02/05/2026
Fragmented Opposition, Predictable Outcome: Why Unity Matters More Than Numbers....
Augustine Mwewa Independent Bahati Aspiring MP writes .....
The revelation that 29 presidential aspirants have paid nominations fees (K100,000) with the Electoral Commission of Zambia (ECZ) ahead of the 13 August 2026 general elections is not a sign of strength—it is a clear signal of disunity.
In any serious political contest, numbers alone do not win elections—strategy, cohesion, and a shared vision do.
The idea that 28 opposition leaders can stand separately against one incumbent and expect to defeat him defies basic political logic. Instead of consolidating support, this fragmentation dilutes it, scattering votes across multiple candidates and ultimately strengthening the position of the incumbent, Hakainde Hichilema.
What we are witnessing is not healthy competition, but a lack of coordination and long-term thinking. Democracy certainly allows multiple candidates, but effective democracy also demands responsibility. Leaders must rise above personal ambition and recognize when unity serves the greater good.
At this rate, the outcome appears predictable. A divided opposition inadvertently clears the path for an easier victory for the ruling party. From a realistic standpoint, one can already see the likelihood of President Hichilema securing another mandate—not necessarily because the opposition lacks capable individuals, but because they lack a united front.
However, the issue goes beyond the presidency.
A functioning democracy depends heavily on checks and balances. Even if one party forms government, Parliament must remain diverse and independent enough to provide oversight. When Members of Parliament overwhelmingly belong to the ruling party, Parliament risks becoming a rubber stamp rather than a watchdog. Critical debate weakens, accountability suffers, and the voices of the people become less effectively represented.
Zambia does not just need elections—it needs a balanced political system.
Opposition leaders must ask themselves hard questions
Are they contesting to win, or merely to participate?
Are personal ambitions outweighing national interest?
What legacy are they building for Zambia’s democracy?
The path forward is clear. If the opposition is serious about governing or even providing credible oversight, unity is not optional—it is essential. A common agenda, strategic alliances, and issue-based collaboration could transform the political landscape.
Without that, the cycle will repeat: many candidates, one winner, and a weakened system of accountability.
Zambia deserves better—not just at the ballot box, but in the quality of leadership and the strength of its democratic institutions.
