Hurricane season outlook

09/19/2025

BREAKING: Tropical Storm Gabrielle puts the entire East Coast on high alert: “This could be the big one they’ve been warning us about for years”
Tropical Storm Gabrielle is still spinning far out in the ocean, but experts warn that the entire East Coast is officially in the “danger zone.” Right now Gabrielle is packing winds over 50 mph and strengthening fast as it churns west-northwest across the Atlantic. But here’s the terrifying part: its path is still wide open. Some models show Gabrielle uncomfortably close to the United States shoreline, from Florida all the way up to New England. That means no one is safe. Carolina beaches could face dangerous storm surge. Mid-Atlantic cities could be facing flash floods if outer bands sweep in. Even New York and Boston aren’t out of the woods yet as Gabrielle tracks further north.
Storms this far out have plenty of time to grow into a monster hurricane, and if it angles west, millions could be in the crosshairs. From Florida to Maine, every coastal community must pay attention right now. September is prime time for catastrophic landfalls. Remember Sandy? Remember Floyd? Stay tuned because Gabrielle is getting stronger with every passing hour and conditions look ripe for big trouble.

07/14/2023

This Friday, for the eastern North Pacific, there are two areas NHC is closely monitoring:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain conducive
for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the disturbance moves generally west-northwestward, away from the coast of mainland Mexico. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and in the next seven days.

2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure located well south-southeast of southeastern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next
week. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward parallel to, but well offshore, of the coast of southern Mexico. It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a high (70 percent) in the next seven days.

For more information, please visit: hurricanes.gov
For the latest marine forecast, visit: hurricanes.gov/marine

07/14/2023

07/14/2023

The National Hurricane Center will host the Blue Water Mariner webinars on Hurricane Forecasting next week. These webinars are available for up to 250 mariners at no cost. If you are interested, please register at the links below:

NHC's webinar on Hurricane Analysis and Prediction:
Thursday, July 20, 2023 2:00 - 3:00 PM EDT
https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/7693173340465095254

NHC's webinar on Wind and Wave Forecasting:
Friday, July 21, 2023 3:00 - 4:00 PM EDT
https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/8372090984291220832

04/10/2023

Update before storm coming out