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06/12/2026

Reason #1 why we love mountains: The views from the top!

It snowed this morning but it's also melting fast. We saw probably up to 4" on Vermont's highest peaks with accumulatio...
05/30/2026

It snowed this morning but it's also melting fast. We saw probably up to 4" on Vermont's highest peaks with accumulations down to about 3,000' and snow falling down to the bases but not sticking. The Whites came up a bit short of our expectations with 6" recorded at the summit but we suspect potentially over 8" fell a little lower on the eastern aspects based on photo evidence with additional wind loading in ravines and shifted snow.

This little storm is looking better and better and may pack quite the punch in the Whites. Currently we expect 12"-18" ...
05/30/2026

This little storm is looking better and better and may pack quite the punch in the Whites. Currently we expect 12"-18" on Mount Washington and about 8"-12" at Wildcat, and probably 6"-8" around Black Mountain which is the sweet spot for this storm as the low gets tighter and wraps the cold air into the circulation in the early morning with easterly to southerly flow. That does favor the eastern and southern half of the Whites of course as upsloping on the windward side typically sees the most enhancement.
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Wind will be pretty strong in the early morning and shift some snow and form slabs as it stacks up. The wind will start to drop around dawn and the snow will continue moderately before lightening up, but it will come at rates probably near 2" per hour near the time of changeover in the early AM.
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It looks like the highest snow totals in VT will be just south of Sugarbush and the St. Johnsbury region with some possibly getting up to 6" at the peaks with Southern Vermont generally coming in at 1" to 4". Snow could reach the bases but won't last long as the ground temps are pretty warm, it will start everywhere as r@!n, and snowpack is near non-existent in the state (snow doesn't melt when it falls on snow).
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We have a word of caution about Mount Washington also. The Mount Washington Avalanche Center is closed for the season but anytime you get wind loaded snow and big dumps there can certainly be danger in the ravines, and the snow can also hide plenty of sharks just below the surface. With temperatures rising after daybreak we could see some troublesome sticky snow also for skinning. If you are new to hunting backcountry snow, this isn't the place or time to start.

05/29/2026

On a scale of 1 to 10, how much do you pay attention ski industry news?

We first mentioned this snow chance about a week ago and surprisingly modeling has been quite persistent and it is still...
05/29/2026

We first mentioned this snow chance about a week ago and surprisingly modeling has been quite persistent and it is still modeled similarly, and yes, it is going to snow in the mountains, probably as far south as Massachusetts though it might not accumulate.
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We have a huge ridge of high pressure building mid-continent into the higher latitudes and something known as a Potential Vorticity Streamer that the ridge will push from the Arctic all the way down to the Northeast. These streamers are often associated with the coldest temperatures of the winter, but when they reach us in May, which is quite rare, they can also bring snow! Famously the summit of Whiteface for instance picked up 3 feet of snow in late May on the summit, but it was just cold rain at the base.
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Forecasting snowfall in the spring can be difficult. My lawn for instance is currently 60F near Albany, NY and it would take heavy and persistent snow to start to stack up. There's a lot of latent heat at the surface, even at the top of the tallest mountains, but snow falling on top of snow in the Presidentials will stack up more.
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Our expectation are that snow could accumulate as low as 2,000' on Saturday morning, and potentially 8" or more above 5,000' in the Whites where temperatures will fall below freezing, in fact the Powculator is currently seeing 7" at about the 5,000' mark on Mount Washington. Chances are that the auto road will be closed though and in sharky conditions probably only the snowfields on top of existing snow would be recommended. We have no guidance on avalanche risk but assume the potential exists wherever snowpack is and only experts with training should attempt such a thing. Wind will certainly create slabbing in the ravines.
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The simulated radar capture is from very early Saturday morning and the snowfall map is a special version of the NAM3K snowfall map that I like to use for marginal temps. It's probably underestimating the highest elevations a bit, but we expect to see a nice coating of snow above 3,000' across parts of the ADK's, Greens, and Whites. It won't survive long either so if you are after some fast grass then Saturday at dawn is your best opportunity!

The r@!n isn't stopping Killington this weekend as they have decided to open on Monday to pull off the 4 day weekend. T...
05/24/2026

The r@!n isn't stopping Killington this weekend as they have decided to open on Monday to pull off the 4 day weekend. They are advising that a walk down part of the headwall by later in the morning should be expected but the rest of the trail is holding up beautifully as they continue to push snow over the weak points.
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Another round of r@!n is coming in after midnight but it is expected clear by sometime between 9AM and Noon on Monday. Modeling suggests though that fog is likely on the summit through much of the rest of the day (similar to what is shown here).
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Could they make June 1st? They certainly have a ton of snow at the base of the trail that they have been farming from but the snowfields in the flatter section below the headwall has less snow to play with. Tuesday and Wednesday will be relatively warm but then temps are expected to drop dramatically which will slow down the melt, in fact the 12z run of the GFS is even signaling snow on Saturday (up to 2 feet in the Whites) but that is unlikely to confirm (some snow is possible though near where the low pressure center tracks). Regardless, snowmelt will slow to a crawl after Wednesday. Will they come back to life and paint the tape on June 1st? All we know is that if operations thinks they can do it, they will want to do it.

Here's the composite radar as of 5PM on Saturday showing the advancing precipitation. The light green on the northeast ...
05/23/2026

Here's the composite radar as of 5PM on Saturday showing the advancing precipitation. The light green on the northeast edge is virga as the high pressure this is moving into is dry at the lower levels and taking quite a bit of time to saturate down to the ground.
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Modeling suggests r@!n all day at Killington on Sunday but they're definitely committed because enough snow is there. Monday is a possibility also for skiing and riding but right now short range modeling is suggesting another push like this in the AM on Monday while medium range modeling is suggesting things dry out earlier in the morning. Killington's only concern seems to be whether they can stitch it all up but the headwall is never a requirement for the final day. There seems to be plenty of snow lower on the trail despite the r@!n.
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We can't recall a closing day at Killington in the last decade with r@!n so we'll see what happens. There will certainly be skiers and riders though battling the r@!n to get their last turns in of the season as long as the lift spins.

05/23/2026

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Killington will operate through Sunday and maybe Monday because the snowpack holding up well and despite the r@!n!

We continue to believe that Saturday will be the last day of skiing and riding at Killington so get those turns in! Sho...
05/22/2026

We continue to believe that Saturday will be the last day of skiing and riding at Killington so get those turns in! Shown here are 4 weather models at 8AM on Sunday morning as the warm moist air pushes northeast against the lobe of high pressure, but the moisture will slowly win. Light to moderate r@!n is expected at Killington for the entire ski day on Sunday.
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It's not that Killington doesn't have the snow to patch up the trail, it's plenty deep today from top to bottom to give a good experience, it's that thin cover combined with r@!n and everyone's edges digging out troughs is a bit too much at this point for the trail to handle in addition to a chilly r@!ny day not being the best way to send off the season.
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There could in fact be enough snow to do it one more time on Monday but traffic peters out when there is a Monday holiday and the condition of the snowpack is not certain. If Monday was June 1st then that would change the equation for them, but May 25th likely does not bring a prize worth chasing.
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Killington mentioned Thursday evening that they would make a decision on Saturday around noon about Sunday's operations. While modeling could shift the probability is low and r@!n is one of the two "conditions" they are certainly monitoring. So it is our guidance to plan on Saturday likely being the last day of the season at Killington, and also likely the last day of lift-serviced skiing and riding in the East for the 2025/2026 season (baring a surprise opening from Saint-Sauveur).

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