The Cipher Brief

The Cipher Brief The Cipher Brief is the go-to digital platform for the latest global security news and high-level an

The Cipher Brief is the go-to digital platform for the latest security news and high-level analysis. Each day, we offer multiple expert perspectives, engaging the private sector to find solutions and foster dialogue on what events mean for businesses and organizations around the world. More than just reporting on the news, The Cipher Brief helps readers understand what the news means to you.

What if the first critical decision in a war over Taiwan isn’t made at the Pentagon — but in a corporate boardroom?Satel...
09/15/2026

What if the first critical decision in a war over Taiwan isn’t made at the Pentagon — but in a corporate boardroom?

Satellites. Cloud infrastructure. AI. Semiconductors. Undersea communications.

America’s technology companies increasingly control capabilities that aren't simply commercial assets. In a crisis, they could become critical components of national power.

Ukraine provided a preview. Private technology companies helped keep communications online, protect government data and defend digital infrastructure. But those decisions were often voluntary, improvised and made after the war had already begun.

Michael Salazar, Senior Manager for Microsoft AI & Security, argues the United States cannot afford the same improvisation in a future conflict involving China.

In his new Cipher Brief column, Salazar proposes a provocative solution: a “Big Tech SOFA” — a voluntary public-private readiness framework that would establish expectations, responsibilities, legal protections and economic incentives between Washington and strategically critical technology companies before a crisis begins.

Because if the cables are cut, satellites disrupted and networks attacked, that is the wrong moment to start negotiating who will do what.

“Wars are not won by improvisation. They are won by preparation.”

Read “Setting Terms with America’s Tech Giants” in The Cipher Brief.
https://www.thecipherbrief.com/setting-terms-with-americas-tech-giants

The views expressed are the author's and do not necessarily reflect the official position of Microsoft or any affiliated organization.

America built an All-Volunteer Force to fight its wars. But what happens when the next war requires more people than it ...
09/15/2026

America built an All-Volunteer Force to fight its wars. But what happens when the next war requires more people than it can provide?

That question is no longer theoretical.

The U.S. military is smaller than it was during the draft era. The pool of Americans both eligible and willing to serve is narrow. The Reserve and inactive Reserve provide less depth than they once did. And a large-scale conflict with a near-peer adversary could test the military’s ability to replace casualties and sustain operations in ways Iraq and Afghanistan never did.

In his latest column for The Cipher Brief, Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Walter Pincus examines an uncomfortable national security question: Can America’s All-Volunteer Force survive the next war — or will a future crisis force the country to reconsider the draft?

As former Army officer Jason Dempsey puts it, while Washington focuses on missiles, interceptors and the defense industrial base, it also needs to confront “the human dimension of all this.”

Weapons matter. Industrial capacity matters. But wars still require people.

Read Walter Pincus’ latest in The Cipher Brief.

https://www.thecipherbrief.com/can-americas-all-volunteer-force-survive-the-next-war

The strategic warning lights are flashing.🇺🇸 A Pentagon watchdog puts the cost of the Iran war at $33.4 BILLION — while ...
09/15/2026

The strategic warning lights are flashing.

🇺🇸 A Pentagon watchdog puts the cost of the Iran war at $33.4 BILLION — while warning of depleted mu*****ns and extensive damage to U.S. facilities.

🛰️ The U.S. military confirms for the first time that it has weapons in space.

🇷🇺 A Russian warship fires flares toward a Danish military helicopter as tensions between Moscow and NATO intensify.

🇨🇳 China tightens control over overseas travel amid growing technology-security concerns.

🇺🇦 And the war in Ukraine is pushing closer to NATO territory — as allied fighters shoot down a drone that entered Lithuanian airspace from Belarus.

Meanwhile, two Cipher Brief exclusives tackle challenges that may define the next era of national security: whether America can build the infrastructure required to power its AI ambitions — and what happens when AI creates a “sixth domain” of warfare where machines learn, adapt and act faster than humans can intervene.

This is the intelligence picture national security professionals need to start the day.

Read today’s Cipher Brief Open Source Report — and become a Subscriber+ member for expert-level context on the developments shaping global security.

https://www.thecipherbrief.com/report/global-intelligence-report-for-tuesday-september-15-2026

09/10/2026

From the latest State Secrets podcast episode with Vice Admiral (Ret) Frank Whitworth, former Director of the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA). Watch on The Cipher Brief's You Tube, or listen whereever you get your podcasts.

Start your day informed. The Cipher Brief's Global Intelligence Report for Thursday, September 10. Before the meetings b...
09/10/2026

Start your day informed.

The Cipher Brief's Global Intelligence Report for Thursday, September 10.

Before the meetings begin. Before the headlines become conventional wisdom. Start with the intelligence that matters.

Today’s Cipher Brief Open Source Report opens with a widening question over the war with Iran: while President Trump publicly predicts a rapid end to the conflict, senior advisers are reportedly preparing for the possibility that it could extend through the remainder of his term.

And the signals of escalation are mounting.

Iran is increasingly challenging U.S. warships. The IAEA has referred Tehran to the UN Security Council for the first time in two decades. The Houthis have seized the strategic Yemeni port of Mokha, less than 50 miles from the Bab al-Mandab Strait. And a drone has struck a tanker carrying Iraqi fuel oil as pressure on critical maritime routes intensifies.

Beyond the Middle East, the security picture is moving just as quickly.

🇺🇦 Ukraine has carried out its deepest reported strike inside Russia since the full-scale invasion began — hitting an energy facility more than 3,000 kilometers from the Ukrainian border.

🇷🇺 NATO allies reportedly disrupted a covert Russian operation involving technology designed to disable critical subsea cables near Norway.

🇨🇳 The U.S. is racing to close China's lead in air-breathing hypersonic weapons, while Huawei finally goes on trial in a case at the heart of the U.S.-China technology struggle.

And one story worth watching closely: could Trump, Putin and Xi meet together at November's APEC summit? The Kremlin says it's possible.

This is why informed national security professionals don't simply follow the news. They start their day understanding how the pieces fit together.

The Cipher Brief Open Source Report delivers the developments shaping national and global security — curated for people who need to know what matters, what changed overnight, and what to watch next.

Read today's Open Source Report at The Cipher Brief- https://www.thecipherbrief.com/report/global-intelligence-report-for-thursday-september-10-2026

The latest State Secrets podcast episode is out.  The Future of Intelligence in the Age of AI | Vice Admiral (Ret) Frank...
09/10/2026

The latest State Secrets podcast episode is out.

The Future of Intelligence in the Age of AI | Vice Admiral (Ret) Frank Whitworth

Artificial intelligence, drones and commercial satellites are transforming the way intelligence is collected, analyzed and used — but as technology delivers answers faster than ever, how do intelligence professionals make sure those answers are actually right?

In this episode of The Cipher Brief’s State Secrets Podcast, Suzanne Kelly sits down with retired Vice Admiral Frank Whitworth, former Director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) and former Director for Intelligence on the Joint Staff, to discuss how emerging technology is changing intelligence and the character of modern warfare.

Whitworth explains his concept of “drones, codes and spacecraft,” why AI could fundamentally change the intelligence cycle, and the danger of what he calls a “veneer of understanding” — having information at our fingertips without the expertise or rigor needed to truly understand it.

The conversation also explores source validation in the age of AI, the changing nature of deterrence, NGA’s role in warning and targeting, the growing importance of commercial satellite imagery, and Whitworth’s move from government into the private sector.

Watch at The Cipher Brief's You Tube, or listen where ever you get your podcasts.

Today’s sponsor: Two Six Technologies https://twosixtech.com

09/10/2026

The latest State Secrets podcast episode, with Vice Admiral (Ret) Frank Whitworth, former Director of the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency. Watch the full conversation on the Cipher Brief's You Tube, or listen whereever you get your podcasts.

The old rules of cyber defense are out the door.AI-powered attacks can move at machine speed. Autonomous systems can ope...
09/09/2026

The old rules of cyber defense are out the door.

AI-powered attacks can move at machine speed. Autonomous systems can operate without humans in the loop. And America’s critical infrastructure is already in the crosshairs.

So, are we ready for AI warfare?

Former NSA Director and U.S. Cyber Command Commander Gen. Paul Nakasone (Ret.) tells The Cipher Brief’s Suzanne Kelly that the answer starts with a fundamental shift in how we think about offense, defense—and speed.

“If we've gone to autonomous operations on the offensive side, how do we get that on the defensive side?”

This isn’t a future threat. It’s the national security challenge unfolding now.

Read Are We Ready for AI Warfare? at The Cipher Brief- https://www.thecipherbrief.com/are-we-ready-for-ai-warfare

Everyone says the same thing: “I don’t know what to trust anymore - or where to go to understand what’s really happening...
09/09/2026

Everyone says the same thing: “I don’t know what to trust anymore - or where to go to understand what’s really happening.”

Start here.

☕ In the time it takes to drink your morning coffee, The Cipher Brief’s Open Source Report gets you up to speed on what matters around the world.

Today: U.S.-Iran tensions escalate. The CIA sharpens its focus on China. New activity at a suspected Iranian nuclear site. AI theft. Ukraine under relentless attack. And former NSA/CYBERCOM chief Gen. Paul Nakasone on whether we’re ready for AI warfare.

One report. The world, distilled.

Read today’s OSR. Better yet, make it part of your morning routine.
https://www.thecipherbrief.com/report/global-intelligence-report-for-wednesday-september-9-2026

Ten years ago, we gathered at Sea Island for the first Cipher Brief Threat Conference.The world we were preparing for th...
09/07/2026

Ten years ago, we gathered at Sea Island for the first Cipher Brief Threat Conference.

The world we were preparing for then looks very different from the one we face today.

War has returned to Europe. China has emerged as America’s defining strategic competitor. AI is transforming intelligence and warfare. Cyber threats have moved from the server room to the center of national security. Drones, quantum, espionage and influence operations are changing the battlefield—and the line between public and private sector security has all but disappeared.

Through all of it, one idea has guided this conference:

The hardest national security problems are better solved when the right people are in the room together.

This October, we’ll gather at Sea Island for the 10th Annual Cipher Brief Threat Conference—bringing together leaders from government, intelligence, the military, technology and industry for the conversations that matter now, and the threats that come next.

A decade later, the world has changed.

The mission hasn’t.

October 25–28 | Sea Island, Georgia
www.tcbconference.com

Address

Washington D.C., DC

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