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Crown Weather Services Crown Weather Services is your one-stop weather information source by providing tropical storm & hur

Crown Weather Services is your one-stop weather information source for tropical, severe and winter weather information; this includes advanced notice/warnings of impending tropical storms and hurricanes, winter storms and severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. We also have Crown Weather PLUS, which is our subscription service for anybody with an interest or need for accurate and timely weather inform

ation with an emphasis on tropical storms and hurricanes Go to https://crownweather.com/index.php/cws-plus/crown-weather-subsciption/ to learn more about Crown Weather PLUS.

Before things start to become busy in the Atlantic Basin, I wanted to take a moment to invite you to become a Crown Weat...
07/30/2025

Before things start to become busy in the Atlantic Basin, I wanted to take a moment to invite you to become a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber by going to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Also, feel free to share this post with family, friends, coworkers, colleagues and neighbors. Also, feel free to share this post with any Facebook groups you belong to.

HERE IS SOME OF WHAT YOU WILL HAVE ACCESS TO WITH A CROWN WEATHER PLUS SUBSCRIPTION:

- REAL-TIME TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSIONS & UPDATES: Frequently issued tropical weather discussions will include information on potential tropical storm formation, information on any tropical storms or hurricanes, marine weather updates and marine weather alerts. We also post short updates alerting you on any significant changes in regards to development or intensification of tropical systems.

- ONE ON ONE E-MAIL WEATHER SUPPORT: I will personally answer any questions you might have in regards to how weather might impact your local area. This includes information on what impacts a tropical storm or hurricane will have on your local area.

- LOCALIZED WEATHER PAGES: These specific local weather pages cover the coastal eastern United States, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Panhandle, the US Gulf Coast & the Caribbean.

- TROPICAL STORM & HURRICANE SPECIFIC PAGES: Each time there is a tropical depression, a tropical storm or a hurricane in the Atlantic, Caribbean or the Gulf, a specific webpage will be setup for that storm. These pages will include very specific information about a storm, including wind potential, surge potential and local links to follow local news, evacuation orders, etc.

- WHY SHOULD YOU SUBSCRIBE TO CROWN WEATHER PLUS: It’s simple. We are personal, interactive, dedicated and experienced. We are not a giant weather corporation; just the opposite, we are a small weather service who will give you something that is valuable and potentially life saving.

Our commitment with you, the Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, is to provide a top-notch, value added weather service, which meets or exceeds your expectations.

The cost for a Crown Weather PLUS subscription is very reasonable & runs from $13.95 for a one month subscription to $99 for a one year subscription.

To Become A Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, just go to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Monday 7/28/2025: The activity across the Atlantic Basin is a little bit more active than it was just on Friday. ...
07/28/2025

Posted Monday 7/28/2025: The activity across the Atlantic Basin is a little bit more active than it was just on Friday. This is what we're currently keeping tabs on:

1. An area of thunderstorms located to the north of the Lesser Antilles that is very likely to NOT develop.

2. A tropical wave pushing off of the coast of Africa that will head westward and reach the Lesser Antilles late this week. Chances of development are very low.

3. There is the possibility of tropical mischief occurring off of the Southeast coast of the United States next week as low pressure forming near the tail end of a front tries to combine with a tropical wave moving into the area. I do think that this is the item to keep close tabs on as development is certainly a legitimate possibility.

Read much more about all of this by going to our latest updates at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend that you become one. The cost of a subscription is well worth it, given what you receive in return.

To learn more and to become a subscriber, just go to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Friday 7/25/2025: It looks like we could see some sort of tropical development occur around the middle to possibl...
07/25/2025

Posted Friday 7/25/2025: It looks like we could see some sort of tropical development occur around the middle to possibly later parts of next week over the deep tropics of the Central & Eastern Tropical Atlantic.

For now, those of you in the Leeward Islands and the northeastern Caribbean should keep close tabs on the progress of the wave that may try to develop. This wave will move off of the coast of Africa early next week and then head westward.

Read all of my detailed thoughts on this possible development by going to the following link - https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend that you become one. The cost of a subscription is well worth it, given what you receive in return.

To learn more and to become a subscriber, just go to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Thursday 7/17/2025: We covered quite a bit in today's tropical weather update for Crown Weather PLUS subscribers....
07/17/2025

Posted Thursday 7/17/2025: We covered quite a bit in today's tropical weather update for Crown Weather PLUS subscribers. This included:

1. While Invest 93-L will not develop into a tropical depression before it moves inland into Southeastern Louisiana this afternoon, it will produce several rounds of heavy rainfall across southern Louisiana through Friday. Localized flash flooding is a definite possibility, especially across south-central Louisiana.

2. Even though tropical development is not expected through this weekend across the rest of the Atlantic Basin, there are two tropical waves now located near western Africa that might need to be watched for signs of development as they head westward across the eastern and central Tropical Atlantic next week.

3. It looks like the overall conditions for development across the Atlantic Basin will become more favorable at the very end of this month into early August. In fact, there are hints in the model guidance that the tropical waves pushing off of Africa may have more oomph during early August.

Read much more about all of this by going to our latest update at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend that you become one. The cost of a subscription is well worth it, given what you receive in return.

To learn more and to become a subscriber, just go to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Tuesday 7/15/2025: *** INVEST 93-L IS VERY LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NORTHERN GULF SOME...
07/15/2025

Posted Tuesday 7/15/2025: *** INVEST 93-L IS VERY LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NORTHERN GULF SOMETIME BETWEEN WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY & BRING A SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD THREAT TO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA, SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI & SOUTHERN ALABAMA ***

Invest 93-L will be crossing the central Florida Peninsula over the next 12-24 hours & will then move into the northeastern Gulf on Wednesday.

A ridge of high pressure to the north of the disturbance will continue to guide this system westward across the northeastern and north-central Gulf where it will be located near the Mississippi Delta on Thursday. Once it reaches southeastern Louisiana, Invest 93-L is expected to slow way down in forward speed and crawl across southern Louisiana from late Thursday through Friday and Saturday.

This slow-down in forward speed is probably going to lead to some big time problems in terms of heavy rain induced flash flooding across southern and southeastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi beginning on Thursday and continuing through Friday and into this weekend.

In fact, I am particularly concerned about the amount of rain that’s going to occur across southern and southeastern Louisiana. Current indications seem to be pointing towards rain totals of at least 5 to 10 inches to occur in areas including Lafayette, Baton Rouge, New Iberia, Morgan City, Houma & the New Orleans Metro. Local rain amounts of over one foot seem quite likely in these areas.

Those of you in southern and southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi and southern Alabama need to pay very close attention to the forecasts as the threat for flash flooding looks quite high.

Read much more about my thoughts and forecast surrounding Invest 93-L by going to our latest update at https://crownweather.com/invest-93-l-is-very-likely-to-develop-into-a-tropical-depression-very-possibly-a-tropical-storm-in-the-northern-gulf-sometime-between-wednesday-thursday/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend to become one as it is well worth the cost of a subscription. The link to subscribe is https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Sunday 7/13/2025: *** NORTHERN GULF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MIDDLE & LATER PARTS...
07/13/2025

Posted Sunday 7/13/2025: *** NORTHERN GULF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MIDDLE & LATER PARTS OF THIS WEEK ***

There is a concentrated area of shower and thunderstorm activity located just offshore of the coasts of northeast Florida, southeast Georgia and eastern South Carolina today. It seems as if an area of low pressure is trying to form in this area. This is the system to watch for potential tropical development once it moves into the northern Gulf by Wednesday and Thursday.

This system is likely to bring some drought relieving heavy rain across much of the Florida Peninsula beginning as soon as later tonight and Monday and continuing through Thursday. These rainfall amounts will very likely lead to flash flooding, especially across Central and South Florida where the highest rain amounts will be.

Also, this system may bring a significant flood threat to southern and southeastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi from about Thursday through next weekend. Something to watch, for sure.

A comprehensive and detailed writeup on this area of disturbed weather can be found at https://crownweather.com/northern-gulf-tropical-development-continues-to-be-possible-during-the-middle-later-parts-of-this-week/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend to become one as it is well worth the cost of a subscription. The link to subscribe is https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Late Wednesday Morning 7/9/2025: While no tropical development is expected across the Atlantic Basin throughout t...
07/09/2025

Posted Late Wednesday Morning 7/9/2025: While no tropical development is expected across the Atlantic Basin throughout the rest of this week through at least this weekend, there are a couple of items that I covered today with Crown Weather PLUS subscribers.

The first item is the very small chance that there could be some sort of tropical mischief over the northern Gulf during the middle and later parts of next week.

The second item that I took a look at is the possibility that activity could begin picking up across the Atlantic Basin near the end of this month into the first half of August. An upward motion pulse of the Madden Julian Oscillation is expected to make its way into the Atlantic during this time period, which would invigorate activity. For now, it's something to just keep an eye on, but it's nothing to be concerned or worried about.

Comprehensive and detailed weather updates on the tropics can be found anytime at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend to become one as it is well worth the cost of a subscription. The link to subscribe is https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Late Saturday Morning 7/5/2025: *** TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE COASTAL CAROLINAS FROM LATE ...
07/05/2025

Posted Late Saturday Morning 7/5/2025: *** TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE COASTAL CAROLINAS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT & SUNDAY ***

First off, you can track the progress of Tropical Storm Chantal by going to our storm page at - https://crownweather.com/active-storms/al032025/ .

Chantal is organizing and strengthening today and it appears fairly likely that the storm will peak at 55-60 mph before it comes ashore along the coast of northeastern South Carolina by Sunday morning.

Squalls of heavy rain and gusty winds will likely begin affecting the South Carolina and North Carolina coasts by late this afternoon and certainly by tonight. These squalls will then continue through Sunday. Given that most of the squalls are located on the eastern side of the storm, the most robust squalls will likely to affect coastal areas of northeastern South Carolina and all of coastal southeastern and eastern North Carolina throughout tonight and Sunday. Wind gusts of up to 50-60 mph and rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches can be expected in an area from about Myrtle Beach through all of coastal southeastern North Carolina to the southern parts of the outer banks of North Carolina.

Comprehensive and detailed weather updates on the tropics can be found anytime at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend to become one as it is well worth the cost of a subscription. The link to subscribe is https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Finally, we need your help. To read how you can help, go to the following link: https://crownweather.com/im-asking-for-your-help/ .


Posted Friday Evening 7/4/2025: Tropical Depression  #3 has formed off of the coast of the Southeastern United States.  ...
07/05/2025

Posted Friday Evening 7/4/2025: Tropical Depression #3 has formed off of the coast of the Southeastern United States.

Additional strengthening is likely and I fully expect to see this system become a tropical storm as soon as later tonight or during the day on Saturday. Once the depression is upgraded to a tropical storm, it’s name will be Chantal.

This system is expected to come ashore along the coast of South Carolina as a 40-50 mph tropical storm late Saturday night or during Sunday morning.

Even though it will be a tropical storm, the main effects from this system will be heavy rainfall, which will affect the coastal Carolinas throughout Saturday and Sunday. Rainfall totals of up to 2 to 4 inches can be expected across eastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina.

That said, some 40-50 mph wind gusts can be expected on Saturday night into Sunday morning across coastal parts of northeast South Carolina and parts of coastal southeast and eastern North Carolina.

You can track the progress of Tropical Depression #3 by going to our storm page at - https://crownweather.com/active-storms/al032025/ . Our Tropical Depression #3 page includes comprehensive and detailed information, maps and links about this storm.

Comprehensive and detailed weather updates on the tropics can be found anytime at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend to become one as it is well worth the cost of a subscription. The link to subscribe is https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

Posted Thursday 7/3/2025: *** TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS LOOKING LIKELY THIS WEEKEND NEAR THE COASTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA, ...
07/03/2025

Posted Thursday 7/3/2025: *** TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS LOOKING LIKELY THIS WEEKEND NEAR THE COASTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA, SOUTHEAST GEORGIA & EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA ***

I think that it is likely we will see the development of a tropical depression or a low-end tropical storm during this weekend near coastal parts of northeast Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. In fact, I am putting the chances for at around 80-90 percent.

This tropical system, which again looks to probably end up being a tropical depression or perhaps a low-end tropical storm, should track northward into the coastal Carolinas by later Sunday into Monday. A curve to the northeast looks most plausible early next week taking this system to the east of New England. I’m not buying into the possibility of this system directly affecting Southern New England and think it should pass to the east.

*** Heavy Rainfall Will Be The Main Threat With This System *** - Heavy rainfall is going to be a threat throughout the Fourth of July weekend across much of the Florida Peninsula & particularly along the west coast of Florida and along the I-4 corridor from Tampa to Orlando.

Some sort of a heavy rainfall threat also looks possible on Saturday and Sunday across coastal areas of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina as that tropical depression or low-end tropical storm takes shape.

More details on this likely tropical development can be found in our latest comprehensive and detailed writeup that can be found at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

Not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber?? I welcome and encourage you to become a subscriber by going to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

A subscription to Crown Weather PLUS is well worth the money & those that have subscribed have been very pleased with the weather updates & information we offer.

Posted Tuesday 7/1/2025: *** TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE A POSSIBILITY EITHER NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE U...
07/01/2025

Posted Tuesday 7/1/2025: *** TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE A POSSIBILITY EITHER NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES OR IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF DURING THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND ***

A frontal system is expected to stall and become an old front that sits off of the US Southeast coast by Thursday and Friday. It is then expected that a low pressure system will form along this front either somewhere near the US Southeast Coast or right over Florida or over the northeastern Gulf.

Where exactly this low pressure system forms remains highly uncertain & is going to be important in determining whether tropical development might occur and also determine where any possible tropical system might go.

All-in-all, this remains an uncertain and difficult forecast, but it’s a scenario that I’m watching very closely.

Whether this system develops or not, it will still produce a rainy Fourth Of July holiday weekend across the entire Florida Panhandle and much of the Florida Peninsula. Some of this rainfall is also expected to affect the coastal Carolinas, southern Georgia and southern Alabama. The bullseye area of heaviest rainfall looks to be across the coastal parts of the Florida Panhandle, the Big Bend area of Florida and along the west coast of Florida from about Fort Myers and points north, including the Tampa Bay area leading to localized flash flooding.

The latest comprehensive and detailed analysis on this possible tropical development can be found at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

Not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber?? I welcome and encourage you to become a subscriber by going to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ . It is well worth the money & those that have subscribed have been very pleased with the weather updates & information we offer.

Posted Midday Monday 6/30/2025: Tropical development continues to be a possibility in the area from the northeastern Gul...
06/30/2025

Posted Midday Monday 6/30/2025: Tropical development continues to be a possibility in the area from the northeastern Gulf to near the Southeastern coast of the United States late this week through this weekend.

Even if tropical development does not occur, the system that does form will produce a rainy Fourth Of July holiday weekend across the entire Florida Panhandle and much of the Florida Peninsula. Some of this rainfall is also expected to affect southern Georgia, southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and far southeastern Louisiana. The bullseye area of heaviest rainfall still looks to be across all of the Florida Panhandle, the Big Bend area of Florida and along the west coast of Florida from about Fort Myers and points north, including the Tampa Bay area leading to localized flash flooding.

Comprehensive and detailed weather updates on the tropics can be found anytime at https://crownweather.com/discussions/ .

If you are not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber, I highly recommend to become one as it is well worth the cost of a subscription. The link to subscribe is https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/ .

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