Weather In A Nutshell

Weather In A Nutshell Weather In A Nutshell's goal is to cover the weather near the NYC area and New Jersey! I aim to provide short range, medium range and long range weather.

Winter weather enthusiast. Forecasts/snow maps are independent/mine 😎 DM me for a personal forecast!

WIAN FIRST CALL SNOW MAP FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNINGGood morning, our first significant snow event of the sea...
12/12/2025

WIAN FIRST CALL SNOW MAP FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING
Good morning, our first significant snow event of the season will take place Saturday night into Sunday! Get out those shovels for Sunday morning!
TIMING: Snow should spread around the area from West to East around mid to late evening. May start as rain in areas of I-95, quickly changing to moderate to heavy snow in several hours. Spotty 1" inch per hour rates possible especially for the I-95 corridor near Philadelphia. As the low pulls out around sunrise, it pulls the precip back...but also the cold air as everyone should be all snow by morning even the coast. The snow departs no later than noon.
WHY 3-6" inches for I-95 near Philly?:
I think this area has the best chance to see the fine line of heavy precip and cold enough air to see accumulating snow, which includes roads.
FOR 2-4" areas:
I-80 & NW folks will be all snow, but the precip won't be as heavy as CNJ or even SNJ folks, which is why I put the area in 2-4"
The coast gets 2-4" due to the heavy snow from the backside of the storm.
Middle & Eastern LI, and extreme SENJ will have their totals dimmed by margarinal temperatures as times of "white rain" may fall (non-sticking snow)
WIND WILL NOT BE AN ISSUE!
Anymore questions? Ask away!

We are off to a very cold December. Single digit morning lows were recorded in N&W locations. It's not even officially w...
12/09/2025

We are off to a very cold December. Single digit morning lows were recorded in N&W locations. It's not even officially winter yet...but when will it moderate? Temps will remain below average for at least the next week, with 30s for highs, a light snowfall chance for December 14th (I'll make a post if it trends stronger. Or it may trend more dry.)

Starting December 18th temperatures should moderate. Upper 40s to Low 50s as highs may occur for a few days or longer. But according to upper air signals and looking at the pattern, it probably won't last long and we may end December with more severe cold stretches, and possibly storm chances.

Beginning of December may start cold and maybe a bit wintry? A cold snap is very prominent on all models around Dec 4-5,...
11/25/2025

Beginning of December may start cold and maybe a bit wintry? A cold snap is very prominent on all models around Dec 4-5, with morning lows in the teens and struggling to get above freezing as a high.

Snow also isn't impossible to start December. There's low confidence if energy sets up right to get some snow on the ground during that cold stretch which will happen around Dec 2nd if the low is energized enough.

11/22/2025

This is what happens when you listen to a weather app instead of a weather account ran by a real person!

Long Range Snow outlook: Yes, it is already November 19th and I could finally use the "S" word. Areas north of I-80 are ...
11/19/2025

Long Range Snow outlook:

Yes, it is already November 19th and I could finally use the "S" word. Areas north of I-80 are already familiar with that word. But will we get any in the near future?

Well, maybe you'll get the opportunities come December. The best chance looks to be the end of the month but I'd still consider it a low chance.

Weekly Outlook: It's November, any semblance of warmth is over. Today: Windy on the coast and NWNJ/NEPA. A flurry extrem...
11/17/2025

Weekly Outlook: It's November, any semblance of warmth is over.

Today: Windy on the coast and NWNJ/NEPA. A flurry extreme N&W which may result in some light accumulations in the Catskills. Mostly Sunny.

NYC: 46F
Bergenfield: 45F
Metuchen: 47F
Tom's River: 47F
Freehold: 47F
Wildwood: 50F
Philly: 48F
Vineland: 49F
Islip: 45F
Sussex: 44F
Poconos: 40F

Tuesday: A flurry extreme N&W in the morning. Sunny in the morning, with clouds building the afternoon.

NYC: 47F
Bergenfield: 46F
Metuchen: 47F
Tom's River: 47F
Freehold: 48F
Wildwood: 49F
Philly: 49F
Vineland: 49F
Islip: 45F
Sussex: 42F
Poconos: 39F

Wednesday: Light Rain in the morning, especially for SNJ. May mix with wet snow in some interior areas. Sun returns in the afternoon CNJ northward. 0.5 inches of rain for Ocean County southward.

NYC: 49F
Bergenfield: 48F
Metuchen: 50F
Tom's River: 49F
Freehold: 50F
Wildwood: 48F
Philly: 49F
Vineland: 45F
Islip: 45F
Sussex: 47F
Poconos: 44F

Thursday: A chance of a light shower in Extreme SNJ, but otherwise cloudy.

NYC: 49F
Bergenfield: 46F
Metuchen: 47F
Tom's River: 50F
Freehold: 50F
Wildwood: 49F
Philly: 48F
Vineland: 47F
Islip: 50F
Sussex: 43F
Poconos: 41F

Friday: Another overcast day. A bit warmer.
NYC: 54F
Bergenfield: 48F
Metuchen: 52F
Tom's River: 57F
Freehold: 55F
Wildwood: 60F
Philly: 54F
Vineland: 58F
Islip: 56F
Sussex: 49F
Poconos: 49F

BREAKING NEWS: Our recent cold spell looks like Squidward on weather models!!!
11/15/2025

BREAKING NEWS: Our recent cold spell looks like Squidward on weather models!!!

11/03/2025

Weekly Outlook: A boring average week. As well as your Election Day forecast.

Today: Breezy on the immediate coast. Mostly Cloudy skies with a few scattered showers, especially for Central NJ.

NYC: 59F
Bergenfield: 55F
Metuchen: 55F
Tom's River: 60F
Freehold: 59F
Wildwood: 60F
Philly: 57F
Vineland: 56F
Islip: 59F
Sussex: 56F
Poconos: 57F

Election Day: Windy in the Pocono Mountains. Mostly Sunny.
NYC: 58F
Bergenfield: 56F
Metuchen: 58F
Tom's River: 59F
Freehold: 59F
Wildwood: 59F
Philly: 59F
Vineland: 59F
Islip: 55F
Sussex: 56F
Poconos: 51F

Wednesday: A bit warmer. Windy in some areas. Partly Cloudy with a possible shower N&W.

NYC: 60F
Bergenfield: 58F
Metuchen: 62F
Tom's River: 64F
Freehold: 62F
Wildwood: 63F
Philly: 63F
Vineland: 63F
Islip: 59F
Sussex: 59F
Poconos: 56F
Thursday: Windy in the Pocono mountains. Partly to Mostly Cloudy.

NYC: 56F
Bergenfield: 52F
Metuchen: 56F
Tom's River: 58F
Freehold: 57F
Wildwood: 59F
Philly: 59F
Vineland: 59F
Islip: 56F
Sussex: 49F
Poconos: 41F

Friday: Below freezing morning extreme N&W in high elevations. Windy on the immediate coast. Cloudy.

NYC: 60F
Bergenfield: 58F
Metuchen: 62F
Tom's River: 62F
Freehold: 61F
Wildwood: 63F
Philly: 63F
Vineland: 62F
Islip: 60F
Sussex: 56F
Poconos: 53F

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Weekly Outlook: Spooky season is upon us! But will Halloween look promising? Today: --Tuesday: Mostly Sunny, but cloudie...
10/27/2025

Weekly Outlook: Spooky season is upon us! But will Halloween look promising?

Today: --
Tuesday: Mostly Sunny, but cloudier and windier on the coast.

NYC: 57F
Bergenfield: 55F
Metuchen: 56F
Tom's River: 57F
Freehold: 57F
Wildwood: 55F
Philly: 58F
Vineland: 58F
Islip: 55F
Sussex: 54F
Poconos: 49F

Wednesday: Low coastal flooding risk. Windy on the coast, Partly to Mostly Cloudy, as clouds build. Rain moves in overnight with some thunder possible. Chilly.

NYC: 55F
Bergenfield: 55F
Metuchen: 55F
Tom's River: 52F
Freehold: 52F
Wildwood: 57F
Philly: 54F
Vineland: 54F
Islip: 51F
Sussex: 53F
Poconos: 52F

Thursday: Rain with widely scattered thunder moves in the early morning hours, lasting all day. Heavy rainfall, windy near the coast, coastal flooding and high surf will make for a miserable day before Halloween. Up to 3 inches of rain possible for some areas, especially Western NJ. Winds 20 to 30 mph on the coast with 40 to 50 mph gusts.

NYC: 62F
Bergenfield: 58F
Metuchen: 63F
Tom's River: 65F
Freehold: 65F
Wildwood: 67F
Philly: 66F
Vineland: 66F
Islip: 61F
Sussex: 56F
Poconos: 48F

Halloween: Cloudy and windy. For costumes that rely on jackets, masks and suits, you won't be hot in them if outside.

NYC: 57F
Bergenfield: 53F
Metuchen: 54F
Tom's River: 56F
Freehold: 55F
Wildwood: 56F
Philly: 56F
Vineland: 56F
Islip: 57F
Sussex: 50F
Poconos: 45F

Best guess at the Long Range:
Not available this week.

After Wednesday we should start getting 60s as highs. But for the next few days, it does not feel like spooky season out...
10/04/2025

After Wednesday we should start getting 60s as highs. But for the next few days, it does not feel like spooky season outside!

Weekly Outlook: First week of Fall! But looks like the weather might be confused, it thinks we're in the first week of s...
09/22/2025

Weekly Outlook: First week of Fall! But looks like the weather might be confused, it thinks we're in the first week of summer! Wet and tropical weather on tap for the first week of fall lol.
Today: --

Tuesday: High rip current risk. Partly to Mostly Cloudy, scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon especially for western areas. Lightning and Gusty Winds possible with some cells especially in Pennsylvania. Humid

NYC: 82F
Bergenfield: 82F
Metuchen: 83F
Tom's River: 82F
Freehold: 83F
Wildwood: 82F
Philly: 84F
Vineland: 82F
Islip: 78F
Sussex: 81F
Poconos: 77F

Wednesday: High rip current risk. Full on summer weather in Fall. Partly to Mostly Cloudy with slow moving scattered non-severe thunderstorms in the afternoon. Humid.

NYC: 81F
Bergenfield: 78F
Metuchen: 79F
Tom's River: 79F
Freehold: 77F
Wildwood: 86F (Feels Like 92F)
Philly: 85F
Vineland: 86F (Feels Like 90F)
Islip: 74F
Sussex: 76F
Poconos: 72F

Thursday: Tropical Wash out! 0.5-1" of rain expected. Periods of rain, with some heavier pockets possible. Lightning and localized flooding possible. Some sun breaks in the afternoon with scattered thunderstorms and downpours SE of I-95.

NYC: 74F
Bergenfield: 71F
Metuchen: 79F
Tom's River: 87F
Freehold: 86F (Feels Like 90F)
Wildwood: 89F (Feels Like 93F)
Philly: 86F (Feels Like 90F)
Vineland: 89F (Feels Like 93F)
Islip: 77F
Sussex: 70F
Poconos: 69F (nice)

Friday: Cloudy in the morning with a chance of more localized flooding and scattered downpours for the afternoon. Lightning only possible for SNJ.

NYC: 75F
Bergenfield: 76F
Metuchen: 74F
Tom's River: 73F
Freehold: 74F
Wildwood: 73F
Philly: 79F
Vineland: 78F
Islip: 74F
Sussex: 76F
Poconos: 72F

Best guess at the Long Range:
Not available this week.

Weekly Outlook: Another nice weather week on tap (except minus Wednesday) Today: A minor coastal flood risk and a big ri...
09/08/2025

Weekly Outlook: Another nice weather week on tap (except minus Wednesday)

Today: A minor coastal flood risk and a big rip current risk, so I advise to go to the beaches on a different day. Cool and Sunny with some clouds just offshore.

NYC: 74F
Bergenfield: 72F
Metuchen: 74F
Tom's River: 74F
Freehold: 74F
Wildwood: 75F
Philly: 75F
Vineland: 75F
Islip: 70F
Sussex: 72F
Poconos: 68F

Tuesday: Minor coastal flooding and rip current risk. Partly Cloudy in SENJ. Sunny everywhere else.
NYC: 74F
Bergenfield: 76F
Metuchen: 75F
Tom's River: 75F
Freehold: 73F
Wildwood: 73F
Philly: 76F
Vineland: 73F
Islip: 72F
Sussex: 73F
Poconos: 70F

Wednesday: Minor coastal flood risk. Scattered showers for coastal areas in the morning. Mostly Cloudy, more chance of sun as you go farther west.
NYC: 69F (nice)
Bergenfield: 70F
Metuchen: 72F
Tom's River: 71F
Freehold: 70F
Wildwood: 71F
Philly: 78F
Vineland: 76F
Islip: 63F
Sussex: 71F
Poconos: 72F

Thursday: Minor coastal flooding. Partly Cloudy in the morning, Mostly Sunny by the afternoon. Hotter
NYC: 85F
Bergenfield: 83F
Metuchen: 85F
Tom's River: 85F
Freehold: 84F
Wildwood: 84F
Philly: 85F
Vineland: 85F
Islip: 84F
Sussex: 83F
Poconos: 77F

Friday: No chance of a cloud.

NYC: 82F
Bergenfield: 80F
Metuchen: 82F
Tom's River: 78F
Freehold: 80F
Wildwood: 81F
Philly: 84F
Vineland: 83F
Islip: 81F
Sussex: 79F
Poconos: 76F

Best guess at the Long Range:

Saturday: Low to Mid 80s and Completely Sunny
Sunday: Low to Mid 80s and Partly Cloudy.

Sep 15-21: Average to Slightly below average temperatures. (70s as highs) Scattered Rain chances on most days.

Sep 22-28: Seasonable temperatures (70s as highs) More drier than the previous week.

Sep 29-Oct 5: Hot start to October with highs reaching near 80 some days. Some rain but it'll be mostly dry.

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