it could still bring strong winds and hail in a short period of time.

📲 Stay weather-aware today if you’re in these regions, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.

📡 Follow Torcon Weather Team for radar updates and real-time alerts as storms develop.

Forecaster: J. Zorns

05/11/2026

746
WUUS54 KHGX 110128
SVRHGX
TXC185-313-471-110200-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0049.260511T0128Z-260511T0200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
828 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Grimes County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Madison County in southeastern Texas...
West central Walker County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 900 PM CDT.

* At 828 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles east of
Bedias, or 13 miles west of Huntsville, moving north at 15 mph.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and baseball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect
considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles.
Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

* This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Grimes, southeastern Madison and west central Walker
Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move immediately to shelter inside a strong building. Stay
away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3093 9564 3067 9567 3065 9574 3066 9582
3093 9590
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 177DEG 12KT 3074 9578

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

05/11/2026

349
WUUS54 KEWX 110128
SVREWX
TXC031-053-299-453-491-110230-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0076.260511T0128Z-260511T0230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
828 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Western Williamson County in south central Texas...
Northwestern Travis County in south central Texas...
Northern Blanco County in south central Texas...
Llano County in south central Texas...
Burnet County in south central Texas...

* Until 930 PM CDT.

* At 828 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles southwest of Lampasas to near Kingsland to
near Enchanted Rock State Natural Area, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Austin, Cedar Park, Georgetown, Burnet, Marble Falls, Kingsland,
Llano, Bertram, Round Mountain, Buchanan Dam, Serenada, Leander,
Gainesville, Lakeway, Lago Vista, Bee Cave, Granite Shoals,
Horseshoe Bay, Hudson Bend, and The Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If on or near Lake Buchanan, get away from the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to
15 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter
now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 9783 3086 9761 3027 9795 3033 9814
3036 9817 3034 9818 3047 9859 3050 9859
3050 9877 3052 9893 3075 9874 3092 9867
3092 9842 3094 9841 3096 9845 3103 9844
3103 9792
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 280DEG 42KT 3102 9831 3070 9845 3051 9873

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

05/11/2026

479
WWUS54 KHGX 110120
SVSHGX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
820 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

TXC185-471-110130-
/O.CON.KHGX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-260511T0130Z/
Grimes TX-Walker TX-
820 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026
..A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GRIMES AND WEST CENTRAL WALKER COUNTIES...

At 819 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles west of
Huntsville, moving north at 15 mph.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM.

HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured.
Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs,
siding, and vehicles.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Grimes and west central Walker Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3088 9567 3066 9566 3064 9573 3065 9584
3086 9591
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 177DEG 12KT 3074 9573

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

05/11/2026

223
WWUS54 KJAN 110111
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
811 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

MSC023-075-110200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0163.000000T0000Z-260511T0200Z/
Clarke MS-Lauderdale MS-
811 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026
..A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN CLARKE AND SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTIES...

At 811 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Sable, or 10
miles north of Quitman, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind
damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
Sykes and Middleton around 815 PM CDT.
Snell around 825 PM CDT.
Crandall around 845 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3195 8847 3194 8862 3218 8881 3231 8865
3229 8842
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 311DEG 17KT 3219 8869

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

05/11/2026

087
WUUS54 KFWD 110106
SVRFWD
TXC309-110130-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0162.260511T0106Z-260511T0130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
806 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southwestern McLennan County in central Texas...

* Until 830 PM CDT.

* At 806 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near McGregor,
moving northwest at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is possible.

* Locations impacted include...
Waco, Hewitt, Woodway, McGregor, Lorena, Moody, Crawford, Lake
Waco, China Spring, Willow Grove, and Spring Valley.

This includes Interstate 35 between mile markers 320 and 325.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3133 9743 3154 9757 3166 9729 3138 9716
3129 9739
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 142DEG 23KT 3141 9731

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...

05/11/2026

956
WUUS54 KJAN 110046
SVRJAN
MSC023-075-110200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0163.260511T0046Z-260511T0200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
746 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Clarke County in east central Mississippi...
Southeastern Lauderdale County in east central Mississippi...

* Until 900 PM CDT.

* At 746 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Savoy, or 8
miles southwest of Meridian, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
Enterprise, Savoy, Sable, and Zero around 750 PM CDT.
Middleton around 800 PM CDT.
Causeyville around 805 PM CDT.
Sykes and Snell around 815 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3195 8847 3194 8862 3223 8885 3233 8865
3232 8843 3231 8842 3229 8842
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 307DEG 17KT 3229 8878

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH