Capitol Whip

Capitol Whip We are Independent coverage of political campaigns, county to Congress and to the White House, since 2012.

The races that the big news outlets skip

Moreno Alleges Custody Dispute Over Granddaughter's Bunny at Police StationCOLUMBUS, Ohio — Ohio Senator Bernie Moreno s...
08/05/2026

Moreno Alleges Custody Dispute Over Granddaughter's Bunny at Police Station
COLUMBUS, Ohio — Ohio Senator Bernie Moreno stated that he picked up his granddaughter from former U.S. Representative Max Miller at a local police station on Sunday, escalating a family dispute over a missing comfort item.
According to Moreno, the handover was complicated by a disagreement regarding a cherished toy.
“Max would not hand over the little blue bunny. This girl is crying at night because she can't sleep without her little blue bunny,” Moreno said.
The incident highlights ongoing personal tensions surrounding the family, though further details regarding the circumstances of the exchange have not been publicly disclosed. #

x.com/CBSNews/status…

https://x.com/CBSNews/status/2084693664987509209/video/1

07/29/2026

Senate Advances Lindsey Graham’s Russia Sanctions Bill
​The U.S. Senate advanced a major sanctions bill introduced by Senator Lindsey Graham by an 86-12 vote, signaling strong bipartisan support for tightening economic pressure on Moscow.
​Key Details of the Legislation
​Secondary Tariffs: Imposes 100% secondary tariffs on countries that continue to purchase Russian oil and natural gas.
​Shadow Fleet: Directly targets Russia's "shadow fleet"—the network of aging tankers used to bypass international oil shipping restrictions.
​Notable Attendance
​Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was present at the U.S. Capitol, watching the historic vote unfold from the visitors' gallery.

Senate Confirms Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence​The U.S. Senate has voted to confirm Jay Clayton as the...
07/29/2026

Senate Confirms Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
​The U.S. Senate has voted to confirm Jay Clayton as the new Director of National Intelligence (DNI) in a 51–47 party-line vote, succeeding Tulsi Gabbard (via interim head Bill Pulte).
​Key Details
​Nominee: Jay Clayton
​Position: Director of National Intelligence (DNI)
​Predecessor: Tulsi Gabbard (following a brief interim period by Bill Pulte)
​Vote Tally: 51–47 (strictly party-line)
​Background & Context
​Clayton who previously served as the Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) during the first Trump administration and more recently as the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York steps into the permanent intelligence post.
​His confirmation follows a contentious committee process and concludes a period of temporary leadership under acting head Bill Pulte. The vote proceeded entirely along partisan lines amid debate from lawmakers over national security qualifications and oversight.


Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee odds:(Change from 2 months ago)​🟦 Francesca Hong: 91% (+64%)🟦 David Crowley: 8% (+...
07/28/2026

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee odds:

(Change from 2 months ago)

​🟦 Francesca Hong: 91% (+64%)

🟦 David Crowley: 8% (+3%)

🟦 Mandela Barnes: 2% (-50%)

🟦 Sara Rodriguez: 0% (-9%) 

07/28/2026

Donald Trump Net Issue Approval
Source: Ipsos (July 26, 2026)
🔴 Crime: -14%
🔴 Immigration: -17%
🟤 Foreign Policy: -31%
🟤 Corruption: -31%
🟤 Economy: -33%
🟤 Iran: -37%
⚫️ Cost of Living: -48%
⚫️ Inflation/Prices: -51%

Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) Poll​Dates: July 15–17 | Sample: Likely Voters (LV) | Recalled Vote: Trump 53% – 42...
07/28/2026

Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) Poll
​Dates: July 15–17 | Sample: Likely Voters (LV) | Recalled Vote: Trump 53% – 42%
​U.S. Senate
​🟦 James Talarico: 45%
​🟥 Ken Paxton: 40%
​Governor
​🟥 Greg Abbott (inc): 45%
​🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 42%
​Attorney General
​🟥 Mayes Middleton: 39%
​🟦 Nathan Johnson: 38%

​New poll shows Talarico leading Paxton in US Senate race

KenPaxton

So Mark Sanford is running for the Senate in South Carolina!!!
07/28/2026

So Mark Sanford is running for the Senate in South Carolina!!!

Fundraising update  Michigan Governor 🔵 Benson - $5 million 🔴 James - $3.1 million
07/28/2026

Fundraising update Michigan Governor

🔵 Benson - $5 million
🔴 James - $3.1 million

Rep. Max Miller Faces Severe Domestic Abuse Allegations and High-Stakes Defamation Lawsuit in OhioCLEVELAND, OH  A bitte...
07/28/2026

Rep. Max Miller Faces Severe Domestic Abuse Allegations and High-Stakes Defamation Lawsuit in Ohio

CLEVELAND, OH A bitter legal fallout between U.S. Representative Max Miller (R-OH) and his ex-wife, Emily Moreno the daughter of U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno has spilled into the public sphere through thousands of pages of leaked court documents, police records, and a high-stakes defamation lawsuit.

The filings contain explosive accusations regarding domestic volatility, child welfare investigations, and a landmark test of Ohio's new anti-SLAPP statute.
Summary of Core Allegations
According to police files, investigative reports, and domestic relations documents obtained from the Cuyahoga County Court of Common Pleas, Emily Moreno detailed a pattern of volatile behavior during their relationship:

The Hot Water Incident: Moreno alleged that during a June 2024 argument, Miller threw hot water from a cooking pot onto her chest. She claimed that when she curled onto the floor, Miller grabbed the kitchen sink sprayer and continued to spray her with hot water.

The Gun Allegation: Moreno reported an incident on New Year's Eve where turning on a light to change their infant daughter's diaper provoked Miller, who allegedly held a firearm to her head.

Child Welfare Inquiries: Local authorities and children's services investigated how the couple's young daughter suffered a broken collarbone. While the county's child welfare agency ultimately ruled the abuse finding "unsubstantiated" due to insufficient conclusive evidence, Moreno stated to detectives that she could not rule out Miller given his past behavior, noting she feared "no one would believe her".
Rep. Miller’s Denials and Defamation Lawsuit
Rep. Miller has aggressively rejected all allegations of domestic violence, characterizing them as fabrications aimed at ruining his political career and securing leverage in their ongoing custody battle.

To counter the fallout, Miller filed a defamation lawsuit in Cuyahoga County against Moreno, alleging she orchestrated a public relations campaign including leaks to media outlets like The Daily Mail to damage his reputation and sabotage his re-election campaign.

In a Washington Post op-ed, Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) reversed his previous stance, declaring that he and the Democr...
07/27/2026

In a Washington Post op-ed, Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) reversed his previous stance, declaring that he and the Democratic Party were "horribly wrong" to campaign on eliminating the Senate filibuster.

​Fetterman explained that his earlier push to scrap the 60-vote threshold was driven by short-term frustration when Democrats held the White House and congressional majorities. However, reflecting on the shifting political landscape, he now views the procedural rule as an essential safeguard.

​“The filibuster is a critical bulwark against a fill-in-the-blank government with new laws, deregulation or procedures of its choosing… we cannot become a smaller version of the House of Representatives.”

​Key Takeaways from the Op-Ed:

​Vindication of Past Holdouts: Fetterman noted that history has vindicated former Senators Kyrsten Sinema and Joe Manchin, who faced fierce backlash from Democrats for defending the filibuster.

​Shifting Power Dynamics: With Republicans now holding the trifecta of power and pushing to eliminate the rule to pass sweeping legislation, Fetterman warned that a filibuster-free Senate would allow a simple majority to radically reshape the country unchecked.

​The Value of Compromise: The Pennsylvania senator emphasized that the 60-vote threshold forces both parties to seek common ground rather than lurching from one extreme policy shift to another.

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