Mesohunt - Severe Weather Coverage

Mesohunt - Severe Weather Coverage A site dedicated to providing the public with timely, knowledgeable weather information, severe weat

06/17/2026

June 17 2026 high end severe threat

06/15/2026

Sigh. I want to address the potential for another high-end severe event on Wednesday around the Midwest.

It does have the potential to be a significant severe weather day, but some of the posts circulating right now are jumping far ahead of the data. We are still three days out, and the atmosphere hasn’t shown its hand yet. A lot can change, depending on whether we see early day storms, how the boundaries set up, and how the environment recovers. Those details matter, and they are far from locked in.

I will continue watching the trends closely, and I will post updates as the picture gets a bit more clear. For now there is no reason for alarm, just a reason to stay weather aware and avoid the hype. If you follow this page, you will always get measured, evidence based updates, not doom posts. 

East Central Indiana areas into Western Ohio have a solid source to receive weather alerts tonight. As this line from Il...
06/12/2026

East Central Indiana areas into Western Ohio have a solid source to receive weather alerts tonight. As this line from Illinois moves through, major impacts can include strong damaging wind with possible large hail and frequent lightning along with flash flooding a possibility of a quick little spin up tornado could be a possibility with stronger areas of the line. Stay weather aware and be safe

~Tom~

Sarah Estep with Mesohunt got this today in Ipava Illinois. A very beautiful interpretation.
06/12/2026

Sarah Estep with Mesohunt got this today in Ipava Illinois. A very beautiful interpretation.

Folks, a high-end severe weather day is unfolding across eastern Iowa into Northern Illinois, the SPC has issued a moder...
06/11/2026

Folks, a high-end severe weather day is unfolding across eastern Iowa into Northern Illinois, the SPC has issued a moderate risk, mainly driven by widespread, damaging winds, big ass, hail, and tornadoes, some potentially on the strong side

An existing MCS is already producing severe winds from southern Iowa into Northern Missouri, and will more than likely intensify as it moves to the east north east through the middle of the day.

Any tornadoes included in this early system are likely to be surface based.

What we have here is an unusually strong mid June short wave trough, accompanied by a very strong south Westerly low-level jets. So some of the residual outflow from last night’s MCS is kind of shaping the environment, I think it would likely shift the most intense afternoon threat slightly south, closer to the Iowa Illinois border and Central Illinois.

I do expect afternoon redevelopment, especially along that cold front there, and any leftover outflow boundaries.

I think evening storms will probably grow upscale again, and with those will come a damaging wind and tornado threat into eastern Illinois, Indiana, and lower Michigan.

If you have not already, please consider going out and getting a NOAA weather radio to supplements the warnings you may receive from your phone or from your local TV meteorologists. Preparedness is key, know your tornado sheltering plan.

06/10/2026

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, cats and dogs and turtles and birds. Looks like we have a significant severe weather day in the making, here.

I’mma start with the Upper Mississippi Valley and Midwest. SPC at this time (0945) has got us in a level 3 of 5 enhanced risk for severe. All storm modes are possible, with large hail, a few strong (EF2+) tornadoes, and pretty widespread damaging winds (ya trash cans are going to OZ).
• We have a round of morning storms expected, beginning in Nebraska and Kansas and moving through to Iowa, Missouri, and northern Illinois. Any outflow boundaries that this morning round leaves behind could make for the potential for supercells this afternoon into this evening, more likely around the border of IA/MO and into west central and northern IL.
• We have a cold front draped from MN to IA to MO/eastern KS, and new storms could develop around this area. Storms will likely be supercellular at first, and then growing upscale into clusters or lines/line segments.
In the northern area of concern (MN/WI) there looks right now to be a better potential for more organized supercells, with a strong tornado and very big ass hail potential.
Moving on to the late night and overnight hours, NE/KS on through IA/MO/IL. Storms are likely to be elevated due to the probable strengthening of the LLJ. Biggest hazard with these spicy storms will be Big Ass Hail™️

On to the Ohio Valley, Central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic.
• Any storms here could be enhanced by a MCV
Primary hazard will be damaging winds, but smaller hail and a tornado or two can’t be ruled out.

This outlook does NOT mean these things will DEFINITELY happen. It just means that conditions in these areas are favorable for them to happen.

Sooooo, we’ve been through this. Have multiple ways to receive warnings, leave any mobile homes or campers and seek shelter in a sturdy building, putting as many walls between you and the outside as possible. The time to plan and prepare is now. Have handy some batteries and flashlights or lanterns, a few bottles of water, sturdy shoes, and any kind of helmet. Preparedness is key.

06/08/2026

We’ve got some decent instability and some low-level vorticity over central Illinois today. Wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a couple of land spouts maybe or even a cold air funnel or two! 

06/07/2026

The MCS developing in the Dakotas right now has the potential to meet Derecho criteria. If you are in the areas affected, consider bringing loose outdoor items indoors, and tuning into your local forecasts as it progresses. Have several ways to get warnings, and if you live in a mobile home, please consider moving to a more sturdy building.

~S



06/03/2026

For those of us in Extreme western Minnesota, southeast North Dakota, central to East South Dakota and extreme northern Nebraska, we have a chance of a strong tornado today. Not a good chance, but it’s a non-0 chance nonetheless. You know the drill. Several ways to get warnings, know your safe spot, keep your phone charged.  stay safe!

~S

06/01/2026

🌩️ Monday Severe Weather Update — June 1, 2026

A Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms is in place today across parts of the Central High Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, and portions of the Southeast. The main hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large hail.

A long‑lived storm complex that began near St. Louis earlier this morning is moving southeast and has the potential to continue for much of the day. Areas from western Kentucky into middle Tennessee and north Georgia could see scattered areas of strong to damaging winds as this system rolls through.

Later today, very hot and saturated( read, disrespectful to those of us who have thick curly hair ) air will build up across Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi, and Alabama, creating an environment supportive of additional severe storms. Afternoon and evening storms may merge into clusters capable of widespread damaging winds and some hail, potentially reaching central MS and AL before weakening. A tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

Now for those of you in the Central High Plains, storms developing over Colorado will have the potential to become supercells capable of large to very large hail. As they move into western Kansas, they may organize into clusters with an increased damaging wind threat. Again, a tornado or two will be a possibility.

If you live in any of these regions, just keep your eyes peeled today and make sure you have multiple ways to receive warnings, a safe place to go if severe weather threatens, and a full battery on your phones and tablets, because if you’re anything like me, I always regret not having them fully charged during severe weather.

Stay safe, everyone. -Sarah

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