09/20/2026
WHAT DID TRUMP REALLY TELL NORTH CAROLINA?
A FACT-CHECKING EDITORIAL ON CRIME, HURRICANE HELENE, RACE, MENTAL HEALTH AND THE POLITICS OF PROMISES
President Donald Trump's September 16 rally in Gastonia was a campaign event for Republican U.S. Senate candidate Michael Whatley.
But listening closely to what the president actually said raises questions that go well beyond a Senate race.
There were demonstrably false claims about crime and the release of prisoners during the COVID-19 pandemic. There were misleading claims about Hurricane Helene. There was an explicit invocation of the infamous Willie Horton campaign of 1988. There was a statement—followed immediately by “I'm only kidding”—linking additional disaster-recovery money to the outcome of a partisan election.
And there was another campaign promise: $5,000 for every adult U.S. citizen if Republicans win control of Congress.
So let's separate the rhetoric from the record.
WHAT IS THE CAMPAIGN TALKING ABOUT?
Trump's portrayal of North Carolina as a state overrun by violent crime did not occur in a political vacuum.
Crime, Roy Cooper and the killing of Iryna Zarutska have been prominent themes in Republican attacks on Cooper and Democratic criminal-justice policies. The Associated Press has reported that Michael Whatley has embraced Trump's attacks on Cooper and has used the Zarutska case as a central part of his campaign message. (AP)
Trump brought essentially the same argument to Gastonia.
He told the crowd that North Carolina had gone from being associated with “apple pie” to being “one of the most violent and one of the worst in the whole nation,” and he blamed the change on Cooper. (Roll Call transcript)
But does the available crime data support that description?
The FBI's latest national data show that violent crime in the United States fell 9.3% from 2024 to 2025—the largest year-to-year decline since the FBI began estimating national crime trends in 1936. The national murder rate also fell to 4.1 per 100,000, tied with 1955 and 1956 for the lowest rate in the FBI's historical series. (FBI)
North Carolina certainly has violent crime. Individual crimes can be horrific, and victims and their families deserve justice.
But saying North Carolina is “one of the most violent” states in the nation is a much broader claim.
So why has crime become such a dominant political theme in this campaign?
And if the argument is that Roy Cooper caused North Carolina to become one of the nation's most violent states, where is the evidence establishing that causal connection?
DID ROY COOPER RELEASE DECarlos BROWN?
Trump told the crowd that Cooper was a “murderer protector” who “let out 3,500 murderers and criminals.”
He then specifically compared DeCarlos Brown to Willie Horton and said Brown's case was “the same exact thing.” (Roll Call transcript)
But the chronology matters.
North Carolina's Department of Adult Correction says Brown was not released early through the COVID-era settlement. He served his sentence and was released in 2020. The settlement Trump is referring to was reached in February 2021 and provided for early reentry of approximately 3,500 people through several mechanisms designed to reduce the prison population during the pandemic. (Charlotte Observer; N.C. Department of Public Safety)
The ACLU of North Carolina, one of the organizations involved in the litigation, likewise dates the settlement to February 25, 2021. Disability Rights North Carolina has specifically stated that Brown's release occurred five months before the settlement and was not part of it. (ACLU of North Carolina; Disability Rights NC)
That distinction isn't a technicality.
It is the difference between saying that Brown was released by Cooper through the COVID settlement and saying that he completed his sentence before the settlement occurred.
So why does the former continue to appear in campaign rhetoric when the documented timeline contradicts it?
WHAT ABOUT BROWN'S MENTAL HEALTH?
There is another part of this story that deserves to be examined.
Brown had a documented history of severe mental-health problems. Reporting has described schizophrenia, homelessness and repeated difficulty obtaining appropriate treatment. His mental-health history subsequently became an important part of questions concerning his competency and the state's ability to respond to people with serious psychiatric conditions. (North Carolina Health News)
None of that excuses the killing of Iryna Zarutska.
Mental illness does not make violence inevitable, and most people with mental illness do not commit violent crimes.
But shouldn't a documented history of severe mental illness nevertheless be part of an honest discussion about what happened?
North Carolina's response to the killing also raises a related question.
The Republican-led General Assembly passed Iryna's Law, which tightened pretrial-release rules, changed procedures involving defendants with mental-health concerns, added an aggravating sentencing factor and directed additional study of the intersection between mental health and the justice system. (North Carolina General Assembly)
But reporting by North Carolina Health News found that the law did not provide additional mental-health funding or staffing resources, even as state psychiatric hospitals were already struggling with staffing shortages and limited capacity. Lawmakers did provide funding for additional prosecutors and legal assistants in Mecklenburg County and $1 million for the N.C. Collaboratory to study the mental-health/justice-system intersection. (North Carolina Health News)
So here's a question worth asking:
If lawmakers recognize that serious mental illness and the criminal-justice system are intersecting in dangerous ways, is changing pretrial rules enough without also expanding the treatment system that is supposed to receive people in psychiatric crisis?
THEN THERE IS LINDSAY CLANCY
That question becomes even more complicated when another highly publicized criminal case is considered.
Lindsay Clancy's Massachusetts trial ended in a mistrial on September 4 after the jury deadlocked 11–1 over whether she was criminally responsible for killing her three children.
Her defense centered heavily on postpartum psychosis and her mental state at the time of the killings. Clancy admitted killing her children but pleaded not guilty by reason of lack of criminal responsibility. The trial included extensive testimony from mental-health experts. (CBS News)
The comparison does not mean the two cases are identical.
They are not.
But the contrast raises an uncomfortable question:
Why can severe mental illness become a central framework for understanding one defendant's actions while the documented mental illness of another defendant can become almost invisible in political discussion?
The question becomes more interesting because Trump himself has now commented on both cases.
After the Clancy mistrial, Trump called the case a “horrible tragedy” and said that the eventual consequence could be “mental institution or jail or something.” He did not reduce the case simply to a story about a dangerous criminal who should have been locked away. (CNN transcript)
In the Brown case, however, Trump repeatedly presented the defendant as a symbol of Democratic criminal-justice failure—and explicitly compared the case to Willie Horton.
That brings us to race.
WHY DID TRUMP BRING UP WILLIE HORTON?
Trump didn't merely use the familiar language of “law and order.”
He himself invoked Willie Horton.
In describing the 1988 presidential campaign, Trump told the Gastonia audience that Michael Dukakis had allowed Horton out of prison. Trump then said Brown's case was “the same exact thing.”
He went further, saying the Brown case was actually worse because Cooper had supposedly released Brown along with thousands of other “hardened and dangerous criminals.” (Roll Call transcript)
The historical significance of the Horton advertisement is well documented. It became one of the most famous examples of racially charged crime messaging in modern American presidential politics.
And Trump explicitly made that historical comparison himself.
So what are we supposed to make of the fact that the president chose that particular historical analogy while discussing a Black male defendant accused of killing a white Ukrainian woman?
Is it simply a crime analogy?
Is it an appeal to a familiar racialized political narrative about crime?
Or is it something in between?
Those are questions reasonable people can debate.
But the historical reference came from Trump himself. It does not have to be inferred.
WHAT ABOUT IRYNA ZARUTSKA HERSELF?
There is another uncomfortable dimension.
Zarutska's family has sought privacy and has objected to the circulation of graphic material showing her final moments. Reporting on the family's wishes has emphasized preserving her memory through positive remembrance rather than allowing the circumstances of her death to define her. (FactCheckRadar)
Her murder should absolutely be discussed.
The question is whether there is a point at which remembering a victim becomes using a victim.
And when her death is repeatedly presented as a political symbol while the accused person's documented mental-health history receives comparatively little attention, shouldn't we at least examine how race, gender and mental illness are influencing the public narrative?
That doesn't require claiming that everyone discussing Zarutska's murder is motivated by racism.
It requires asking whether the political framing deserves scrutiny.
HURRICANE HELENE: WHAT DID COOPER ACTUALLY DO?
Trump also told the crowd that Cooper “did absolutely nothing” after Hurricane Helene.
The contemporaneous record says otherwise.
Before Helene struck, Cooper declared a state of emergency and mobilized state resources, including the State Emergency Response Team, swift-water rescue teams, urban search-and-rescue teams and National Guard personnel. (North Carolina Governor's Office)
On September 27, Cooper requested a federal major-disaster declaration. President Biden approved it on September 29. By then, state and federal rescue operations were already underway, supplies were being airlifted into western North Carolina and hundreds of people had been rescued. (North Carolina Governor's Office; North Carolina Governor's Office)
There can certainly be legitimate arguments over whether the response was sufficient, whether recovery was too slow, or whether federal assistance ultimately met the state's needs.
But “did absolutely nothing” is not consistent with the documented record.
So why erase the state and federal response that began immediately after the storm?
“IF MICHAEL LOSES, I'M NOT SENDING IT”
Perhaps the most extraordinary moment came when Trump discussed additional federal money for Helene recovery.
Trump said more than $2 billion in FEMA funding had already been spent and that North Carolina was waiting for additional money. He then told Whatley:
“Now, if Michael loses, I'm not sending it.”
Trump immediately followed that statement by saying:
“No, I'm only kidding. You're getting it.”
He then said the additional amount was almost $3 billion for repairing roads and bridges. (Roll Call transcript)
The president said he was joking.
That is part of the factual record.
But so is the statement that immediately preceded the joke: if Michael loses, I'm not sending it.
So is it unreasonable to ask why a president would make a joke explicitly connecting disaster-recovery money to the outcome of a Senate election?
And should citizens simply disregard the statement because he immediately called it a joke?
The broader context matters, too. The Trump administration has faced repeated disputes over federal funding decisions and the withholding or freezing of federal funds.
That broader history does not prove that Trump intended to withhold Helene money if Whatley lost.
But it does explain why the remark deserves scrutiny rather than being dismissed as meaningless.
THEN THERE'S THE $5,000 “TRUMP DIVIDEND”
Trump has also promised $5,000 to every adult U.S. citizen if Republicans win control of the House and Senate.
This is not a rumor. Trump made the promise publicly, and the White House subsequently promoted it as the “Trump Dividend.” (White House)
The proposal would cost an estimated $1.35 trillion, according to Reuters, and the administration has not provided a detailed mechanism demonstrating how the payments would be financed. House Speaker Mike Johnson has acknowledged that congressional action would be required. (Reuters)
Trump previously promoted a $2,000 tariff-funded “dividend.” Those checks have not been issued. FactCheck.org reported that no formal plan had been finalized and that available tariff revenue was insufficient to support the earlier proposal as described. (FactCheck.org)
So what exactly is being promised?
A tax policy?
A future government payment?
A campaign promise?
And when the president says, in effect, “If Republicans win, you get $5,000,” what should citizens make of the connection between an election result and a promised government benefit?
We don't have to tell voters what conclusion to reach.
We can simply ask whether government benefits should be presented as political prizes.
WHAT ABOUT THE COST OF LIVING?
There is perhaps one more question worth asking.
Trump spent considerable time in Gastonia discussing crime, Cooper, Brown, Zarutska, Helene and Michael Whatley.
But what about the things people actually have to pay for every day?
Groceries.
Housing.
Health care.
Insurance.
Energy.
Transportation.
The president's $5,000 proposal was presented at a time when affordability remains a major political issue, yet the centerpiece of the Gastonia speech was overwhelmingly crime and political attacks on Cooper.
So perhaps the question for North Carolina voters isn't simply whether Trump said something true or false.
Perhaps it is:
What does a political campaign choose to talk about when people are asking how they are going to afford to live?
THE QUESTIONS LEFT AFTER GASTONIA
Trump's Gastonia speech contained statements that can be checked.
North Carolina's crime statistics can be checked.
Brown's release date can be checked.
The timeline of the COVID settlement can be checked.
Cooper's response to Hurricane Helene can be checked.
The $5,000 proposal can be checked.
And Trump's invocation of Willie Horton is part of the historical record.
The remaining questions are editorial ones.
Why does the campaign keep returning to crime?
Why is Brown's release being described in a way that conflicts with the documented timeline?
Why is his mental-health history largely absent from the political narrative?
Why did Trump invoke Willie Horton?
Why did a president joke about tying disaster assistance to an election?
Why are federal payments repeatedly being discussed in connection with electoral victories?
And why does so much of the political conversation revolve around what voters might receive if they vote for one party, rather than what government should provide regardless of how someone votes?
Those questions don't tell North Carolinians how to vote.
They ask something more basic:
What exactly are politicians telling us—and does the evidence support it?
GASTON COUNTY COMMUNITY TALK EDITORIAL
AI DISCLOSURE
AI-assisted research and editorial development were used in preparing this article. AI-assisted tools may also have been used to create accompanying graphics or memes. The editorial staff remains responsible for the final review, fact-checking, edits and published content.