14/11/2024
Post elections unrest expected to persist in Mozambique
Mozambique is facing a critical period of unrest following the disputed October 9 general election. Opposition leader Venâncio Mondlane has called for ongoing anti-government demonstrations, which have been well-attended and resulted in significant disruptions to the country's logistics networks and cross-border trade.
The National Electoral Commission's ( ) interim results, released on October 24, showed a landslide victory for the ruling party, Frelimo - Maputo Província, with its presidential candidate, Eu Apoio Daniel Chapo, securing over 70% of the vote. However, independent and foreign observers have raised concerns about widespread irregularities, including unjustified changes to vote tabulation sheets.
The situation has been exacerbated by the murder of 's lawyer, Elvino Dias, on October 18, which has fueled opposition anger towards the government and security forces. The is currently reviewing the election results and disputes, with a verdict expected in December.
✓ Key Concerns:
- Economic Disruptions: have forced the closure of key border crossings and disrupted port operations, resulting in significant economic losses, estimated at over $388 millions.
- Security Threats: The government's deployment of the military to disperse protests has led to casualties, and the opposition has accused security forces of using live ammunition.
- Escalating Tensions: The government's rhetoric has become increasingly aggressive, with Frelimo Cidade de Maputo accusing protest leaders of fomenting an insurrection and attempting a coup d'état.
✓ Potential Outcomes:
- The Council may amend the election results to reduce Frelimo's victory margin or award opposition parties more seats in the legislature.
- A major crackdown by security forces could escalate violent unrest and worsen stability.
- The opposition's refusal to accept the Constitutional Council's verdict could lead to further deterioration in stability.
The situation in Maputo, Mozambique remains volatile, with significant implications for commercial and economic operations in major urban areas. The outcome of the Constitutional Hill Council's review will be crucial in determining the country's future stability.
Mozambique 🇲🇿 is an African Continental Free Trade Area Secretariat AfCFTA member country and progressive participant in the SADC Region AFRICAN TRUTH.
Zolisa Memani is the founder of The Beacon of Hope for Africa Collection Stories 👁️ 👁️
