09/22/2026
Home Prices are Stable, Payments are Volatile
For Buyers
The best description for the housing market vibe this month is disappointment. Average mortgage rates are front and center again, and not in a good way. After hovering around 6.75% for most of August, conventional rates shot up to 7.24% in less than 2 weeks in anticipation of the Federal Reserve raising the Fed Funds Rate. That is nearly a half percent increase, equating to roughly a 5% increase in a principal and interest payment.
Home values didn’t crash in 2023 or 2024 when rates were routinely over 7.25%, and market indicators do not support a crash in 2026. However, they may glide with less demand. Ironically, it’s not the rate itself that has caused such a sharp pause in buyer activity, because more homes sold in previous years with the same or higher rates. It’s the volatility of the rate. Buyers typically pause when the rate is actively rising or actively falling, waiting for it to find stability. This pause provides a window of opportunity for those buyers who can shoulder a higher payment temporarily and negotiate a better deal on the price or terms of their purchase. When rates decline again, they may refinance their home and enjoy a lower payment.
For Sellers
Higher mortgage rates are nothing new for the housing market, and the tools used to sell homes over the last 3 years are still effective today. However, sellers should be prepared for longer marketing times as the calendar approaches the holidays. It’s not uncommon to see a median of 50-60 days on market prior to an accepted contract in the 4th quarter. October is a very popular month for new listings, especially in luxury and retirement communities as the temperatures drop, but it doesn’t always coincide with a boost in demand. With this in mind, long-term tracking tells us consistently that properties that go under contract within 15 days of listing typically get 99% of their original asking price on average. Listings with 1-2 months on market average 95% of their original asking price, and those with 3-4 months on market average 90%. Buyers have consistently negotiated around 97-97.5% of the last list price for nearly 2 years, so the closer sellers can get to where the buyers believe the price should be, the faster they will get a contract close to asking price.
Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Housing Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2026 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC