West Florida Weather

07/05/2025

Update Tropical Storm Chantal 5PM. At 5 the center of Chantal is approx 90 miles SE of Charleston, Sc moving North at 6mph. Winds are 50mph with gust to 58mph. A slow NNW turn should begin this evening and a landfall on the SC Coast early Sunday morning. The storm will go North thru Eastern SC and NC before a NE turn takes it out to the Atlantic and away Sunday night/Monday AM. Tropical Storm winds extend 140 miles out from the center to the East(see wind spot graphic) for weather watches,warnings, and advisories go to www.weather.gov

07/05/2025

from our companion page.

07/04/2025

07/04/2025

from our companion page

07/02/2025

Still watching the area highlighted. The NHC has a 40% chance of development in 7 days. I'm showing the EURO and GFS wind model for Sunday afternoon. looking at the various times within the models this area has an elongated low pressure area then the first part of the week it tightens up a little. GFS is more robust than the EURO, always is. At this time my thinking is a tropical depression along the SE Coast Mon into Tues., possibility a weak TS...barely. keep track of your local weather over the holiday weekend. Either way the West Central Florida is going to get alot of rain over the next 5 days, graphic shown. Looks to be a 60-70% precip chance thru next Tuesday. Will see how and if this develops.

06/29/2025

Tropical Storm Barry has been named. The center of the storm is approximately 50 miles ESE of Tuxpan, MX moving NW at 12mph. Winds are 45mph with gust to 50. Tropical Storm winds extend out 35 miles from the center, a very small and barely organized storm. Barry will make a landfall on the Mexican Coast this evening. Showing NHC track/cone, plane in system, Sat pic, and another area to watch. Moving on from Barry...there is an area, highlighted, in the upper gulf. This area has a 20% chance of development in the next 7 days. Looking at the models-maybe. Florida and Georgia should keep an eye on this for next weekend.

06/28/2025

Late this afternoon the NWS/NHC labeled the disturbed weather in the Bay of Campeche Tropical Depression 2. Winds are currently 30mph and movement is NW at 6mph. TD2 will very possibility become a Tropical storm(Barry), with forecast winds of 45-50mph. A Tropical Storm Warning has been posted for an area along the Mexican Coast. This system will make a landfall overnight Sunday into Monday morning. Showing NHC cone/track, PLane track, and GFS model ensemble.

06/28/2025

Watching the area of disturbed weather in the Bay of Campeche this afternoon. Currently a USAF(R) hurricane plane investigating the area, shown as well as Sat pic. Red dot highlights the center. This area may become a Tropical Depression or Storm later today. The forecast is for this system to move inland Mexico late Sunday/early Monday. Residents along the Mexican Coast should be on alert for a Tropical Watch or Warning to be posted.

06/27/2025

The NHC has an area in the Western Caribbean highlighted for a 20% chance of development. The best I can find at this time is (shown) the EURO model. Area circled in blue. Over the weekend looks like 20-30mph low pressure area into Mexico. Will keep a watch on it.

06/24/2025

Good Morning. The NWS/NHC has decided to use the first tropical name Andrea. This is in a some kind of development stage and the latest Sat Scatterometer pass has this area with winds of 30-35 knots. This is a very marginal tropical storm at best and will go in the wasted name basket.

06/15/2025

Still quiet in the Atlantic and Caribbean. The High Pressure area sg
hown on the GFS model matches the area of nothing in the Atlantic Sat pic.

06/09/2025

All is quiet in the tropics at this time. The area highlighted on the satellite pic is a very broad area of low pressure. This produces little spin offs that so far havent amounted to anything.