16/10/2025
📊 Market Narrative by Pria Trades last October 15, 2025
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational purpose only — not financial advice. Trade at your own discretion and risk.
🎯 Trade Parameters
Buy Zone (Entry): 4101–4110
(Discount zone: 0.62–0.78 area includes 4101–4110)
Stop Loss (SL): 4090
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 4180 → M15 OBFVG midpoint
TP2: 4200 → H1 OB + FVG confluence
TP3: 4220 → H4 premium imbalance
TP4: 4280 → External Liquidity / Major Buy-side Target
💡 Use partials or trail stops after TP2 to secure realized profits as price enters premium territory.
BRIEFER:
After the FOMC’s dovish tone, Smart Money engineered a sell-side liquidity sweep below 4100, tapping into a Bullish OB + OBFVG confluence zone (4101–4110) for re-accumulation.
Price structure remains bullish on HTF, showing continuation from the discount zone.
Expect rebalancing of premium imbalances toward 4180–4280, targeting external liquidity above previous highs.
DETAILED
🕰 Technical Alignment
A. Higher Time Frame (H4 / Daily)
Price remains in a bullish structure, making higher highs and higher lows after rebounding from 3950–4000 (previous OB base).
The current setup aligns within the discount retracement leg of the higher timeframe impulse.
The OBFVG zone (4100–4110) marks a clear re-entry area for Smart Money accumulation before another leg up.
B. Medium Time Frame (H1)
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred after price cleared sell-side liquidity below 4100.
Price retested the H1 Bullish OB + OBFVG confluence, showing balanced entry around 4101–4110.
Volume divergence confirmed Smart Money reloading longs in discount territory.
C. Lower Time Frame (M15–M5)
LTF shows internal liquidity sweep below 4100 followed by strong bullish displacement.
Price returned to fill the M15 FVG, validating the refined entry within the buy zone.
Imbalance rebalancing suggests room for continuation toward premium targets (4180–4280).
🌐 Fundamental Alignment:
•🏦 Dovish FOMC → Extended rate-cut timeline → Weaker USD
•💵 Lower yields = Stronger gold demand
•⚔️ Post-war uncertainty supports safe-haven flow
•📈 Institutional re-entry visible near 4100 discount zone