The Vig Company

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We are a boutique investment company, here we share our thoughts on the markets, individual securities, and results for our top-performing financial newsletter, The V2 Model.

Yesterday I started work on adapting my screenplay KINGS MURDER STILL to a novel. I had a couple of immediate observatio...
03/26/2026

Yesterday I started work on adapting my screenplay KINGS MURDER STILL to a novel. I had a couple of immediate observations:
1. Boy, it's violent! Yikes.
2. Completed in 2010, it sounds dated. Dad was actually reading a newspaper. What is a newspaper?
3. I based it in the fictional town of Rising Sun. I guess I'll have to drive to Rising Sun next week.

We have not rolled over yet.  See the points where the 75 day ROC moved below zero.  So far this is a normal correction.
11/21/2025

We have not rolled over yet. See the points where the 75 day ROC moved below zero. So far this is a normal correction.

One of my favorite ratios... still bullish for now... if we move into the circle area I will start to get more concerned...
11/09/2025

One of my favorite ratios... still bullish for now... if we move into the circle area I will start to get more concerned.

Tech and Semis losers this week.  But had a bounce on Friday.
11/09/2025

Tech and Semis losers this week. But had a bounce on Friday.

Inflation rising.
11/09/2025

Inflation rising.

SP500 for the past 25 years.  You can see when we fall below the blue 10 month moving average the potential for bad thin...
10/30/2025

SP500 for the past 25 years. You can see when we fall below the blue 10 month moving average the potential for bad things happening increases. And you can see when the slope goes negative. See ROC in the lower panel... if it goes below zero that would be concerning.. See 1999 and 2007. Right now the ROC is above zero and rising at a normal pace...

SPY still in the clear zone this morning and above a few areas of potential support.
10/30/2025

SPY still in the clear zone this morning and above a few areas of potential support.

Defensive sectors leading after the announcement today... and everything has sort of skidded since it started...
09/17/2025

Defensive sectors leading after the announcement today... and everything has sort of skidded since it started...

Are markets pricing in stagflation?  Here is a one month price chart... you can see gold, commodities, brazil (commodity...
09/17/2025

Are markets pricing in stagflation? Here is a one month price chart... you can see gold, commodities, brazil (commodity producing, real estate beating the SP500.

Corporates vs 7-10 Treasuries ratio... right at a crossing point.
09/01/2025

Corporates vs 7-10 Treasuries ratio... right at a crossing point.

The Pring Inflation/Deflation index on the rise since Tariff announcements.  This does not look like a great time to be ...
09/01/2025

The Pring Inflation/Deflation index on the rise since Tariff announcements. This does not look like a great time to be decreasing interest rates...The indexes are designed to reflect the market's view on inflation and deflation by looking at the performance of different stock groups. A rising PRII relative to the PRDI signals a more inflationary environment, while a sinking ratio suggests a deflationary one.

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