Storm Track 360 - AR / MO Ozarks - Severe Weather & Community Alerts

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
WATCH CANCELATION: ARKANSAS: Baxter - Marion - Searcy. MISSOURI: Ozark

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10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
TORNADO ON THE GROUND:

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
WATCH CANCELATION for the Following Counties in our Coverage Area: ARKANSAS: Benton - Boone - Carroll - Madison - Newton - Washington . MISSOURI: Barry - Stone - Taney

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
WATCH CANCELATION for the Following Counties in our Coverage Area: ARKANSAS: Benton - Carroll - Madison - Washington . MISSOURI: Barry

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
SUMMARY...Further thunderstorm development and intensification still appears probable through 4-5 PM CDT. This may include isolated to widely scattered cells developing ahead of an organizing line, accompanied by a risk for severe hail and a tornado or two, in addition to increasing potential for strong to severe wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...As mid-level forcing for ascent continues to spread
northeastward into the Ozark Plateau vicinity, associated
thunderstorm activity has yet to substantively intensify, though
there has been some increase in gusts at least approaching severe
limits in surface observations across eastern Oklahoma into
southwestern Missouri. However, a seasonably moist boundary layer ahead of this activity, and south of outflow associated with
preceding convective development across south central through east central Missouri, driven by low/mid-level warm advection, is
becoming increasingly unstable, based on convective trends evident in latest visible imagery.

With additional insolation, in the presence of strengthening
lower/mid-tropospheric wind fields (including 30-60 kt south to
southwesterly in the 850-500 mb layer), intensifying thunderstorm
activity still seems probable through 21-22Z. It is possible this
may include isolated to widely scattered discrete thunderstorm
development in advance of the developing line, coincident with a
period of at least modestly enlarging low-level level hodographs.
If this occurs, this activity would probably be accompanied by
better potential for producing severe hail, and the risk for a
tornado or two.

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
1245PM - Quick Weather Update!

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TILL 6PM - A Few Tornados, Ping Pong Ball Size Hail, 75 mph Winds Possible !

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵! - WATCH ISSUED
WEATHER WATCH LIKELY: SUMMARY...The gradual evolution of an increasingly organized line of storms appears probable through 11 AM to 1 PM CDT. Stronger storm may initially pose a risk for marginally severe hail, before potentially damaging wind gusts and perhaps a couple of tornadoes become a more prominent concern. It appears probable that one or more severe weather watches will be needed, though how soon remains a bit uncertain.

10/18/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
STORM TRACK 360 STUDIO Located in Harrison Arkansas, On Standby to "GO LIVE" If Needed! Stay Weather Aware!

10/17/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
Current Model Runs are thinking 12pm to 3pm on Severe Weather for our Area Tomorrow, Saturday October 18th? Please be Weather Aware between 7am & 9pm on Saturday as Timing can Change? The CSU Model is showing North Central Arkansas and far South Central Missouri Border as the Strongest Potential for a Tornado and Damaging Winds. This is just Model Guidance, But a Red Flag to make sure everyone is Paying Attention Tomorrow. Lots can still change Including Upgrades or Downgrades on Areas, Timing and Hazards. Please Stay Weather Aware and have a Severe Weather Plan just in case.

Hazards:
Intense Lightning
Down Pours
Golf Ball Size Hail
60mph - 80 mph Winds
A Few Tornados Possible

Your Storm Track 360 Severe Weather Team!

10/17/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
BEHIND THE SCENES Preparing for Likely Severe Weather Tomorrow!

10/17/2025

𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑰𝑹𝑬𝑫 𝑰𝑵𝑭𝑶𝑹𝑴𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵!
STORM PREDICTION CENTER SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible Saturday October 18th across parts of the Arkansas & Missouri Ozarks. Damaging Winds, a few Tornadoes and Hail are possible.

We will post Updates on Timing and Specific Hazards when more Information is Available! Stay Weather Aware & Check Back for Updates!

YOUR STORM TRACK 360 SEVERE WEATHER TEAM!