10/07/2025
Clément Molin has been analyzing Russian airstrikes against our positions for some time, using which he is trying to determine the current line of control.
I analyzed his analysis along the Dobropilsko-Konstyantynivska line.
▪️ This month saw a significant decrease in the airstrike campaign. Compared to last month's 1,917 attacks, only 938 were recorded, a much lower number than in the previous two months.
❗️ For example, on July 11, Clément Molin published a map [1] showing some 650 airstrikes. Russia was intensively bombing Defense Forces positions near Shakhovo (between Pokrovsk and Druzhkovka). And on August 11, the situation became even more complicated. Just a few days after the start of the breakthrough near Dobropil, Clément Molin recorded 1,411 airstrikes [2] in two main areas supporting the enemy infiltration operation near Rodynskoye and Dobropilskoye.
▪️ Over the course of three months, we observed a slow advance of airstrikes to the west and north. There was also an incredible concentration of attacks near Shakhove [3]
▪️ From August to September, the Russians changed tactics to maintain the breakthrough near Dobropillya. In one month, 1,917 bombs were dropped, mainly around the breakthrough, between Bilytsky and Kucheriv Yar. Let us not forget Kostyantynivka [4]
▪️ This month, a decrease in airstrikes was observed due to the failure of the Russian breakthrough and Ukrainian counterattacks. North of Pokrovsk, all attacks are aimed at disrupting logistics. But the main area of interest is now around Shakhove and Druzhkivka [5]
▪️ Look at this map [6]: in the center, Shakhove, a point of resistance for the Defense Forces for three months. The Russians are trying to cut off its rear. With the help of the white and yellow dots indicating the latest airstrikes, we can see the results of the advance toward Dobropillya.
