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08/08/2024

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08/08/2024

Track the Storm: Debby Update 11:00 AM EDT Thurs Aug 8, 2024

Hurricane Map

This is the latest advisory from the National Weather Service
Get More Hurricane Information from Our Hurricane Alert Center, CLICK HERE

Tropical Storm Debby Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024
1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 08 2024
..MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND
WESTERN VIRGINIA AS DEBBY MOVES FARTHER INLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 79.9W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SE OF CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM SW OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning from South Santee River to Murrells
Inlet has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Murrells Inlet, South Carolina to Ocracoke Inlet,
North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the
next several hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was
located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 79.9 West. Debby is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). The storm
is expected to accelerate toward the north across central North
Carolina through tonight. Debby is then expected to move faster
toward the northeast across the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on
Friday and Atlantic Canada on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Debby is
likely to become a tropical depression this afternoon or evening.
Debby should then merge with a front and become extratropical on
Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the
coast of northeastern South Carolina and portions of coastal North
Carolina within the tropical storm warning area during the next
several hours.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Cape Fear to Ocracoke Inlet including the Neuse and Pamlico
Rivers...1 to 3 ft

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches
of rainfall with locally higher amounts, across portions of
southeastern North Carolina leading to maximum storm total amounts
as high as 15 inches. Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over
portions of eastern South Carolina will bring maximum storm total
amounts as high as 20 to 25 inches. Considerable flooding is
expected across portions of eastern South Carolina and southeast
North Carolina through Friday.

From central North Carolina northward across portions of Virginia, 3
to 7 inches with local amounts to 10 inches, are expected through
Friday. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable to
locally catastrophic flash and urban flooding, especially in the
terrain of western Virginia, with river flooding also possible.

From portions of Maryland north through Upstate New York and
Vermont, 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, are expected
through Friday night. This will likely result in areas of
considerable flash and urban flooding as well as river flooding.

For the remainder of northern New England, 1 to 3 inches, with
local amounts to 4 inches, are expected into Saturday. Scattered
instances of flash flooding are possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of
rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated with this
storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO
header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur today and tonight from central
and eastern North Carolina into central and southeast Virginia.

SURF: Large swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S.
coast for another day or two. These conditions are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

NWS
Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi

RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches of rainfall with locally higher amounts, across portions of southeastern North Carolina leading to maximum storm total amounts as high as 15 inches. Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over portions of eastern South Carolina will br...

08/08/2024

UAW chief criticizes Trump ties to Musk while campaigning for Harris
United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain on Wednesday criticized Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's ties to billionaire Elon Musk while campaigning for Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.

Musk endorsed Trump for November's election after the former president survived an assassination attempt in July. Later that month, the Wall Street Journal reported Musk planned to commit around $45 million a month to a new pro-Trump super political-action committee. However, after that report's publication, both Musk and Trump said the Tesla CEO never pledged any such donation.

"For months, Donald Trump has gone around trashing our state, trashing our industry, trashing the American autoworker, saying he was against electric vehicles. And then something happened," Fain said on Wednesday while campaigning for Harris.

"We saw Elon Musk announce he was going to give Donald Trump $45 million dollars a month. And all of a sudden, guess what, Trump changed his tune," Fain added, calling Trump a "sellout."

Trump has opposed any electric car mandate and been critical of EV policies under Democratic President Joe Biden but he has said recently he supports electric vehicles.

"I'm for electric cars. I have to be, because Elon endorsed me very strongly. So I have no choice," Trump said at a weekend rally, but added he supports electric vehicles "for a small slice." He went on to add: "You want to have gas-propelled cars, you want to have hybrids, you want to have every kind of a car imaginable."

UAW has endorsed Harris, who became the Democratic presidential candidate recently after Biden stepped aside as candidate.



(Reporting by Nandita Bose and Kanishka Singh; Editing by Chris Reese)

Reuters

08/08/2024

Debby slams Florida's Gulf Coast, threatening Southeast with a week of rain
Storm Debby made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane in the Big Bend region of Florida on Monday morning and began a slow crawl toward the Atlantic Coast, on track to unleash a week of torrential rain and catastrophic flooding across the U.S. Southeast.

The hurricane slammed ashore around 7 a.m. near Steinhatchee, Florida, about 70 miles (115 km) southeast of Tallahassee, delivering winds of up to 80 mph (130 kph), the National Hurricane Center said. It had weakened to a tropical storm by mid-morning.

Debby had already dumped up to a foot of rain in some parts of the state's southwest, Florida Division of Emergency Management Executive Director Kevin Guthrie said.

Hours after the storm's landfall in Steinhatchee, heavy rains were still falling on the beach town, and bayfront restaurants were flooded.

At least one person was dead in Hillsborough County, as rescue crews in Tampa recovered the body of an 18-wheeler truck driver who had lost control of the vehicle on Interstate 75 and went into the Tampa Bypass Canal, local TV station WTSP reported.

The hurricane center predicted Debby would move offshore into the Atlantic by Tuesday night, but then re-strengthen and come back inland to unleash torrential rains on the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina later in the week.

The center forecast "catastrophic flooding," with local areas from Florida to southeastern North Carolina receiving more than two feet of rain by Friday morning.

"This is going to be an event that is going to be probably here for the next five to seven days, maybe as long as 10 days, depending on how much rainfall we get," Guthrie said.

Roughly 280,000 customers were without power in Florida, according to Poweroutage.us.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said the state had been approved for federal disaster assistance on Sunday and that 17,000 workers were on hand to restore power.

Hundreds of flights were canceled at Florida airports on Monday. Tallahassee International Airport said on X that it closed at midnight and would reopen at noon on Monday if it were safe to do so.

SLOW DRENCHING

A slow-moving tropical storm as it passed over Cuba, Debby gained strength from exceptionally warm Gulf waters as it paralleled Florida's Gulf Coast.

Debby bears some of the hallmarks of Hurricane Harvey, which hit Corpus Christi, Texas, in August 2017. Downgraded to a tropical storm as it moved inland, Harvey lingered over Texas, dumping about 50 inches of rain on Houston and causing $125 billion in damage.

Climate scientists believe man-made global warming from burning fossil fuels has raised the temperature of the oceans, making storms bigger and more devastating.

The last hurricane to make a direct hit on the Big Bend region was Hurricane Idalia, which briefly gained Category 4 strength before making landfall as a Category 3 in August 2023, with winds of more than 125 mph. The National Centers for Environmental Information estimated $3.5 billion in damages. DeSantis described the initial effects of Debby as "modest" compared with Idalia.

Forecasters expect numerous Atlantic hurricanes in the 2024 season, which began on June 1, including four to seven major ones. That would exceed the record-breaking 2005 season that spawned the devastating Katrina and Rita hurricanes.

Only one hurricane, Beryl, has yet formed in the Atlantic this year. The earliest Category 5 storm on record, it struck the Caribbean and Mexico's Yucatan peninsula before rolling up the Gulf Coast of Texas as a Category 1 storm, with sustained winds up to 95 mph.

(Reporting by Rich McKay in Atlanta, Gabriella Borter in Washington and Tyler Clifford in New York; Editing by Frank McGurty and Nick Zieminski)

Reuters

08/08/2024

GENERAL NEWS...

Vatican saddened by Olympic ceremony skit resembling 'Last Supper'
The Vatican said on Saturday it had been saddened by a skit at the Paris Olympics opening ceremony appearing to parody Leonardo da Vinci's "The Last Supper" painting.

"The Holy See was saddened by certain scenes at the opening ceremony of the Paris Olympic Games and cannot but join the voices raised in recent days to deplore the offence done to many Christians and believers of other religions," it said in an unusual weekend evening press release issued in French.

The segment in the July 26 ceremony resembled the biblical scene of Jesus Christ and his apostles sharing a last meal before crucifixion, but featured drag queens, a transgender model and a naked singer as the Greek god of wine Dionysus.

Paris 2024 organizers apologised two days later, saying there was never an intention to disrespect any religious group.

The artistic director behind the scene said it had not been inspired by the Christian last supper, but rather a pagan feast linked to the historical Olympics.

"In a prestigious event where the whole world comes together around common values, there should not be allusions ridiculing the religious convictions of many people," the Vatican added.

"Freedom of expression, which is obviously not called into question, finds its limit in respect for others."

The Vatican did not say why it was issuing its statement more than a week after the opening ceremony.

Pope Francis had a phone call on Aug. 1 with Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan, at which Erdogan said the two leaders had discussed the Paris event.

Although the Vatican later confirmed to Reuters that the call took place, it would not comment on what the leaders discussed.



(Reporting by Joshua McElwee; Editing by Andrew Cawthorne)

Reuters

08/08/2024

GENERAL NEWS...

Two of Jeffrey Epstein's close advisers can face victims' claims
A U.S. judge said two close advisers to the late Jeffrey Epstein can be sued by victims who accused them of aiding and abetting the disgraced financier's s*x trafficking of young women and teenage girls.

U.S. District Judge Arun Subramanian in Manhattan rejected arguments by Epstein's former personal lawyer Darren Indyke and former accountant Richard Kahn that victims cannot pursue a class action because many agreed not to sue after settling claims against Epstein's estate.

But the judge put the proposed class action on hold because the release signed by named plaintiff Danielle Bensky covered her claims against Indyke and Kahn.

Bensky said she had been an aspiring dancer before being recruited into Epstein's orbit in 2004.

Subramanian said another plaintiff, Jane Doe 3, may pursue some claims, and file a motion for class certification "at the right time and with the right record."

In a statement on behalf of the defendants, Indyke's lawyer Daniel Weiner said they "emphatically reject" accusations they knew about or were complicit in Epstein's wrongdoing.

He also said 134 other women awarded more than $121 million from the estate through a victim compensation fund signed the same release as Bensky, while more than 50 other women who settled separately signed "virtually identical" releases.

Sigrid McCawley, a lawyer for the victims, said in a statement: "We are thrilled with the fact that the Epstein survivors will proceed against Epstein's right hand money men to hold them accountable."

Epstein killed himself in a Manhattan jail in August 2019, one month after being arrested on s*x trafficking charges.

His longtime associate Ghislaine Maxwell is awaiting an appeals court decision on whether to overturn her Dec. 2021 conviction and 20-year prison term for aiding Epstein's abuses.

Victims said Indyke and Kahn helped Epstein create a complex web of corporations and bank accounts that let him hide his abuses and pay victims and recruiters, while leaving them "richly compensated" for their work.

McCawley and another lawyer for the victims, David Boies, helped obtain $365 million of settlements with JPMorgan Chase and Deutsche Bank after accusing them of missing red flags about Epstein, once a lucrative client.

The cases are Bensky et al v Indyke et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No. 24-01204; and Doe 3 v Indyke et al in the same court, No. 24-02192.



(Reporting by Jonathan Stempel in New York; Editing by Matthew Lewis)

Reuters

08/08/2024

GENERAL NEWS...

Fed policymakers signal rate cuts ahead, but not recession
U.S. central bank policymakers pushed back on Monday against the notion that weaker-than-expected July jobs data means the economy is in recessionary freefall, but also warned that the Federal Reserve will need to cut rates to avoid such an outcome.

Many of the latest job report's details leave "a little more room for confidence that we're slowing but not falling off a cliff," San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said at an event in Hawaii.

"Our minds are quite open to adjusting the policy rate in coming meetings," she said. When and by how much will depend on incoming economic data, of which there is a lot before the Fed's next meeting in mid-September, she said, adding, "it's extremely important that we not let (the job market) slow so much that it tips itself into a downturn."

U.S. stocks fell steeply on Monday amid fears the U.S. central bank has waited too long to begin cutting interest rates. Interest-rate futures contracts at the day's end reflected overwhelming bets that the Fed will start cutting borrowing costs next month with a bigger-than-usual 50-basis-point reduction to its policy rate.

Speaking earlier on Monday, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee cautioned against taking too much of a signal from the global market sell-off, noting it stemmed in part from the Bank of Japan's decision last week to raise rates, as well as increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

"The law doesn't say anything about the stock market; it's about the employment and it's about price stability," Goolsbee said in an interview with CNBC, referring to the Fed's dual goals set by Congress, as he noted how prone financial markets were to volatility.

Nonetheless, Fed policymakers need to be aware of the possibility that markets are signaling a change in the economy's direction, he said.

"If the market moves give us an indication over a long arc that we're looking at a deceleration of growth, then we should react to that," Goolsbee said. "As you see jobs numbers come in weaker than expected but not looking yet like recession, I do think you want to be forward-looking at where the economy is headed for (in) making the decisions."

Fresh data on Monday showed that the vast U.S. services sector rebounded from a four-year low last month, with a measure of services employment rising for the first time since January.

The U.S. services data "aligns with our view of an economy in transition rather than one on the brink of collapse," said Matthew Martin, a U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. "Expectations for aggressive rate cuts in September are overdone."

INTER-MEETING CUT

The Fed kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged in the current 5.25%-5.50% range last week and signaled it was on course to begin cutting rates in September, but that decision was followed by worrying signs the labor market might already have turned.

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased to an 11-month high while job gains markedly slowed in July and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%.

The data cast doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's assertion directly after the latest policy meeting that the labor market appeared to be normalizing gradually, which would allow the central bank to take a bit more time before cutting rates to ensure inflation was fully quelled.

Instead, economists and traders honed in on Powell's other comments that the Fed would respond if there was an unexpected deterioration in the labor market.

Asked about the possibility of an inter-meeting rate cut, Goolsbee said "everything is always on the table" from rate increases to cuts as the Fed maintains its focus on employment, inflation and financial stability.

"If the conditions collectively start coming in on the through line that there's deterioration on any of those parts, we're going to fix it," Goolsbee said.

Inter-meeting cuts are typically reserved for emergencies, however, and so far neither Goolsbee nor Daly signaled that's what they are seeing.

Last week marked a shift in the Fed's communications to focus on its full employment mandate as much as its price stability mandate, Daly said, and that shift has sparked a downward move in market-determined borrowing costs like mortgage rates.

"The communication itself is a policy adjustment," she said.



(Reporting by Lindsay Dunsmuir and Dan Burns; Editing by Toby Chopra, Andrea Ricci, Jonathan Oatis and Paul Simao)

Reuters

08/08/2024

GENERAL NEWS...

Kamala Harris picks Minnesota's Tim Walz for vice president, sources say
Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz to be her running mate on Tuesday, choosing a progressive policy champion and a plain speaker from America's heartland to help win over rural, white voters, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Campaign officials did not respond to requests for comment. An official announcement was expected on Tuesday morning.

Walz, a 60-year-old U.S. Army National Guard veteran and former teacher, was elected to a Republican-leaning district in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2006 and served 12 years before being elected governor of Minnesota in 2018.

As governor, Walz has pushed a progressive agenda that includes free school meals, goals for tackling climate change, tax cuts for the middle class and expanded paid leave for Minnesota workers.

Walz has long advocated for women's reproductive rights but also displayed a conservative bent while representing a rural district in the U.S. House, defending agricultural interests and backing gun rights.

Harris, the daughter of immigrants from Jamaica and India, is adding a popular Midwestern politician whose home state votes reliably for Democrats in presidential elections but is close to Wisconsin and Michigan, two crucial battlegrounds.

Such states are seen as crucial in deciding the Nov. 5 election, and Walz is widely seen as skilled at connecting with white, rural voters who in recent years have voted broadly for the Republican Donald Trump, Harris' rival for the White House.

Harris chose Walz over Josh Shapiro, the governor of Pennsylvania, who had been seen as essential to delivering his crucial battleground state.

Harris became the Democratic Party's standard bearer after President Joe Biden ended his re-election campaign last month. Since then, she has raised hundreds of millions of dollars and recast the race against Republican Donald Trump with a boost of energy from her party's base.

Harris was expected to appear with her running mate at an event in Philadelphia on Tuesday evening.

The Harris campaign hopes Walz's extensive National Guard career, coupled with a successful run as a high school football coach, and his Dad joke videos will attract such voters who are not yet dedicated to a second Trump term in the White House.

Harris, 59, has revived the Democratic Party's hopes of an election victory since becoming its candidate after President Joe Biden, 81, ended his failing reelection bid under party pressure on July 21.

Walz was a relative unknown nationally until the Harris "veepstakes" heated up, but his profile has since surged. A popular member of Congress, he reportedly had the backing of powerful former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who was instrumental in persuading Biden to leave the race.

Harris and Walz will face Trump and his running mate JD Vance, also a military veteran from the Midwest, in the November election.

Stumping for Harris, sometimes in a camouflage baseball hat and T-shirt, Walz has attacked Trump and Vance as "weird," a catchy insult that has been picked up by the Harris campaign, social media and Democratic activists.

A 'UNICORN'

Walz gave the nascent Harris campaign the new attack line in a late July interview: "These are weird people on the other side: They want to take books away. They want to be in your exam room," referring to book bans and women's reproductive consultations with doctors.

Walz has also attacked the claims by Trump and Vance of having middle class credentials.

"They keep talking about the middle class. A robber baron real estate guy and a venture capitalist trying to tell us they understand who we are? They don't know who we are," Walz said in an MSNBC interview.

That approach has struck a chord with the young voters Harris needs to reengage. David Hogg, the co-founder of the gun safety group March for Our Lives, described him as a "great communicator."

Walz is "somewhat of a unicorn," said Ryan Dawkins, a political science professor at Minnesota's Carleton College - a man born in a small town in rural Nebraska capable of conveying Harris' message to core Democratic voters, and those that the party has failed to reach in recent years.

Dawkins praised his ability to connect with rural voters. It is a group the Biden administration has tried to reach with infrastructure spending and other pragmatic policies, but with little show of messaging success so far.

In the 2016 election, Trump won 59% of rural voters; in 2020 that number rose to 65% even though Trump lost the election, according to Pew Research.

In the 2022 governor's race, Walz won with 52.27% to his Republican opponent's 44.61%, although swaths of rural Minnesota voted for the opponent.

While Walz has supported Democratic Party orthodoxy on issues ranging from legalized abortion and same-s*x marriage to the Affordable Care Act, known as Obamacare, he also racked up a centrist voting record during his congressional career.

He was a staunch defender of government support for farmers and military veterans, as well as gun-owner rights that won praise from the National Rifle Association, according to The Almanac of American Politics.

He subsequently registered a failing grade with the NRA after supporting gun-control measures during his first campaign for governor.

Walz's shift from a centrist representing a single rural district in Congress to a more progressive politician as governor may have been in response to the demands of voters in major cities like Minneapolis-St. Paul. But it leaves him open to Republican attacks, Dawkins said in a telephone interview.

"He runs the risk of reinforcing some of the worst fears people have of Kamala Harris being a San Francisco liberal," Dawkins said.

Walz has a ready counter-attack.

"What a monster. Kids are eating and having full bellies, so they can go learn and women are making their own healthcare decisions," Walz said in a July CNN interview. "So if that's where they want to label me, I'm more than happy to take the label."

As the state's top executive, Walz mandated the use of face coverings during the COVID-19 pandemic and signed a law making marital r**e illegal. He presided over several years of budget surpluses in Minnesota on the road to his 2022 reelection.

During that campaign, Walz touted the backing of several influential labor unions, including the state AFL-CIO, firefighters, Service Employees International Union (SEIU), teachers and others.

His tenure was marked by the May 2020 killing of George Floyd, a Black man, by a white Minneapolis police officer who was convicted of murder. Walz assigned the state's attorney general to lead the prosecution in the case, saying people "don't believe justice can be served."

(Reporting by Andrea Shalal, Jarrett Renshaw, Nandita Bose, Jeff Mason, Doina Chiacu and Richard Cowan; Editing by Heather Timmons and Howard Goller)

Reuters

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