Mike's Weather Page

Mike's Weather Page MWP was born in 2004. Posting about the Tropics, Weather, & more. www.spaghettimodels.com Mike Boylan is a Florida native that grew up in Pinellas county.
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Graduating from USF with a Marketing degree in 1996, Mike took an interest to the internet and website design. Being a weather fan his entire life and living through Florida's active 2004 season, Mike created a weather website to make tracking the tropics easy. Joining Facebook in 2009, his audience has expanded globally now reaching over a million followers with his website becoming the 'one stop shop for tropics'. Mike's Weather Page has been accredited by NOAA, the NWS, FEMA, the Hurricane Hunters, local meteorologists, the Weather Channel, Government officials, and even his own hometown Pinellas county EOC. Mike just recently won the 2021 Governor's Hurricane Conference Tropical Meteorology award. Mike is not a meteorologist. He frequently reminds people of this and refers the NWS/NHC for official information and forecasts.

10/04/2026

The more I read comments the less I want to read comments lol!

Rain chances are up the next several days as lingering frontal line lingers across the upper Gulf down into the Florida ...
10/04/2026

Rain chances are up the next several days as lingering frontal line lingers across the upper Gulf down into the Florida peninsula. Daily flood outlooks here. www.spaghettimodels.com

Latest EURO EPS ensemble blend with highest chances yet for the lower Gulf this week to watch. Shear the big unknown to ...
10/04/2026

Latest EURO EPS ensemble blend with highest chances yet for the lower Gulf this week to watch. Shear the big unknown to the north if it will allow something stronger, or just keep 'whatever' sloppy pushing the rains eastward as it treks up. NHC has area marked at 30%. www.spaghettimodels.com

Happy Sunday. Lobster for breakfast. Why not!
10/04/2026

Happy Sunday. Lobster for breakfast. Why not!

10/04/2026

Estimated look at radar for Sunday. Lingering front bringing lots of potential juice up from the Gulf. Some will get. Some won't. Thats weather haha. But potential is there for a lot upper Gulf. Peninsula flow west to east. www.spaghettimodels.com

Heavy rains expected today up from the Gulf. Flood Advisories are up in green. Flash Flood Emergency ongoing in red. Fut...
10/04/2026

Heavy rains expected today up from the Gulf. Flood Advisories are up in green. Flash Flood Emergency ongoing in red. Future radar shows a big surge of moisture. Radars are down so many won't see it coming. www.spaghettimodels.com

Overnight Sunday 00z ensembles have trended higher for lower Gulf spot. Now 30% of their members showing a 1000mb or les...
10/04/2026

Overnight Sunday 00z ensembles have trended higher for lower Gulf spot. Now 30% of their members showing a 1000mb or less system this week. These are the EURO EPS/AI and Google WNV3 runs. Shear is the biggest question to the north and what impact it will have. Sometimes these become sloppy rainmakers that push rains eastward. But something to watch it appears yes. www.spaghettimodels.com

NHC bumping up tropical chances this Sunday morning. Spot now 30%. Low pressure expected to brew this week in the lower ...
10/04/2026

NHC bumping up tropical chances this Sunday morning. Spot now 30%. Low pressure expected to brew this week in the lower Gulf and drift north'ish eventually. Overnight ensembles have trended higher too. www.spaghettimodels.com

Seeing a little change in overnight operational models. Latest here on tropicaltidbits.com. Signs of low pressure starti...
10/04/2026

Seeing a little change in overnight operational models. Latest here on tropicaltidbits.com. Signs of low pressure starting to show up more. Ensembles have been teasing for days. Nothing here strong. But idea might be growing on something spinning from leftover frontal area. Historically makes sense. Spot is up to 30% now from the NHC. Will watch. www.spaghettimodels.com

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Oldsmar, FL
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