Weather 2020

08/16/2025

Hurricane Update! Major Category 4 Hurricane Erin has rapidly intensified overnight with wind gusts near 165 mph with sustained wind speeds nearing 130 mph close to the eyeball. The storm is forecast to curve offshore of North Carolina, but it’s critical we keep monitoring closely as the pattern evolves. Even a slight track shift could change impacts along the East Coast, but I am confident it will stay far enough out to sea to limit the impact on the USA. Look at that eye as the sun was shining on it at sunrise today. This storm is a powerful reminder of how quickly conditions can escalate in the tropics. Stay weather aware, and we’ll continue updating you as Erin progresses. I will have a full tropical update as we look at the cycling pattern by early this afternoon: Weather2020.substack.com

08/14/2025

Ever heard of the MJO? I know a lot of you on this page will know the name! Yesterday I had the privilege of meeting Dr. Roland Madden — the ‘M’ in MJO — and we had a fantastic conversation about the MJO and the LRC. Here’s our photo!

08/12/2025

5 to 10 Months in Advance — Right on Schedule
Back in March, using the Lezak Recurring Cycle (LRC), we identified a mid-August tropical development zone as one of our key forecast targets for 2025, and it is traced back to late October from what are called "weather seeds".

Today, Tropical Storm Erin is tracking right through that exact forecast zone — a direct, on-time verification of a prediction made 10 months after the original weather seed formed last October, shown on the attached map.

This is the same atmospheric pattern that’s delivered over 90% accuracy in severe weather outbreak forecasts this year — and it’s now guiding our harvest outlook in the latest Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report.

https://open.substack.com/pub/weather2020/p/the-long-range-harvest-weather-forecast?r=183akg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

08/09/2025

A stormy start to the weekend! The ring of fire returns. 5” of rain is possible by Monday night. I’ll have more details soon! Here is the radar at 7 AM. Let me know if you hear thunder and what you are experiencing near KC!

08/06/2025

The First Atlantic Hurricane Is Likely Within 10-Days. Here is a rather in-depth look at the LRC predictions from months ago for this developing pattern, and we discuss the phases of this year's cycling pattern. https://youtu.be/09bVfIHDlas?si=doCBdgJn7_FDNWae via Let me know if you have any questions

Tropical Storm Dexter formed yesterday. The first hurricane of the season over the Atlantic Basin will likely form within ten days. Let's go in-depth as we...

08/04/2025

Goooooooooood Monday morning! The Cycling Weather Pattern Is Right On Schedule — Again.
Tropical Storm Dexter just formed over the Atlantic and is tracking within 300 miles of where Tropical Storm Andrea developed 41 days ago — matching this year’s LRC cycle length of ~41 days.
🔁 This is not a coincidence. It’s the Lezak Recurring Cycle in action — a cycling atmospheric pattern that has accurately predicted tropical systems, severe weather outbreaks, winter storms, and other significant weather events weeks to months in advance.

🌊 Another storm system is likely to form in the coming days over the Atlantic, and it could threaten the southeastern U.S. coast in the middle of this month, targeting the southeast U.S. coast. This aligns with the prediction we made back in March, based on the same returning pattern and is related to Chantal that made landfall near the South Carolina/North Carolina border.

For Kansas City, Denver, and other locations around the world tracking our updates, this weather pattern also means that the wetter part of the cycling pattern is also due within a couple weeks. I hope you are enjoying the break from the heat the past few days!

08/01/2025

Goooooooooooood Afternoon! Here is an article I just wrote and posted on LinkedIn. Read through it and let me know if you have and questions. I hope you are enjoying this cooler start to August!

On October 5, 2024, the atmosphere reset. Most didn’t notice it, but we did.

07/31/2025

Look at these forecast temperatures for valid 7 AM Saturday morning. The humidity is being wiped out for a few days. The LRC predicted this could down for this week and in my last post you can see that outlook for a cooler end of July. Other predictions, even the 8-14 day forecast from the Climate Prediction Center did not have this cool down on their "radar". I saw some posts for extreme heat to start August. We have shown that the 100-day LRC predictions are more accurate than the 10-day forecasts from the other models others use. The LRC allows us to know when those other models are wrong, and also when they may be right.

07/29/2025

Goooooooooooooood late morning or afternoon everyone! Who is ready for this cold front to get here? It will move through later in the day Wednesday with a chance of thunderstorms, and then 70s to near 80 degrees is in the forecast for KC. Here in Colorado, thunderstorms are also possible with much cooler air arriving. The humidity is about to be wiped out. I am currently working on the Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report. We have our discount available for my favorite fans and friends for just three more days for 50% off which is less than 50 cents per day. I will have the next report posted later today. In this report you will learn about the LRC, weather, get weekly to twice weekly updates and stay in touch and learn about this breakthrough scientific discovery. Here's the link: https://weather2020.substack.com/subscribe?coupon=84c55007

07/25/2025

Thunderstorms are increasing on this late July 24th evening. Gooooooooooooood evening everyone. I just put an in-depth Youtube video together going over the models that show anywhere from near no rain tonight to over 10" of rain near KC. Like our Weather 20/20 YouTube channel as we share this unique information with you. Let us know what you experience. Remember, turn around, don't drown. Here is the link:

Thunderstorms are increasing on this late July 24th evening. Gooooooooooooood evening everyone. I just put an in-depth Youtube video together going over th...

07/21/2025

🔥 The Ring of Fire 🔥
This week’s weather pattern is a classic summer setup: the jet stream is at its farthest north and weakest, allowing a massive heat dome—the Anticyclone—to develop over the U.S. I will be discussing this in tomorrow's Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report.
🌩️ Thunderstorm complexes (MCSs) are riding the northern edge of this heat creating machine, a part of the pattern that has cycled through many times, and now we are experiencing the summer version—driven by the LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle).
🌎 The pattern is not random—it's cycling. This ring of fire, the tropics, what lies ahead for weather sensitive businesses and weather enthusiasts that want to learn about the LRC is the topic of tomorrow's Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report.

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🎯 Know when and where storms, heat waves, and even tropical threats will return—weeks to months ahead.
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07/12/2025

If you have been wondering where are the survival videos, as there aren't many, and why would there be when these incredible neighbors and friends were in life/death situations. This incredible bravery caught on video. This terrifying moment during the Guadalupe River flooding ends in a successful rescue. Watch as rescuers risk their lives to save this woman.
This is one of the many stories that may never make headlines—but show the true heroism that unfolded during this disaster.
At Weather 20/20, I am leading out team to hopefully someday soon provide even more advanced warning on events like this, even a couple more hours helps. Let’s recognize the people who step up when lives are on the line: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2RSnTJZwfmM

Dramatic video captured a water rescue of a woman caught in rushing water in San Angelo, Texas, after heavy rains caused devastating flooding across Central ...