07/15/2026
Vast disagreement in the models! There is a highlighted area nearby that we will be monitoring this weekend for potential development, but the GFS shows absolutely nothing, while the Euro spins up a weak tropical disturbance.
Given the disagreement and where a low may develop, we’re not too concerned about what may unfold.
This system will fight some shear, a little bit of dust aloft, and will be close to land, all of which should keep it in check.
Regardless of development this weekend, needed rainfall is on the way.
The Euro is on the high end of totals compared with typical summertime totals coming from the GFS. Stay tuned for updates!