The Florida Cracker Weather Authority

06/19/2023

https://twitter.com/NWSJacksonville/status/1670761343715282949?t=K1KVGDxsB3dwmuo4eUbrNA&s=19

“You already know to take 🏠shelter as soon as you hear thunder or see lightning. But, have you ever wondered why 🌩lightning and thunder happen in the first place? Read the graphic below & watch this video for a quick science lesson: https://t.co/kvAVp2ykUy ”

07/02/2021

06/30/2021

https://www.facebook.com/112957945436361/posts/4324521600946620/?sfnsn=mo

06/16/2021

Well it's that time of year again folks. This time we will be doing bigger things than last time. WE HAVE MEDIA CREDENTIALS!!! Therefore you'll see exclusive videos and reports on scene that no one else will see this year.. make sure to follow and share us to get the word out!!

For starters here will be our FIRST tropical system of 2021!!

https://www.facebook.com/100044536235235/posts/341081647386374/?sfnsn=mo

It's a big ole sloppy mess, but our tropical disturbance is gradually organizing in the southern Gulf of Mexico. One thing is certain...lot's of moisture heading north.

Likely to become TD #3 or Tropical Storm with heavy rainfall threat for the Gulf Coast starting on Friday.

Here's my breakdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-MYqRbPzbYs

08/22/2020

Had to share history.. This will be a first..
But is it really surprising for 2020.. Kinda mild of you ask us as favor as surprises in 2020 goes..
Sharknadoes. Now THATS the "wow" This storm needs.....

This map is just wild...yet serious. Please pay attention to the changing forecast if you have interests from Texas to W. Panhandle of FL. Action News Jax News 104.5 WOKV

08/20/2020

Strong tropical wave ’98-L’ was upgraded to tropical depression #13 Wed. while moving into the Central Atlantic marching west. As the Bermuda High to the north expands & strengthens, t.d. #13 should continue a steady track W/NW & forecast models are in excellent agreement on such. This puts the system near Puerto Rico by Sat. afternoon... near Hispaniola early Sunday... near Cuba early Mon. & into the SE Gulf by Tue. There is a reasonable chance for a track farther south as the Bermuda High flexes its muscles. Any further south & land interaction becomes more & more of a factor leading to disruptions in its organization in what should eventually become Laura.

Intensity is going to be a difficult forecast which is not unusual but even more so in this case. Several of the typically more reliable models - the European & GFS, for example - show little strengthening... & even weakening in some forecast cycles. The UKMET is generally stronger but not as intense as past model runs. I’m still concerned about a “late bloomer” on this one. A tropical cyclone that’s quite weak possibly until making it into the Gulf of Mexico next week. Once in the Gulf, there should be a gradual turn more northward. It looks like there will be some heavy squalls this weekend for parts of the Northern Lesser Antilles as well as Puerto Rico, Hispaniola & eventually Cuba. In addition to land interaction, there is some dry air & a fair amount of shear in the path of the depression which could serve to limit intensification, especially over the next few days.

05/25/2020

05/24/2020

https://www.facebook.com/88134562366/posts/10158108162227367/?sfnsn=mo

Afternoon EURO ensembles still thinking a little something something develops out of our tropical low thingy majigger. Nothing colored from the NHC on this yet. Watching in real-time as it happens. www.spaghettimodels.com

05/21/2020

05/17/2020

Any NC peeps in here? Check in..

Latest 18z GFS from tropicaltidbits.com. Same thinking. Timing Monday morning here. Florida front action will be a surprise with some rains. Lots of weather this week. Will go live later tonight shooting for 9:19pm. www.spaghettimodels.com

05/17/2020

https://www.facebook.com/112957945436361/posts/3155569091175216/?sfnsn=mo