12/28/2021
Here we stand. The end of another year. And what a year it's been!
We started out with people breaking into the Capitol thinking they could either prevent a White House transition or launch a revolution. Neither was ever going to happen. All it did was almost legitimize the new occupant of the White House.
Yet, that seeming disaster - the Biden Regime's moving into the Oval Office - has proven to be a long term blessing.
Biden has yet to do one thing right since he became President. That's unsurprising, given that he is controlled by the hands up his backside the way Walter - the Jeff Dunham ventriloquist's dummy - is. By the way, Biden resembles Walter physically but Walter is a whole heck of a lot smarter, despite being made of wood.
Biden was unable to get his signature legislative ambitions through Congress. Illegal aliens have not been legalized. Medicaid is not universal. His voting legislation is falling apart. Student loans have not been forgiven. Vaccine mandates are being stymied by the courts. Most of his major executive actions are enjoined as they are being litigated. His withdrawal from Afghanistan was the worst foreign policy action in many decades. Nothing's going right for the Democrat poster boy for senility.
His own popularity has gone south for the winter. And spring and summer and fall. His Vice President - whom the Democrats were sure would succeed her boss - is even less popular than he is. In fact, his unpopularity has pulled down Democrats around the country. In NJ, the incumbent Democrat Governor - who had won his first election by a landslide 14 percent - was barely re-elected by a margin of 3%.
Virginia was worse for the Dems. Not only did they lose the Governor's Mansion for the first time in 12 years, but they gave up their 55 seat majority in the House of Delegates and allowed the Republicans back into a 52-48 majority. The Democrats had previously been locked out of the Majority in that House for 20 years. Thanks to Biden, they may be in the Minority for another 20 years.
All this leads us into what is coming in 2022.
Conventional wisdom tells us that the incumbent President's Party always loses seats during mid-term elections. It is exceedingly rare for this rule of thumb to not come to fruition and only when the President is extremely popular. That is certainly not the case right now.
Biden has lost more popularity than any first year President since polling on the subject began. Even Jimmy Carter didn't perform as badly. He is far less popular now than Barack Obama was when he ended his first year. Yet, even Obama lost the US Senate and lost seats in the House of Representatives.
In 1912, the US House of Representatives went from 391 seats to 435. Since that time, the largest Republican majority was 303 seats won in the 1920 election. In the modern era - since Gingrich led the GOP to their first House Majority in four decades - the largest GOP Majority was in 2014 when they won 247 seats.
The GOP now holds 213 seats. They only need to win 34 seats to have a greater Majority than they have had since the Gingrich Revolution. If they win 77 seats - shifts of that size have taken place on several occasions in the last century - they will have a 2/3 Majority. If they win 91 seats, they will have the largest GOP Majority in US history. Granted, the last two possibilities are - while not impossible - remote, at best. However, a gain of 60 seats or more would seem to be eminently realistic given the current situation. That would give the GOP 63% of the House. That would mean almost twice as many Republicans on every House Committee. It would also mean a significant reduction in the number of Democrats who will be able to move up the food chain to Senator, Governor and Presidential nominee. On the other hand, those who are able to move up will be even more extreme to the Left than we have seen up until now because the survivors will come from very strong Democrat Districts and will have never had to moderate their policy positions.
The largest turnover in US history was in 1894, when Democrat Grover Cleveland was in his second term and his Party lost 105 seats in the House. Now, keep in mind that the House only had 356 members at the time and 105 seats represented 29.5% of the entire House. Or 48.2% of all Democrats previously in the House. Today, 29.5% would be 128 seats. And 48.2% of all Democrats in the House would be 107 seats.
We aren't going to get that kind of turnover in 2022 but we very easily could have the largest turnover and the largest GOP Majority in modern history. All because the Democrats chose to nominate a man who is simply no longer in control of his faculties.
The last election appeared to be a disaster for the Republicans. It has turned out to be anything but. It may be an unimaginable blessing in disguise. As long as we are ready, willing and able to work and sweat and donate and participate like never before. This one is ours to win or lose. Whatever happens next November, it will be either to our credit or our blame.
Let's win this one!
By Imre Beke
