West Florida Weather

09/03/2025

Still watching an area in the Eastern Atlantic for development. It will. I'm showing the GFS and EURO weather models next Wedn
nesday at 8PM. The GFS seems to be a stronger storm and near or at the Northern Leeward Islands. The EURO is a weaker system in the middle of the Leewards. Time will tell. Either way interest in the Leeward Islands should monitor this area closely for a possible tropical impact mid next week. After that, models are in different directions.

08/31/2025

Watching the tropics, as always. The NHC/NWS has an area in the Eastern Atlantic marked for a 30% of development. It will in time. Showing the EURO model next Monday and has a tropical system in the Mid Atlantic. Models are not accurate out past 5 days, so will see what develops.

08/23/2025

Tropical Storm Fernand has formed out in the Atlantic. The center of the storm is approx 400 miles SSE of Bermuda moving North at 15mph. Winds are 40 mph. This storm will stay way out in the Atlantic moving North and then NE. This is the only active tropical system in the tropics at this time.

08/22/2025

Checking on the tropics. There are 2 areas highlighted by the NWS for possible development. The red one in the Mid Atlantic will probably become a named storm and stay North bound in the Atlantic not affecting land. The other, orange shaded area has a chance but models don't show it making up into much . Otherwise, Erin is post tropical in the far North Atlantic.

08/20/2025

Looking at the tropics over all. Erin is threatening the NC Coast tonight into tomorrow with tropical storm winds, storm surge and high waves. The other two areas highlighted in the Atlantic. ...The middle one will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm and follow the weakness that Erin is going thru. The right one looks like it will become a wave. Neither looks to be a threat at this time. Looking at the different model runs, they are ghosting off each other and are not viable. Last graphic is the beach threat of rip tide currents and high waves along the entire Eastern Coastline. Dont go in the water. Do as the local officials and lifeguards advise.

08/20/2025

08/19/2025

from our companion page

08/19/2025

Good Morning. While waiting on new 11AM Hurricane Erin data, lets look at the rest of the tropics. On the NWS tropical map Erin is identified. The highlighted area in the center is definitely something the Northward Leeward Islands should be watching. This may become a tropical something that may effect your weather over the weekend. Its not an Invest but at looking at another invest model data I see this show up near the Northern Leeward Islands on Saturday as a weak TD or maybe a TS. The area closer to the African Coast is labeled Invest 99. At this time models aren't picking up much, if anything with this. Its that busier time of year and always good to be watchful of anything in the tropical Atlantic. A Hurricane Erin post soon.

08/19/2025

8PM Advisory Update Hurricane Erin. The center of the hurricane is currently 800 miles SSE of Cape Hatteras, NC moving NW at 10mph. Winds are 130mph, The hurricane is forecast to turn more Northward tomorrow(Tuesday) The hurricane planes are busy this evening. Two are going around the edge and perimeter of Erin and a Third going into the hurricane collecting data for overnight weather model runs. All watches/warnings, and coastal hazards remain in effect and are;


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Southeast Bahamas

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Central Bahamas
* Beaufort Inlet to Duck, North Carolina, including Pamlico Sound

08/18/2025

from our companion site.

08/18/2025

Hurricane Erin 5pm Update. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from Beaufort Inlet to Duck, NC, including Pamlico Sound. A Storm Surge Watch from Cape Lookout to Duck, NC. As you can see on the watch/warn map there are several advisories,watches and warnings in NC. For your local area go to www.weather.gov .