Tropical Storm Cristobal is moving north across the Gulf of Mexico. This storm will make landfall Sunday evening and will continue north along and west of the Mississippi River through early next week. While the storm will be weakening after moving inland, impacts are still possible across the Mid-South Monday and possibly on Tuesday.
The primary concern will be the potential for heavy rainfall. Widespread rainfall amounts in excess of 2 inches are possible with some areas along and west of the Mississippi River picking up 4-6 inches. This may result in flash flooding and could also affect the water levels on the Mississippi river and its tributaries. The heaviest rainfall is anticipated on Monday.
Gusty east winds will be possible as the storm nears Monday, shifting more southerly Monday night. Gusts to around 35 mph are possible, especially in the delta counties. A Wind Advisory may eventually be needed.
Finally, with the storm staying primarily to our west, the Mid-South will be in a favorable location for tropical tornadoes. These tornadoes are often brief and can spin-up with little notice. The greatest threat for tornadoes will be in northwest Mississippi and east-central Arkansas on Monday, but could linger into Tuesday. NWS