Weather Insights

Weather Insights Meteorologists Jeff Lindner and Scott Pitney

09/12/2026

🌑️ SOUTHEAST TEXAS: THE REST OF SEPTEMBER

Summer isn’t giving up just yet. 🌞🌴

The climate signal for the remainder of September favors above-normal temperatures across Southeast Texas, with plenty of heat and humidity likely to continue. A few days may feel noticeably more comfortable, but a sustained fall-like cooldown is not the dominant signal yet.

🌧️ Rain chances: More uncertain. Expect the usual late-summer pattern of hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for locally heavy downpours. Tropical disturbances can quickly change the rainfall picture along the Upper Texas Coast, so a quiet stretch can be followed by a very wet day.

🌑️ Temperature trend: Generally warmer than normal, especially during the afternoon. Overnight temperatures should gradually ease as September progresses, but muggy mornings and warm afternoons will remain common.

πŸ‚ Fall transition: Don’t put away the summer gear just yet. A stronger cold front eventually becomes more likely as we move toward October, but the timing of that first meaningful cooldown is difficult to pin down this far out.

πŸŒ€ Tropical watch: September remains an important part of the Atlantic hurricane season. Stay weather-aware and keep hurricane preparedness plans in place.

Bottom line: β˜€οΈ Hot β†’ 🌦️ hit-or-miss storms β†’ 🌑️ gradual cooling β†’ πŸ‚ eventually, a more noticeable fall pattern.

This is a climate outlook, not a specific day-by-day forecast. Conditions can change quickly, especially with Gulf and tropical systems.

09/12/2026

🌀️ Southeast Texas Weekly Weather Outlook 🌦️

πŸ”₯ The heat remains the big story this week! Southeast Texas is looking at another stretch of hot, humid conditions, with afternoon temperatures generally in the mid to upper 90s and heat index values occasionally pushing above 105Β°.

HEAT ADVISORY is in effect from 12:00 PM today through 6:00 PM.

β›ˆοΈ Rain chances: Scattered afternoon and early-evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible, especially over the weekend and early next week. Rain coverage gradually trends lower Monday-Tuesday and slightly higher, Thursday-Friday, but a few storms could still pop up during any afternoon.

πŸ“… Week at a glance:

Saturday: Mostly sunny, hot, with a 50% storm chance. High near 97Β°, heat index up to 109Β°.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a 30% storm chance. High near 96Β°, heat index up to 107Β°.
Monday: Hot and humid with a 40% storm chance. High near 96Β°.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with a slight 20% storm chance. High near 96Β°.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny with a 20% storm chance. High near 95Β°.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a 30% storm chance. High near 94Β°.
Friday: Sunny with a 40% storm chance. High near 95Β°.

🌑️ Bottom line: Expect a hot, humid week with limited but daily opportunities for afternoon thunderstorms. Stay hydrated, take heat precautions, and keep an eye on the sky if you're outdoors during the afternoon and evening hours.

09/06/2026

: πŸŒžπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Happy Labor Day, Southeast Texas!

It’s going to be a hot and mostly sunny holiday across the region, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 PM. High temperatures will reach around 97Β°F, with heat index values as high as 107Β°F. Winds will remain calm.

🌑️ Stay cool, drink plenty of water, take breaks from the heat, and keep an eye on the sky if you’re spending the holiday outdoors. Have a safe and happy Labor Day!

09/06/2026

🌦️ Southeast Texas Weather Outlook | Sunday, Sept. 6

Another active weather day is ahead across Southeast Texas. Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected today as deep tropical moisture combines with an approaching upper-level low.

β›ˆοΈ Rain & storms: Coverage increases through the day, with some slow-moving storms capable of producing locally heavy rainfall. A few isolated instances of flooding are possible, especially where storms repeatedly move over the same areas.

🌑️ Warmer week ahead: Rain chances ease somewhat early to midweek as ridging builds back in. Inland highs will climb into the low to mid-90s, with heat indices around 102–109Β°F.

🌊 Late-week trend: Moisture and rain chances may increase again toward the end of the week as a weak disturbance approaches from the Gulf. Current guidance favors the coastal counties and Gulf waters for the highest rain chances, particularly during the afternoon.

Bottom line: Stormy today, hotter and somewhat drier for the first half of the workweek, with rain chances potentially increasing again late week.

πŸŒ… Weekend Weather Update β€” Southeast TexasTropical systems may bring plenty of rain and storms, but they can also leave ...
09/05/2026

πŸŒ… Weekend Weather Update β€” Southeast Texas

Tropical systems may bring plenty of rain and storms, but they can also leave behind some spectacular sunsets and sunrisesβ€”like this one! πŸŒ…β˜οΈ

As we head into the weekend, tropical moisture will continue to influence Southeast Texas, bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could produce heavy rain, frequent lightning and gusty winds, so keep an eye on the forecast. Sunday looks a little quieter, but a few storms will still be possible.

And when the storms move out, look to the skyβ€”you might just get a sunset like this! 🌴🌀️

09/01/2026

🚨 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD UPDATE β€” SOUTHEAST TEXAS

A Hurricane Watch is in effect from High Island, TX to Cameron, LA, with Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Warnings from High Island to the Cameron/Vermilion Parish line.

πŸŒ€ Edouard: 40 mph winds, moving WNW at 7–8 mph. Landfall is expected over Jefferson County, TX, between High Island and Sabine Pass, then inland toward the Conroe/Huntsville area Wednesday.

🌧️ Rainfall: 3–6" likely across parts of Chambers, Liberty, San Jacinto, eastern Montgomery, eastern Harris and eastern Galveston Counties, with isolated 6–9" totals possible. Heavy rain could spread west of I-45 and north of I-10 Tuesday night into Wednesday.

🌬️ Winds: 15–25 mph for much of the area, with stronger gusts in squalls. Tropical-storm-force winds are most likely near the eastern portions of Chambers and Liberty Counties.

🌊 Coastal Flooding: Minor flooding is possible along Bolivar and parts of Galveston Bay. 2–4 feet of storm surge is possible east of High Island, including Sabine Lake.

⚠️ Remember: The storm is not a point. Impacts can extend well away from the center and far inland.

Stay weather aware and follow official guidance as conditions evolve.

08/31/2026

🚨 TROPICAL WEATHER ALERT β€” SE TEXAS & SW LOUISIANA 🚨

A developing tropical system in the northwestern Gulf is expected to strengthen before moving inland Tuesday. Residents from the upper Texas coast into Southeast Texas and Southwest Louisiana should closely monitor this system tonight and Tuesday.

⚠️ Tropical Storm Warning: Port Bolivar, TX β†’ Vermilion, LA
🌊 Storm Surge Warning: High Island, TX β†’ Vermilion/Cameron Parish line
🌧️ Flood Watch: 1 AM Tuesday β†’ 7 AM Wednesday

🌧️ HEAVY RAIN & FLOODING

The greatest rainfall threat will be Tuesday into Tuesday night, especially along and east of the I-45 corridor.

β€’ 3–6 inches possible across Chambers, Liberty, San Jacinto, eastern Montgomery, eastern Harris and eastern Galveston Counties
β€’ Isolated totals of 6–9 inches are possible
β€’ Localized flash flooding could occur, particularly across eastern Houston-area watersheds
β€’ Luce Bayou, Cedar Bayou, Goose Creek and the East Fork of the San Jacinto River will need close monitoring

There could be a sharp rainfall gradient across the Houston metro, meaning eastern areas could see significant rain while locations farther west receive much less.

πŸ’¨ WINDS

Tropical-storm-force winds of 40–50 mph will be possible Tuesday across eastern Galveston Bay, Chambers County and portions of Liberty County.

The system could strengthen more than currently forecast. A 65–70 mph tropical storm at landfall cannot be ruled out, so residents in the warning areas β€” particularly Chambers and Liberty Counties β€” should be prepared for stronger winds than currently expected.

Isolated power outages are possible.

🌊 COASTAL FLOODING & STORM SURGE

β€’ Minor coastal flooding is possible Tuesday, especially along Bolivar
β€’ 2–4 feet of storm surge flooding is possible east of High Island, including around Sabine Lake
β€’ Elevated tides of 1–2 feet are possible on the west side of Galveston Bay
β€’ Low-lying areas around Toddville Road, Seabrook, Shoreacres and the Lynchburg Ferry Landing could see minor flooding
β€’ Overwash is increasingly likely along the eastern end of Highway 87

πŸŒ€ TRACK & INTENSITY

Current guidance continues to favor landfall between High Island and Sabine Pass around midday Tuesday, followed by a track across eastern Liberty County and into eastern San Jacinto County.

Remember: a tropical system is not a point. Impacts will extend well away from the center and can occur on either side of the track.

The system remains over very warm water with favorable upper-level conditions for strengthening. Small Gulf systems can intensify quickly, so tonight and Tuesday morning will be critical for monitoring changes in strength.

πŸ“Œ Bottom line: Heavy rain, flash flooding, tropical-storm-force winds, storm surge and coastal flooding are the primary concerns. If you're in Southeast Texas or near the upper Texas/Louisiana coast, don't focus solely on the center of the forecast track β€” prepare for the impacts.

Stay weather-aware tonight and Tuesday, secure outdoor items, avoid flooded roadways, and have a way to receive weather warnings.

08/30/2026

🌧️ 🌴 SOUTHEAST TEXAS TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE β€” SUNDAY, AUGUST 30 | 3:00 PM CDT

The National Hurricane Center has increased the chance of tropical development in the northern Gulf of America to 50% through the next 48 hours and 50% through 7 days.

A low-pressure system, designated AL97, is currently about 125 miles south of southeastern Louisiana and has become better organized. The system is expected to move slowly west-northwestward, with a possible short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm developing before reaching the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coast Tuesday or Tuesday night.

🌧️ What could Southeast Texas see?

Even if the system does not become a named tropical storm, the main concern for our area is locally heavy rainfall.

Depending on the system's eventual track and organization, Southeast Texas could see:

β€’ Periods of heavy rain and thunderstorms
β€’ Locally intense rainfall that could produce street/urban flooding
β€’ Gusty winds, particularly near heavier storms
β€’ Reduced visibility and difficult driving conditions
β€’ Potentially higher rain totals in localized areas

⚠️ The exact impacts are NOT known yet. Small changes in the track or development of this system could significantly affect where the heaviest rain falls.

Residents along the Upper Texas coast should continue monitoring updates over the next 24–48 hours. Now is a good time to make sure you have multiple ways to receive weather alerts and to review your flood/emergency plans.

Bottom line: Don't focus solely on whether this becomes a tropical storm. Heavy rainfall could be the biggest concern for Southeast Texas regardless of development.

We'll continue watching AL97 closely and sharing updates as the forecast becomes clearer. 🌴🌧️

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Houston, TX

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