06/28/2025
What Would Four More Years of Tinubu Actually Look Like?
By © David Israel
If you think the last year under Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been a storm, then brace yourself. Because four more years under the same leadership won’t just be more of the same—it could be a total transformation or a deeper dive into hardship. This is not fiction. This is Nigeria’s present—and possibly its future.
From May 29, 2023—The Shock Therapy Began
The moment Tinubu removed fuel subsidy on day one, Nigerians knew this was no “business as usual.” Within days, fuel tripled. The naira floated, and Nigerians watched their savings evaporate. Food? More expensive. Transport? Nightmare. Salary? Still peanuts.
Was it bold? Yes.
Was it painful? Absolutely.
Was it avoidable? That’s the million-naira question.
Tinubu’s defenders argue that he simply ripped off the bandage every past government avoided. But even if that’s true—how many Nigerians were ready for surgery without anesthesia?
The Cost of Change—Or Is It Collapse?
In the name of reform, what did we get?
Fuel subsidy gone, but fuel prices flew.
The naira unchained, but instead of freedom, it fell flat.
Wages increased from ₦30,000 to ₦70,000) —but not until after workers shut down the country in a nationwide strike.( most of the states still struggle to pay₦30,000.
Inflation at record highs. People are now buying “half measures” of survival.
A country where songs that criticize Tinubu are now being banned from the airwaves. (Yes, censorship in 2025!)
What about the man himself? Critics say he's governing from abroad, missing during major national crises. In Rivers State, he suspended an elected governor and his deputies, triggering chaos. Opposition leaders claim he’s acting like a monarch. Supporters call it “restoring order.”
So, what exactly is Tinubu building?
What the Streets and the Screens Are Saying
Across social media, the voices are loud and raw:
“You can't fix a leaky roof by painting over it.”
– Reddit user, reacting to Tinubu’s flip-flop economic tactics.
“Tell your papa” – the now-banned protest song that became a national anthem for the angry and hungry.
On the other side of the aisle, technocrats hail Tinubu as a reformist. The World Bank and IMF love him. Global investors are watching. But Nigerians are not statistics—they’re human beings.
You can win applause in Washington and still lose the market woman in Warri.
Security & Governance—Still a Headache
From ethnic violence in Benue and Plateau to economic protests in Lagos and Abuja, Tinubu’s Nigeria feels like a pot on the verge of boiling over. His shakeup of the security apparatus, including civilian control through Nuhu Ribadu, was seen as refreshing. But security challenges remain unsolved. More promises. Less peace.
And the democracy he fought for in the ‘90s? Some are asking if he’s now betraying it by arresting critics, silencing media, and flexing federal muscles against opposition states.
If He Gets 4 More Years—Here’s What to Expect
Scenario 1: A Restructured Nigeria (In Theory)
1, Naira stabilizes.
2, Fuel imports reduced as local refineries start running.
3, More international investment.
4, Gradual decrease in food prices and cost of living.
Scenario 2: A Broken Nigeria (In Reality?)
1, More economic hardship.
2, A growing gap between rich and poor.
3, Continued protests met with suppression.
4, Political suppression masked as “discipline.”
It could go either way. Or it could be both: a Nigeria of projects and pain, of awards and arrests, of “hope renewed” on banners while stomachs stay empty.
And the Big Question: Will Nigerians Vote Him In Again?
Despite everything, APC has already endorsed Tinubu for 2027. But his approval rating? Barely above water—hovering between 11% and 27%. That’s not love. That’s tolerance—or resignation.
So here’s the truth: if Nigerians remain silent, disconnected, or divided, Tinubu could win again—not because he deserves it, but because the system is built to reward power, not performance.
Final Words: Nigeria, Shine Your Eye
Dear Nigerians, this is not the time for amnesia. You must remember the hunger. The hardship. The promises. The policies. And above all, the power you hold with your voice and your vote.
Four more years of Tinubu?
Ask yourself: Do you feel better today than you did last year?
If the answer is no, don’t just complain—prepare. Because 2027 will not be about sentiments or slogans. It will be about survival.
Let’s not wait to cry again before we choose wisely.
Written by David Israel
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