08/26/2026
🚨🇺🇸 After winning the Republican primary on August 18 with the backing of President Donald Trump, Congressman Byron Donalds is heading into the November general election as the favorite. Polymarket currently gives him a 79% chance of winning, compared with 21% for his Democratic opponent, David Jolly.
The odds highlight the strong Republican advantage in Florida, where Donalds will face Jolly in the race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis. However, Polymarket’s figures reflect market-based probabilities, not a guaranteed election outcome, and they can change as traders buy and sell shares.