12/19/2025
Bitcoin just walked into December like it forgot where it parked its car, but the charts are quietly screaming that something big is about to happen. 📉😬➡️📈 This isn’t panic selling anymore, this is pressure building, coils tightening, and volatility sharpening its knives like it’s about to star in a Quentin Tarantino movie. 🍿🔪 If you’re watching price without structure, you’re blindfolded in traffic. If you’re watching structure, you’re early. 😎📊
By Bitlender, Investigative Blogger/Technical Analyst
Bitcoin 12/18/2025 9:30 PM Update
Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) 4H/1H Expanding Falling Wedge and multi-timeframe trend. Data status: Dec 18, 2025. Price: $85,202.60.
Snapshot Summary
The higher timeframe trend remains bearish, with the weekly chart still dominated by the aftermath of a rising wedge breakdown. 📉🐻 Meanwhile, the lower timeframes are flashing neutral-to-bullish signals as an expanding falling wedge forms on the 4H and 1H charts. Think of it like a grumpy bear slipping on ice. 🐻❄️
Momentum bias is shifting bullish, with RSI bullish divergence forming on both the 1H and 4H timeframes, while the MACD histogram is bottoming out like a hangover finally wearing off. 🍻😵💫
The detected pattern is an expanding falling wedge, also known as a descending broadening wedge. Sellers are still trying to push price lower, but each attempt looks weaker than the last. That’s not strength, that’s exhaustion. 😮💨📉
Volume is declining into the apex of the structure, signaling classic exhaustion behavior. This is usually what happens right before volatility explodes and someone’s stop-loss gets absolutely obliterated. 💥😬
Key liquidity levels remain $81,300 as true market mean support and $91,181 as pivot resistance. Indicator confluence sits at 62 out of 100, with price below the 20 and 50 EMAs but holding above the 200 EMA structural floor like it’s clinging to a life raft. 🛟📊
Smart money bias continues to show accumulation between $84,000 and $85,000, with increased whale activity following CPI cooling. 🐳❄️ When whales start nibbling, plankton panic.
Bullish versus bearish probability currently favors the bulls at 58% to 42%. The next 1 to 4-hour expectation points toward a fakeout or volatility spike around $86,500 before a definitive move. Translation: shakeouts before takeoffs. 🎢🚀
Multi-Timeframe Engine
On the primary 4H and 1H charts, the expanding falling wedge signals increasing volatility. Unlike a standard wedge, sellers continue to push lower lows but fail to sustain them, creating a classic “spring” effect. Picture a stretched rubber band praying for mercy. 🪢😬
On the higher timeframes, weekly and daily charts remain bearish after the breakdown from the $126,000 October high. This reset has pushed Bitcoin into a relief and bottoming phase, where hope and fear wrestle in the mud. 🤼♂️📉
Lower timeframes, specifically the 15-minute and 5-minute charts, show tight consolidation between $84,900 and $85,600. Compression on the 5-minute chart suggests an imminent 2 to 3% move within the next four hours. Someone’s about to get rugged or rewarded. 🎰😎
A change of character occurs if price breaks and closes above $87,200 on the 4H chart. That’s the line where bears start sweating and bulls start trash-talking. 🐻💦🐂
Price Action and Structure
A massive bullish order block sits between $81,300 and $84,000. This is the smart money floor, where institutions step in while retail screams on social media. 🧠💰
A bearish fair value gap remains on the 4H chart between $88,400 and $89,700. If price breaks upward, this zone acts like a magnet, pulling price higher whether bears like it or not. 🧲📈
Liquidity pools are stacked with buy stops above $89,600 and $91,200. That’s short liquidity waiting to get liquidated like expired milk. 🥛💥
Trade Framework
The expanding falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, but confirmation is mandatory. No volume, no party. 🎉🚫
The directional bias favors a contrarian long setup. The trigger level sits at $86,850 on a 4H candle close above the upper broadening trendline. Entry is preferred between $85,500 and $87,000 after a retest. Stop-loss is placed at $83,900 below recent local support.
Targets include $89,650 for a scalp, $93,000 for a swing, and the psychological moon target of $100,000, because Bitcoin loves round numbers like traders love caffeine. ☕🚀
The expected move to the second target measures roughly 15.2%. Confidence sits at 70%, supported by cooling CPI data and stabilizing institutional ETF flows. Translation: macro stopped punching Bitcoin in the face… for now. 🥊😅
Final Verdict
Bitcoin is currently trapped in a time-driven stress phase. The expanding falling wedge shows widening price swings with weakening bearish conviction, a setup that often precedes a violent upside reversal. Violence in price, not emotions… try to keep it that way. 😎📈
If Bitcoin holds $84,800 over the next four hours, the probability of a breakout toward the $89,000 to $90,000 range increases significantly. Failure to reclaim $87,200 by the end of the trading day, however, increases the odds of a sweep toward the $81,300 true market mean before any real recovery attempt.
Disclaimer:
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and all readers should conduct their own research or consult a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
